The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Department of Rail Transport Final Report Content-1 Volume 1/3 Table of Contents Page CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1-1 1.1 Principles and Reasons 1-1 1.2 Project Objectives 1-2 1.3 Scope of study 1-3 1.3.1 Part 1 Collecting, Studying and Reviewing Data. (TOR 3.1) 1-3 1.3.2 Part 2 Railway Demand Forecast Model Development. (TOR 3.2) 1-3 1.3.3 Part 3 Planning for the development of the M-MAP 2 network. (TOR 3.3) 1-4 1.3.4 Part 4 Operations in In-House Technical Arms. (TOR 3.4) 1-4 1.3.5 Part 5 Public Relations, Participation and Initial Environmental Evaluation. (TOR 3.5) 1-5 1.4 Expected results 1-5 1.5 Project implementation plan and Submitting Report 1-5 1.5.1 Implementation plan and timeline 1-5 1.5.2 Submitting reports 1-6 1.5.3 The Work flow and meeting arrangements 1-6 1.6 Summary of comments from the Committee Meeting for approval 1-7 1.7 Problems and Obstacles during project implementation and solutions 1-31 1.7.1 Problems and Obstacles 1-31 1.7.2 Solution 1-31 1.8 Summary of the progress of the project implementation 1-32 1.8.1 Summary of the overall progress of the project implementation. 1-32 CHAPTER 2 Data Collection and Data Review 2-1 2.1 Study toward direction of urban expansion (TOR 3.1.2) 2-1 2.1.1 Reviewing towards Land Use Policies 2-1 2.1.2 Urban Land Use Comprehensive Plan 2-7 2.1.3 Existing land use 2-11 2.1.4 The large-scale proposed development projects 2-19 2.1.5 Urban Planning Analysis 2-20 2.1.6 Urban development direction 2-29
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network Department of Rail Transport in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Final Report Content-2 Table of Contents (Cont’d) Page 2.2 Study and Forecast Trends of Socio-Economic Conditions (TOR 3.2.1) 2-31 2.2.1 Analyzed and allocated dataset into microscopic data (TAZ) 2-31 2.2.2 Household income 2-72 2.2.3 Number of households and household size 2-73 2.2.4 Economic conditions 2-74 2.2.5 Number of registered vehicles 2-78 2.3 Current project information M-MAP and M-MAP2 Blueprint and related design projects. (TOR 3.1.1) 2-79 2.3.1 Review plans for the development of the rail mass transit system in Thailand 2-79 2.3.2 The rail mass transit system according to the M-MAP plan 2-82 2.3.3 The rail mass transit system according to the M-MAP2 Blueprint plan 2-96 2.3.4 Overview of the rail mass transit network in Thailand and current project status 2-129 2.3.5 Study, review and collect number of passengers in the mass rapid transit system 2-135 2.3.6 Review studies, Strategic plans, development plans and related design study project 2-146 2.4 Urban Comprehensive Data and Transportation Network Data in Bangkok Metropolitan Region (TOR 3.1.2) 2-166 2.4.1 Data and Information in relevance to Urban Comprehensive Plan 2-166 2.4.2 Transportation network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region 2-167 CHAPTER 3 Study and collect data of Transport and Traffic Models and Impact of the COVID-19 Epidemic. 3-1 3.1. Study, Review and Comparison of Transport and Traffic Models (TOR 3.1.3) 3-1 3.1.1 Traffic and transport model in Thailand 3-1 3.1.2 Modeling of traffic and transportation abroad. 3-21 3.1.3 Rail Demand Forecasting Models in Foreign Countries 3-28 3.1.4 Summary of the implementation of the rail system development model in foreign countries for use in Thailand. 3-29 3.2. The study of the impact on public transport from the COVID-19 outbreak and how to proceed after the epidemic is over. (TOR 3.1.4) 3-32 3.2.1 Effects of Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on public transport 3-32 3.2.2 Society and business pattern in post-COVID-19 3-38 3.3. Solutions for railways sector during and in aftermath of COVID-19 pandemic 3-48 3.3.1 Measures during the spread of COVID-19 in each country 3-49
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Department of Rail Transport Final Report Content-3 List of Tables Page Table 1.5.2-1 Submitting reports (3rd Revised) 1-6 Table 2.1.3-1 Land use in Bangkok during 2001 - 2019 2-11 Table 2.1.3-2 Land use in Nonthaburi province during 2001 - 2019 2-12 Table 2.1.3-3 Land use in Pathum Thani province during 2007 – 2019 2-13 Table 2.1.3-4 Land use in Samut Prakan province during 2007 – 2019 2-14 Table 2.1.3-5 Land use in Nakhon Pathom province during 2007 – 2019 2-15 Table 2.1.3-6 Land use in Samut Sakhon province during 2007 – 2019 2-16 Table 2.1.3-7 Land use in Phra Nakhon Si Ayutthaya province during 2009 – 2019 2-17 Table 2.1.3-8 Land use in Chachoengsao province during 2008 – 2018 2-18 Table 2.1.4-1 The large-scale proposed development projects 2-19 Table 2.1.5-1 Number of registered populations in the municipality 2-21 Table 2.1.5-2 The analysis results of municipality ranking and the classification of city groups 2-22 Table 2.2.1-1 4 Spacial Levels and Characteristics of Data 2-31 Table 2.2.1-2 Analytical dataset 2-32 Table 2.2.1-3 Available Population Data Used in this study 2-34 Table 2.2.1-4 Base-year Population in the study area 2010-2019 2-35 Table 2.2.1-5 Comparison of actual population and population projected by NESDC, 2015-2019 2-38 Table 2.2.1-6 Data characteristics and sources used for base-year employment in the study area 2-46 Table 2.2.1-7 The number of employments by sector by province in the study area, 2010-2019 2-47 Table 2.2.1-8 Base-year employment in agricultural sector by province in the study area, 2015-2019 2-52 Table 2.2.1-9 Industrial employment by province in the study area, 2015-2019 2-54 Table 2.2.1-10 Service employment by province in the study area, 2015-2019 2-55 Table 2.2.1-11 Available data for future employment estimation by province 2-57 Table 2.2.1-12 Base-year Students by province in the study area in 2015 and 2019 2-67 Table 2.2.2-1 The average monthly household income of study area in 2009-2019 2-72 Table 2.2.2-2 The forecasting results of monthly household income of study area in 2027-2047 2-72 Table 2.2.3-1 Number of households and household sizes in 2000 and 2010 2-73 Table 2.2.3-2 The forecasting results of household number of study area in 2027-2047 2-74 Table 2.2.3-3 The forecasting results of household sizes of study area in 2027-2047 2-74 Table 2.2.4-1 Projections of the Thai economy's recovery from various agencies 2-76 Table 2.2.4-2 Summary of the assumptions on GDP growth rate in Thailand 2-76 Table 2.2.4-3 Forecast of Thai GDP during 2027-2047 2-77 Table 2.2.4-4 The forecasting results of GPPs in study area during 2027-2047 2-77 Table 2.2.5-1 The cumulative number of registered vehicles of the study area in 2010 - 2023 2-78
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network Department of Rail Transport in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Final Report Content-4 List of Tables (Cont’d) Page Table 2.3.2-1 Characteristics of each mass transit system 2-84 Table 2.3.2-2 Passenger traffic forecast results, Base case 2-89 Table 2.3.2-3 Passenger traffic forecast results according to the master plan by 2029 2-90 Table 2.3.2-4 Estimating the price of the mass transit project (fixed price in 2009) 2-92 Table 2.3.2-5 20-year M-MAP Master Plan (2010 - 2029) 2-94 Table 2.3.3-1 Recommendations for improvement toward Railway-Focused Model 2-106 Table 2.3.3-2 Categorization of the demand forecast model 2-111 Table 2.3.3-3 General comparison of the demand forecast model 2-112 Table 2.3.3-4 Comparison of the demand forecast model by M-MAP2 policy 2-116 Table 2.3.3-5 Number of Samples distributed by Survey Location 2-120 Table 2.3.3-6 Survey Schedule of Mobile Application Survey 2-122 Table 2.3.3-7 Survey Items of Mobile Application Survey 2-122 Table 2.3.3-8 List of Screen Line Survey Locations along the East-West Screen Line 2-124 Table 2.3.3-9 List of Screen Line Survey Stations along the North-South Screen Line 2-125 Table 2.3.3-10 List of 8 Stations to Measure Occupancy of Mass Transit 2-126 Table 2.3.4-1 The State Railway of Thailand (SRT) project 2-130 Table 2.3.4-2 The Mass Rapid Transit Authority of Thailand (MRTA) project 2-132 Table 2.3.4-3 The Bangkok Metropolitan Administration (BMA) project 2-133 Table 2.3.4-4 The Bangkok Metropolitan Administration (BMA) project that include in M-MAP2 2-134 Table 2.3.5-1 The annual number of passengers using BTS Green Line service 2-135 Table 2.3.5-2 Average daily number of passengers that using the BTS Green Line service 2-136 Table 2.3.5-3 The annual number of passengers using MRT Chalerm Ratchamongkol Line service 2-137 Table 2.3.5-4 Average daily number of passengers that using MRT Chalerm Ratchamongkol Line 2-138 Table 2.3.5-5 The annual number of passengers using the MRT Chalong Ratchadham Line service 2-139 Table 2.3.5-6 Average daily number of passengers that using MRT Chalong Ratchadham Line 2-140 Table 2.3.5-7 The annual number of passengers using Bangkok Airport Rail Link service 2-141 Table 2.3.5-8 Average daily number of passengers that using Bangkok Airport Rail Link 2-142 Table 2.3.5-9 The annual number of passengers using the Red Line service 2-143 Table 2.3.5-10 Average daily number of passengers that using the Red Line 2-144 Table 2.3.5-11 The annual number of passengers using the Gold Line service 2-144 Table 2.3.5-12 Average daily number of passengers that using the Gold Line 2-145 Table 2.4.2-1 Vehicle Categories and Service Rate 2-167 Table 2.4.2-2 Routes according to the rehabilitation plan 108 routes 2-171 Table 2.4.2-3 Current expressway project information and future development plans 2-175
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Department of Rail Transport Final Report Content-5 List of Tables (Cont’d) Page Table 2.4.2-4 Current intercity motorway project information and future development plans 2-176 Table 2.4.2-5 The National Highway Network Development Plan of the Department of Highways 2-178 Table 2.4.2-6 The Rural Road Network Development Plan 2-179 Table 2.4.2-7 The Major Road networks development plans of BMA 2-180 Table 2.4.2-8 Chao Phraya River Bridge Master Plan 2-183 Table 3.1.1-1 Number of sub-areas in each province in the eBUM model 3-3 Table 3.1.1-2 Population and household numbers in the eBUM model compared to the 2010 Census 3-4 Table 3.1.1-3 HIS sampling rate 3-5 Table 3.1.1-4 Trip Rate for HBW purposes 3-6 Table 3.1.1-5 Trip Rate for HBE purposes 3-7 Table 3.1.1-6 Trip Rate for HBO purposes 3-7 Table 3.1.1-7 Trip Rate for HBE purposes 3-7 Table 3.1.1-8 Trip Rate in Bangkok Metropolitan Region of each project 3-7 Table 3.1.1-9 Trip Rate between UTDM and TDL project for each province 3-8 Table 3.1.1-10 Coefficient in the case of HBW purpose 3-8 Table 3.1.1-11 Coefficient in the case of HBE, HBO, NHB purpose 3-9 Table 3.1.1-12 Example of choosing a travel mode for those who do not have a vehicle - HBW 3-11 Table 3.1.1-13 Example of choosing a travel style for people who own > 1 vehicle (HBE) 3-12 Table 3.1.1-14 Proportion of choosing different transportation systems 3-12 Table 3.1.1-15 Sub-area designation details (TAZ) in the TDS project 3-13 Table 3.1.1-16 discrepancy accepted for model calibration 3-18 Table 3.1.1-17 Sub-area designation details (TAZ) in the TDS project 3-19
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network Department of Rail Transport in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Final Report Content-6 List of Figures Page Figure 1.5.3-1 Flowchart of meeting relationships 1-7 Figure 1.8.1-1 Plan – Operation Result (S-Curve) of Progress Report No.3 1-31 Figure 2.1.1-1 (Draft) Bangkok Metropolitan area and its Vicinities B.E 2580 2-3 Figure 2.1.1-2 (Draft) Policy Map for Central Regional Development 2-4 Figure 2.1.1-3 (Draft) Policy Map for Eastern Regional Development 2-6 Figure 2.1.2-1 The Ministerial Regulation on The Bangkok Comprehensive Plan 2013 (B.E.2556) 2-8 Figure 2.1.2-2 (Draft) Bangkok Metropolitan Comprehensive Plan (4th Revision) 2-9 Figure 2.1.2-3 Land use requirements of provincial comprehensive plan in the study area 2-10 Figure 2.1.3-1 Land use in Bangkok area in 2019 2-11 Figure 2.1.3-2 Land use in Nonthaburi province in 2019 2-12 Figure 2.1.3-3 Land use in Pathum Thani province in 2019 2-13 Figure 2.1.3-4 Land use in Samut Prakan province in 2019 2-14 Figure 2.1.3-5 Land use in Nakhon Pathom province in 2019 2-15 Figure 2.1.3-6 Land use in Samut Sakhon province in 2019 2-16 Figure 2.1.3-7 Land use in Phra Nakhon Si Ayutthaya province in 2019 2-17 Figure 2.1.3-8 Land use in Chachoengsao province in 2018 2-18 Figure 2.1.5-1 Municipality hierarchy in the study area 2-23 Figure 2.1.5-2 Urban hierarchy in the study area 2-23 Figure 2.1.5-3 The axis of urban development according to the regional plan in the study area 2-24 Figure 2.1.5-4 The axis of urban development according to the regional plan in the study area 2-25 Figure 2.1.5-5 Land use requirements of urban/community comprehensive plan in the study area 2-26 Figure 2.1.5-6 Land use requirements of urban/community comprehensive plan in the study area and rail mass transit system network 2-26 Figure 2.1.5-7 Existing land use in the study area (2019 and 2018) 2-28 Figure 2.1.5-8 Existing land use and rail mass transit system network 2-28 Figure 2.1.6-1 The relationship of land use and urban transportation 2-29 Figure 2.1.6-2 The relationship of urban activities and transportation 2-29 Figure 2.1.6-3 Comparison of automobile cities and mass transit cities 2-30 Figure 2.2.1-1 TAZs in the study area 2-32 Figure 2.2.1-2 Conceptual of analysis 2-33 Figure 2.2.1-3 Estimation Framework for Base-year Population 2-34 Figure 2.2.1-4 Base-year population by province in the study area, 2010-2019 2-35 Figure 2.2.1-5 Population distribution by TAZ in the study area, 2010-2019 2-37 Figure 2.2.1-6 Population density by TAZ in the study area, 2010-2019 2-37
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Department of Rail Transport Final Report Content-7 List of Figures (Cont’d) Page Figure 2.2.1-7 NESDC’s future population by province in the study area as control total 2-39 Figure 2.2.1-8 Assumptions for future population framework 2-39 Figure 2.2.1-9 Framework for future population distribution 2-42 Figure 2.2.1-10 New Population Increase from large-scale urban development projects in Step 1 2-43 Figure 2.2.1-11 Additional growth rate by density from formulas for sub-district with and without railway station in Step 2 2-43 Figure 2.2.1-12 Additional population growth rate based on green area designated in comprehensive plan for sub-district without railway station in Step 2 2-44 Figure 2.2.1-13 Distribution of future population by TAZ in the study area, 2025-2040 2-45 Figure 2.2.1-14 Future population density by TAZ in the study area, 2025-2040 2-45 Figure 2.2.1 15 Land use classification for 3 economic sectors in the study area 2015 and 2019 2-47 Figure 2.2.1-16 Estimation framework for base-year employment by TAZ in agricultural sector 2-48 Figure 2.2.1-17 Estimation framework for base-year employment by TAZ in industiral sector 2-49 Figure 2.2.1-18 Estimation framework for base-year service employment by TAZ 2-49 Figure 2.2.1-19 Estimation framework for base-year employment by TAZ in service sector 2-51 Figure 2.2.1 20 Estimated distribution of gricultural employment by TAZ in the study area, 2015 and 2019 2-53 Figure 2.2.1-21 Estimated agricultural employment density by TAZ in the study area, 2015 and 2019 2-53 Figure 2.2.1-22 Estimated distribution of industrial employment by TAZ in the study area, 2015 and 2019 2-54 Figure 2.2.1-23 Estimated industrial employment density by TAZ in the study area, 2015 and 2019 2-55 Figure 2.2.1-24 Estimatied distribution of service employment by TAZ in the study area, 2015 and 2019 2-56 Figure 2.2.1-25 Estimated service employment density by TAZ in the study area, 2015 and 2019 2-56 Figure 2.2.1-26 Framework for future employment by province by sector 2-58 Figure 2.2.1-27 Estimation framework for future employment by TAZ in agricultural and industrial sectors 2-58 Figure 2.2.1-29 New service employment increase from large-scale urban development projects 2-59 Figure 2.2.1-30 Future employment by province in the study area 2-60 Figure 2.2.1-31 Distribution of employment by sector by province in the study area 2-61 Figure 2.2.1-32 Distribution of future agricultural employment by TAZ in the study area, 2025-2040 2-62 Figure 2.2.1-33 Future agricultural employment density by TAZ in the study area, 2025-2040 2-62 Figure 2.2.1-34 Distribution of future industrial employment by TAZ in the study area, 2025-2040 2-63 Figure 2.2.1-35 Future industrial employment density by TAZ in the study area, 2025-2040 2-64 Figure 2.2.1-36 Distribution of future service employment by TAZ in the study area, 2025-2040 2-65 Figure 2.2.1-37 Future service employment density by TAZ in the study area, 2025-2040 2-66 Figure 2.2.1-38 Distribution of students by TAZ in the study area in 2015 and 2019 2-68 Figure 2.2.1-39 Student density by TAZ in the study area in 2015 and 2019 2-68
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network Department of Rail Transport in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Final Report Content-8 List of Figures (Cont’d) Page Figure 2.2.1-40 Estimation framework for future students by TAZ in the study area, 2025-2040 2-69 Figure 2.2.1-41 Future students by province in the study area 2-70 Figure 2.2.1-42 Distribution of future students by TAZ in the study area, 2025-2040 2-71 Figure 2.2.1-43 Future student density by TAZ in the study area, 2025-2040 2-71 Figure 2.2.4-1 Gross Domestic Product value in 2010-2020 (million Baht) 2-75 Figure 2.2.4-2 GDP growth rate in 2010-2020 (percent per year) 2-75 Figure 2.2.5-1 Number of registered vehicles on the study area classified by vehicle type in 2023 2-78 Figure 2.3.1-1 The development plan of the rail mass transit system in Thailand 2-81 Figure 2.3.2-1 Mass transit service model 2-82 Figure 2.3.2-2 Mass transit project by 2029 as planned (M-Map) 2-86 Figure 2.3.2-3 The accelerating network plan according to the 2006 Cabinet Resolutions 2-87 Figure 2.3.2-4 Additional network plans within the year 2019 2-87 Figure 2.3.2-5 Additional network plans within the year 2029 2-88 Figure 2.3.3-1 M-MAP2 Blueprint 2-98 Figure 2.3.3-2 Congestion inside Train and at Station 2-101 Figure 2.3.3-3 Station Transfer Time in the Peak Hours 2-102 Figure 2.3.3-4 Result of Peoples' Perception Survey 2-103 Figure 2.3.3-5 Survey Location for Roadside Interview 2-119 Figure 2.3.3-6 Survey Form of Destination-based Survey 2-121 Figure 2.3.3-7 Example of Application usage 2-123 Figure 2.3.3-8 Location of Screen Line Survey Stations along the East-West Screen Line 2-127 Figure 2.3.3-9 Location of Screen Line Survey Stations along the North-South Screen Line 2-127 Figure 2.3.3-10 Mass rapid transit Demand forecast of M-MAP2 blueprint network 2-128 Figure 2.3.4-1 Mass rapid transit network 14 routes in Bangkok Metropolitan Region 2-129 Figure 2.3.5-1 The annual number of passengers using Yellow Line service 2-145 Figure 2.3.5-2 The annual number of passengers using SRT service 2-146 Figure 2.3.6-1 Overview of the EEC Project 2-148 Figure 2.3.6-2 Bangna-Suvarnabhumi Light Rail Transit 2-150 Figure 2.3.6-3 Bang Wa - Taling Line 2-151
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Department of Rail Transport Final Report Content-9 List of Figures (Cont’d) Page Figure 2.3.6-4 Routes of the study of passenger travel connectivity from the mass transit system phase 1, Pathum Thani province 2-153 Figure 2.3.6-5 Rangsit Station - Thanyaburi Klong 7 2-154 Figure 2.3.6-6 Rangsit Station - Pathum Thani 2-155 Figure 2.3.6-7 The pilot route of Suvarnabhumi- Phraeksa-Sukhumvit 2-156 Figure 2.3.6-8 Bangkok Outer Ring Road 3 (MR10) 2-159 Figure 2.3.6-9 Traffic Analysis Zone of BTDS project 2-161 Figure 2.3.6-10 Preliminary route of the project to study the construction of underground tunnels 2-162 Figure 2.4.1-1 Bangkok and vicinities Regional Plan B.E 2600 (a) and B.E. 2580 (b) 2-166 Figure 2.4.2-1 Bus in Bangkok Metropolitan Region 2-168 Figure 2.4.2-2 Route map of the expressway bus or BRT 2-168 Figure 2.4.2-3 The Bus purchasing schedule according to the BMTA rehabilitation plan 2-171 Figure 2.4.2-4 Khlong Saen Saep Express Boat map 2-172 Figure 2.4.2-5 Motorboats crossing the Chao Phraya River 2-173 Figure 2.4.2-6 Suvarnabhumi Airport 2-174 Figure 2.4.2-7 Don Mueang Airport 2-175 Figure 2.4.2-8 The intercity motorway network, 2017 - 2036 2-177 Figure 2.4.2-9 Plan to conduct an analysis of urban planning studies 2-184 Figure 3.1.1-1 sub-areas of eBUM 3-2 Figure 3.1.1-2 Sub-area for Bangkok Metropolitan Region and two additional provinces 3-3 Figure 3.1.1-3 Survey point area for travel mode selection data 3-10 Figure 3.1.1-4 Traffic and Transport model Guidelines 3-14 Figure 3.1.1-5 Development of transport and traffic models by Cube (Voyager) 3-17 Figure 3.1.1-6 Steps in Project Model (Cube Flow Diagram) 3-17 Figure 3.1.1-7 Guidelines for developing and applying traffic modeling 3-20 Figure 3.1.2-1 National Travel Demand Forecast for Passenger Transport model in Japan 3-21 Figure 3.1.2-2 National Travel Demand Forecast for Freight Transport model in Japan 3-22 Figure 3.1.2-3 A continuous 4-step model for predicting traffic volumes. 3-23 Figure 3.1.2-4 Ohio traffic forecast model 3-24 Figure 3.1.2-5 California Statewide Long-distance Model 3-25 Figure 3.1.2-6 National Transport Model (NTM) model structure 3-25 Figure 3.1.2-7 Traffic Analysis Zones in the UK National Transport Model 3-26 Figure 3.1.2-8 Road network in the UK National Transport Model 3-27 Figure 3.2.1-1 Public transit ridership losses and projections in the United States of America 3-32
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network Department of Rail Transport in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Final Report Content-10 List of Figures (Cont’d) Page Figure 3.2.1-2 Unemployment rate and projections in the United States of America 3-33 Figure 3.2.1-3 Public transport ridership in Thailand after COVID-19 outbreak 3-34 Figure 3.2.1-4 Airline ridership, number of flights, and amount of air freights of 6 international airports in Thailand during 2018 - 2020 3-35 Figure 3.2.1-5 Decreasing mass transit ridership among MBTA services 3-35 Figure 3.2.1-6 The COVID-19 impact on BTS green line ridership 3-36 Figure 3.2.1-7 Numbers of tourist in Thailand in 2020 (million) 3-38 Figure 3.2.2-1 Google searches for work from home equipment and software 3-40 Figure 3.2.2-2 U.S. Opinion Poll on Future Work Styles 3-41 Figure 3.2.2-3 Population of children, working-age and elderly population in Thailand 3-44 Figure 3.2.2-4 Statistics on shopping and online transaction in Thailand 3-45 Figure 3.3.1-1 Countermeasures during the COVID-19 epidemic 3-49 Figure 3.3.1-2 Measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19 for railway system in Japan 3-51 Figure 3.3.1-3 Measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19 for railway system in USA 3-52 Figure 3.3.1-4 Measures to control the number of rail passenger during the COVID-19 in Thailand 3-53
INTRODUCTION 01
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Department of Rail Transport Final Report 1-1 CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Principles and Reasons The Ministry of Transport (MOT.) by the Office of Transport and Traffic Policy and Planning (OTP) has prepared the 20-Year Mass Rapid Transit Master Plan for Bangkok Metropolitan Region (M-MAP) (2010-2029) , which defines the rail mass transit system for Bangkok Metropolitan Region, totaling 12 routes with a total distance of 509 kilometers, which the network of mass rapid transit under M-MAP aims to develop the network of mass rapid transit only in the central business area within a radius of 20 kilometers from the center of Bangkok only. Therefore, there are still many areas with high travel demand but the network of mass rapid transit is still inaccessible. And as a result of the development of the network of mass rapid transit according to the M-MAP plan, the context of the city's growth has changed. with more expansion in suburban areas. There are many residential and commercial areas along the mass rapid transit route. As a result, the travel patterns of people in Bangkok Metropolitan Region have changed. In addition, in the future, Thailand will step into an aging society. Therefore, the development of the rail mass transit system in the next phase is in line with the current and future context. Therefore, planning is needed to develop the second Bangkok Mass Rapid Transit Master Plan for Bangkok Metropolitan Region to expand the mass rapid transit network to be comprehensive and in line with the growth of the city along with studying the integration approach to connect the secondary network (Feeder) to the main network of M-MAP to be efficient and able to support the travel of people in Bangkok Metropolitan Region appropriately. Including studying the measures and guidelines to encourage people to change their travel behaviors by using public transport instead of using private cars to be concrete. The Commission for the Management of Land Traffic Meeting No. 1/2015 held on June 10, 2015 acknowledged the situation of implementing the project according to the M-MAP plan and resolved to allow the MOT to conduct a study of the second Bangkok Mass Rapid Transit Master Plan for Bangkok Metropolitan Region (M-MAP 2) by the MOT has coordinated the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) to support the direction and policy development of the M-MAP 2 (M-MAP 2 Blueprint) and assigned to the OTP, which has the authority to recommend policies and create master plans, master plans and strategies for the development of traffic transport systems. Safety and environment in the country's transportation system is a joint study with JICA. OTP and JICA started studying the M-MAP 2 Blueprint since March 2017 and completed it in September 2018. It was a study to determine the direction and policy for the development of the M-MAP 2. already studied on January 3, 2019 and assigned the MOT to develop cooperation with JICA to further study the development of the M-MAP 2. In this regard, the Cabinet has resolved to acknowledge the roadmap resolution on the results of the study of M-MAP 2 Blueprint on January 22, 2019.
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network Department of Rail Transport in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Final Report 1-2 The Department of Rail Transport (DRT) was established under the Ministry of Sub-Ministry Renovation Act (Version 18) 2019 on April 15, 2019 as an upgrade from the Office of the Railway Development Project, OTP. It is responsible for overseeing the rail transportation system across the country to be the same standard. as well as recommending policies, strategies and work plans for the supervision of rail transport as a standard. In addition, the development of the country's rail transport infrastructure to be competitive and connect other modes of transport and neighboring countries as well as making policy recommendations, strategies and development plans for the country's rail transport. Including study and development to determine the country's rail transport network. Therefore, the planning for the development of the M-MAP 2 network, which is the country's rail transport development plan Therefore, it is a direct mission under the authority of the DRT and it is also a continuous mission of the DRT. that must be carried out in accordance with the resolution of the Commission for the Management of Land Traffic on June 10, 2015. However, JICA made a suggestion in the MMAP 2 Blueprint that the planning for the rail transit network in M-MAP 2 would be the most productive and able to truly meet the needs of people traveling, MOT. should develop specific rail travel demand forecasting models. In order for the planning to develop the M-MAP 2 network to truly achieve the goals. In addition, according to the M-MAP plan that defines the rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region for a period of 20 years (2010-2029), totaling 12 routes with a total distance of 509 kilometers, currently in service are 211.18 kilometers, under construction around 114 kilometers, and many other projects are in the process of preparation. Therefore, the government still has a large burden of investment in network development in the rest. Therefore, DRT is appropriate to review the necessity and appropriateness of the rest of the M-MAP implementation. and additional networks as proposed by JICA in the M-MAP 2 Blueprint to ensure operational clarity and to avoid excessive government investment burden, as well as to enhance the quality of life in travel with the public transport system to be convenient, safe and fast. 1.2 Project Objectives DRT wishes to hire a consultant to study the development of Railway Demand Forecast Model and the development of rail mass transit network in Bangkok and its vicinity. (Continuous area) Phase 2 with the following objectives: 1) To review the current status of M-MAP projects and coordinate various progress plans that each relevant department is in the process. including gathers problems and obstacles arising from the implementation of the M-MAP, as well as a review of the M-MAP 2 Blueprint guidelines. 2) To study and review the suitability of the rail mass transit network. Including each route and project development model that has been defined in M-MAP but has not yet been constructed and review of the proposed network M-MAP 2 Blueprint and suggest more in accordance with urban expansion and development patterns.
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Department of Rail Transport Final Report 1-3 3) To develop Railway Demand Forecast Model. 4) Prioritize each route in order to prepare an action plan for the development of mass transit systems, including an investment finance plan as well as set guidelines and strategies for the implementation of the mass transit rail system project. 5) Implement the process of public participation and public relations about the rail transit system to provide knowledge, understanding and cooperation from the people. 1.3 Scope of study 1.3.1 Part 1 Collecting, Studying and Reviewing Data. (TOR 3.1) 1) Collecting the number of passengers, project type, routes, station, investment value, including the current project status according to the M-MAP, details presented in the M- MAP2 Blueprint and related design studies. (TOR 3.1.1) 2) Collecting urban planning, bus route, ship routes and road networks in Bangkok and its vicinity at present and future plans. (TOR 3.1.2) 3) Study, review and compare both domestic and international transport and traffic models. (TOR 3.1.3) 4) Study and analyze the impact on public transport from the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic, including studying the operational guidelines after the COVID-19 epidemic situation ends (TOR 3.1.4) 1.3.2 Part 2 Railway Demand Forecast Model Development. (TOR 3.2) 1) Study, collect and review the results of the Travel demand Survey and the Home Interview Survey of the currently available data, including considering the use of data as input data for model development from relevant departments for further development of the model development in the future. (TOR 3.2.1) 2) Survey and collect travel data using Access Survey, Stated Preference (SP) Survey and OD Survey, by considering the number of survey samples and collecting data to have a sufficient number according to statistics to be suitable for analyzing the data for use in the development of at least 7,000 samples. (TOR 3.2.2) 3) Set preliminary conditions. (Precondition) for model development such as Zoning revision, Modal classification and Transport network LOS setting, etc. (TOR 3.2.3) 4) Calibration and validation of the model. (TOR 3.2.4) 5) Study the guidelines for the development of a Railway Activity-Based Model by Railway ActivityBased Model to be prepared in the form of a pilot project in at least one area, by considering number of survey samples and collect sufficient amount of data according to statistical principles to make it suitable for data analysis. (TOR 3.2.5)
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network Department of Rail Transport in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Final Report 1-4 6) Provide a set of Software (User Licenses) for the development of current models. At least 2 copies and covers the maintenance of rights. At least 2 years after the end of the contract. (TOR 3.2.6) 1.3.3 Part 3 Planning for the development of the M-MAP 2 network. (TOR 3.3) 1) Analyze the current situation and trend of urban travel patterns and urban expansion in accordance with current and future situations. (TOR 3.3.1) 2) Analyze to determine issues in planning the development of the rail mass transit network in Bangkok and its vicinities. (Continuous area) Phase 2. (TOR 3.3.2) 3) Analyze the necessity and suitability of the unprocessed M-MAP network and additional networks as proposed by JICA in the M-MAP 2 Blueprint. (TOR 3.3.3) 4) Recommend suitable networks and new networks that need to be further developed according to the results of analysis and forecasting of travel demand. Both the main mass transit network and the secondary mass transit network to achieve seamless integration with other transport systems and can connect travel between Bangkok areas the inner layer with the surrounding area effectively. (TOR 3.3.4) 5) Preliminary study of suitability and analysis of engineering feasibility socio-economic and investment worth of new suggested routes. (TOR 3.3.5) 6) Analyze and prioritize the project. with development plans and investment plans in each route to be in line with current and future conditions including suggesting suitable areas or points to develop intermodal facilities in order to increase the efficiency of traveling by public transport. with the rail system as the main system along with designing the area on the basis (Perspective) at least 3 points. (TOR 3.3.6) 7) Recommend measures, including draft laws, rules and regulations related to promote and attract people to change their travel behaviors to use the mass transit system in a concrete way. (TOR 3.3.7) 8) Assess the feasibility of applying tax measures for legal entities or individuals who own land or real estate of state property and have commercial uses that benefit from the development of rail infrastructure government and to prepare a draft law concerning the utilization of the area along the route that the mass transit system is constructing for the maximum benefit for urban development. (TOR 3.3.8) 1.3.4 Part 4 Operations in In-House Technical Arms. (TOR 3.4) Assign personnel to act as In-House Technical Arms responsible for providing technical support, transport and traffic model analysis. To use in planning and decision making in solving transportation and traffic problems by coming to perform duties at the Department of Rail Transport as appropriate.
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Department of Rail Transport Final Report 1-5 1.3.5 Part 5 Public Relations, Participation and Initial Environmental Evaluation. (TOR 3.5) 1) Study the Initial Environmental Evaluation (IEE) of the proposed new route. (TOR 3.5.1) 2) Implement public understanding and participation in accordance with the regulations of the Prime Minister's Office on Public Hearing (2005). (TOR 3.5.2) 3) Conducting public relations for the project as a whole and producing accompanying media to be used as a tool to communicate to the target group, to provide knowledge and understanding of the public as well as manage for disseminating news through appropriate mass media. (TOR 3.5.3) 1.4 Expected results 1) Plans for the development of mass rapid transit networks that cover areas with high travel demand, but the networks are not yet inaccessible. 2) To alleviate traffic congestion in the central Bangkok area. 3) Increase the efficiency of the rail mass transit network in the overall Bangkok Metropolitan Region. in order to make the most of reduce redundancy to reduce investment and budget in networks that are not needed in the current situation. 4) The development of the mass transit system in the next phase is in line with the development direction and future urban planning concept. and effective integration between other forms of public transport networks. 5) Enhance the quality of life of people traveling to be faster, convenient, safe and environmentally friendly. 6) There is an analytical tool to forecast the demand for rail travel for effective preparation of network development plans or government policies. 7) To be able to encourage people to change their travel behaviors by using public transport instead of using private cars concrete. 1.5 Project implementation plan and Submitting Report 1.5.1 Implementation plan and timeline The study period in this project is 18 months and due to the problem of the spread of COVID-19 at the beginning of the project, resulting in the need to extend the project implementation period.
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network Department of Rail Transport in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Final Report 1-6 1.5.2 Submitting reports The duties of the consultant will begin immediately according to the time specified in the contract or from the date the DRT has specified in the Notice to Proceed (NTP), with the schedule for submitting reports and related documents to the Department of Rail Transport (3 rd Revised) as shown in Table 1.5.2-1. Table 1.5.2-1 Submitting reports (3 rd Revised) No. Report Thai English Deadline after NTP 1 Inception Report 30 20 1 st month 2 Progress Report 1, Progress Report 2 and Progress Report 3 30 20 3 rd , 8 th and 16 th month respectively 3 Interim Report 30 20 15th month 4 Draft Final Report 30 20 20th month 5 Draft railway travel demand forecasting model development Report 30 20 20 th month 6 Draft manual to analyze data with railway travel demand forecasting model 30 20 20 th month 7 Draft plans for the development of the rail mass transit network in Bangkok and its vicinities (Continuous area) Phase 2 30 20 20 th month 8 Draft of an initial Environmental Evaluation study report 30 20 20 th month 9 Final Report 100 50 24th month 10 Conceptual Design 30 - 24th month 11 Perspective 20 - 24th month 12 Railway travel demand forecasting model development Report 50 30 24th month 13 Manual to analyze data with railway travel demand forecasting model 50 30 24th month 14 Plans for the development of the rail mass transit network in Bangkok and its vicinities (Continuous area) Phase 2 100 50 24th month 15 initial Environmental Evaluation study Report 30 20 24th month 16 Final Executive Summary Report 100 100 25th month 17 Plans for the development of the rail mass transit network in Bangkok and its vicinities (Continuous area) Phase 2 Executive Summary 100 100 25th month 18 Railway travel demand forecasting model development Executive Summary Report 50 50 25th month 19 Video 100 100 25th month 20 Reports according to TOR 11.7 and 11.8.1 – 11.8.3 in E-Book format on a recording disc (DVD). 100 25th month 21 Reports according to TOR 11.7 and 11.8.1 – 11.8.4 and all editable project data files. including all project presentations with travel information survey in PDF format. For the benefit of later operations by saving in Portable Hard disk 5 25th month 1.5.3 The Work flow and meeting arrangements The consultant has proposed a flowchart of the relationship between the Working Group Commented, the Committee, DRT, relevant agencies such as JICA, OTP, etc., and the DRT Consultant, which in each report that is submitted, there will be two meetings: (1) a meeting of the working group to provide comments and recommendations to the DRT consultant (The Working Group Commented Meeting), and (2) a meeting of the committee to inspect parcels in the employment of consultant (The Committee Meeting). To
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Department of Rail Transport Final Report 1-7 provide comments and consider each report, and the details for the relationship of other meetings are shown in Figure 1.5.3-1. Source: Consultant, 2021 Figure 1.5.3-1 Flowchart of meeting relationships 1.6 Summary of comments from the Committee Meeting for approval From the Committee Meeting No. 2/2022 and the Working Group Commented Meeting No. 2/2522 held on September 7, 2022, the Committee and the Working Group had comments and suggestions for each part as follows:
TDepartment of Rail Transport Final Report 1-8 Table 1.6-1 Summary of comments fromNo. comment 1 Part 1: Collecting, studying and reviewing data 1.1 Refer to contents of the central report, the Sukhumvit Line is still marked in darkbut it actually has to be light green. While the Silom line is indicated as lightActually, it has to be dark green. In the last meeting, there was an agreement to only the green line. 1.2 Ask the consultant to adjust the budget for the construction of various sky train pto be up-to-date in the next volume 1.3 Coordinating the Secretariat on the latest population data for the year 2019 of thof the National Economic and Social Development Council to be used as informathe project 2 Part 2: Development of rail travel demand forecasting models (Railway Dema2. 1 In the report, an extension of the Silom line, from Bang Wa to Taling Chan (S13identified. however, the appendix document is not specified in the extension, and a question to ask the consultant about the Survey Demand Forecast in this roundresults come out “Over Demand”, it would affect the planning of the selectioncharacteristics of the mass transit system that must be constructed on that particulawhich may not be a viable investment because of the trip generation, tuition, anincluding less commuting. 2.2 The M-MAP 2 project uses data from the year 2019, which may be objected atimes. But due to the epidemic of the COVID 19 situation, the Department Transport (DRT) understands and allows it. During the COVID - 19 pandemic, transpand travel activities are locked down. If the consultant uses the year 2020 or 202the numbers will be very distorted. Therefore, it would be more reasonable to
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) m the Committee Meeting for approval Status Progress k green, t green. specify Done The name of the sky train line has been revis ed in every point of the report. projects Done The operation has been completed and shown in section 2.3.4. Overview of the rail mass transit network in Thailand and the current project status e Office ation for Done Completed, shown in Section 2.2.1.1 Population. nd Forecast Model) -S18), is there is d. If the n of the ar route, nd work Done The details of the Silom Extension from Bang Wa to Taling Chan have already been detailed in Section 2.3.6.6 and therefore it deso not refer to the appendix, and in respect of the Results to Over Demand, the consultants will exercise caution in applying the results. of the survey. at other of Rail ortation 21 data, use the Done The consultant calculated the travel rate that occurred during COVID- 19 based on the results of the BTDS Travel Survey and shown in Section 4.3.5 , which found that the results were lower than pre-pandemic situations. Therefore, in use, it will be adjusted to the pre - COVID- 19 period.
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) No. comment 2019 figure before the pandemic. In this regard, the consultant is asked to write a nthe use of the 2019 data. 2.3 Asked for more information on the proportion of BTS passenger traffic, the samplover the age of 60 was about 3 percent and the student group was about 4 pTherefore, in collecting data in the survey samples may need to be of different prop2.4 There's an impression of the Activity-Based Model because it's not a feeling. In ththe model used questionnaires, surveyors were unable to know whether the respowould use their feelings to answer. Sometimes it may not be real data, but the damobile phones is real data. There is no feelings and no lies, it’s quite gotransportation planning. The consultants can publish their work. But ask permission from the Department of Rail Transport (DRT) first. 2.5 The average travel distance data presented by the consultants is inconsistent. It waspresented that the average travel distance was 11 km, but the data from mobile was about 5-6 km. The average trip length is an important information that Departmrail transport (DRT) will calculate aadvanced fares. For example, if using the averagdistance of 11 km in the fare calculation formula 12+2 X , where X is the distance, according to the distance will be 22 baht plus the entrance fee of 12 baht (access for a total of 34 baht, Therefore, in the future, Department of rail transport (DRannounce the maximum fare in Bangkok and metropolitan areas should not excbaht. The average travel distance is very important to the Department of rail tr(DRT). 2.6 Mobile Data with 2,500 samples collected. More intense forecasting and more numbers are needed.
Department of Rail Transport Final Report 1-9 Status Progress note on e group percent. portions. Acknowledged The consultant acknowledged he past, ondents ata from ood for Acknowledged The consultant acknowledged s initially phones ment of ge travel the fare charge) RT) will ceed 34 ransport Question Answered The average travel distance of 11 km is the total travel distance per day. The distance per trip to work is 5-6 km/way (both from the survey results and from telephone signal data), and since the study area is a specific area (it is an urban area on Ratchadapisek Road, where there are office buildings on the main road and residential areas in alleys that are not far from the work area). As a result, the average trip length is different from the overall travel picture in Bangkok and its vicinity. Overall, there's another group of travelers called Commuter trips, a suburban home and a place to work in the city, which will make for a longer trip length. sample Question Answered The consultant has conducted a more detailed and in-depth analysis and is shown in Section 4.5.
TDepartment of Rail Transport Final Report 1-10 No. comment 2.7 Ask the consultants to consider urban planning and transportation development in twhich may require coordination with relevant agencies. It is better to look at past on interagency coordination, which in the future growth would also require infrastinvestment to be efficient and effective as well, and the activity-based model, acto the consultant's presentation, was preliminarily explored. The survey has not gonbecause of the national modeling, in which the model of Bangkok and its vicinityconsidered a national model. Assuming that the data should contain more than oneIt is likely to need more than a year. it may have to accumulate indefinitely for theto increase accuracy and accurately predict the results and in comparison. Anothis to use mobile data as an example. Be careful about uneven data distribution (either to the left or to the right). The market share of the telephony signals is the nthat people use the most is not a True company. Doing a project at this level mato take the other 2 networks to make interpretation more accurate or not? Finally, still no integration or coordination between the first model called the 4-step mothe new Activity based model. How will it be coordinated? The clear picture is visible, and the consultants are asked to consider natural disasters in which this mcapable of predicting if special events such as concerts or people leaving the sduring rush hour. How will it affect people's travel needs?, Will our models be able to predict if thbe floods or storms? Can you answer the society that we can predict? 2.8 What is the volume of passengers traveling by rail system in Bangkok and its obtained from the model analysis? 2.9 Check whether the electric train fare used in the model is the actual fare of each or not.
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Status Progress tandem, lessons tructure ccording ne deep y can be e period. e model her thing of data network ay need there is del and not yet model is stadium here will Done The consultant took it into consideration. In the Activity Based Model section, It is conducted a more detailed and more indepth analysis and were shown in Section 4.5. vicinity Done In the model, the consultant has analyzed the passenger volume at 1.28 million trips - person per day in 2023, details are shown in section 4.. 4.2. system Done The fare used in the model is the actual fare of each officially announced system. The fare is used as the fare between station to station according to the fare table. Details are shown in Section 4.3.4 Improvement of Transport Networks.
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) No. comment 2.10 Examine the number of rail passengers in both mass transit systems and suburbaobtained from the analysis to see whether the accuracy is close to the actual volnot. 2.11 After the opening of the Pink and Yellow Lines in 2023, the total number of passethe rail system and each line will be How does it increase or decrease? 2.12 On the Activity Based Model, proceed urgently so that it can be completed beforeseminar. 2 .13 Representative of Bangkok Mass Transit System Public Company Limited Ask the consultant for more details about the classification of the distance from thto the station and from station to destination in Mode Share by access and egre(BTDS Survey). 2 .14 Representative of the Department of Public Works and Town & Country Planning About the number of Home to Private Work from Home amounts to 1 , 000 , 000 tday ansd Home to Private Work from Home trips, when staying at home, how coccur? or in the form of an internal trip, asking the consultant to explain the naturesaid trip 3 Part 3: Planning for the development of the M-MAP 2 network 3.1 For the policy, it can be easily remembered as 3 C (Capacity, Coverage, Connectivis consistent with the policy of the current Bangkok Governor (Bangkok), it will beCapacity, Good Coverage, Good Connection", according to the policy of the GoveBangkok. The consultant presented that when the model was obtained, a fair farebe obtained, which was true that the Department of rail transport (DRT) intended. Tcalculation by Distance Base had disadvantages because the model's tools will be design zone fares in the future but now we don't know the information, which information from this model to be able to divide the zone. No one knows how tra
Department of Rail Transport Final Report 1-11 Status Progress an trains lume or Done The passenger volume in the rail system is close to the actual passenger volume. The details are shown in section 4.4.2. ngers in Done The consultant has presented the analysis results of the opening of the Pink and Yellow Lines in 2023 to the meeting. e the 2 nd Acknowledged The consultant acknowledged in the comments. he origin ess level Acknowledged The consultant acknowledged in the comments. trips per can trips e of the Done Home to Private Trip for Work from Home refers to a trip for people working from home (WFH) even if the person is working from home. But it is necessary to travel out of the house for personal purposes, such as dealing with personal errands, shopping for food and supplies, take a rest at various locations, sending off children, etc. vity. If it e "Good ernor of e would The fare used to require avel will Acknowledged The consultant Acknowledged
TDepartment of Rail Transport Final Report 1-12 No. comment be and how are the cost of living and income of each zone different? By only using or using the rule of thumb information or how the past was, it was like that. Depaof rail transport (DRT) believes that people with high incomes live in the city. As fowith low incomes, they live in the suburbs. In which low-income earners have to bburden of fares that are that are based on distance rates at the same rate. In addearning less, they also have to travel more and waste more time on travel. If we same distance rate. Low-income earners also have to pay more for travel than thohigher incomes. Department of rail transport (DRT) has an opinion that it is inappand unjustified. People outside the city are advised to receive lower distance rabecause they are suburban and have no income. If they had a high income, they wlive in the suburbs because of wasting time traveling, but nowadays it seems to that, for example, the Green Line, etc., at present, the extension is 15 baht, it is a fnot a distance rate, then from Central Ladprao to Kukot, it is also flat rate, which Bshould set the price soon, as if nature or history says that it must be that way, theis so that way, but in the future, if the model is completed, it will definitely setzone. 3.2 Ask the consultant to consider addressing past matters. Do not include too much ninformation. If stated in the report, the appropriate term should be used. Since it hastudied in the past, that does not mean it has been well planned or correct in thPast studies have been appropriate in the last 20 years. But now that contcompletely changed. The way of life has also changed a lot. 3.3 The sky train network that consultants have gathered and reviewed still don't havshown because it has to wait for the results from the analysis by the model. Onmodel is good, then the network will be considered. 3.4 The consultants is planning to put Activity Node into urban development expeoccur in the future The representative of the Thai Urban Planning Association
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Status Progress feelings artment or those bear the dition to use the ose with ropriate te fares wouldn't be like flat rate, Bangkok refore it a clear negative ad been he past. text has Done The consultant has checked the details of the material to prevent any mention of inappropriate stories in the past. ve to be nce the Acknowledged The consultant acknowledged and will not publish the route until receiving permission from Department of rail transport (DRT) . ected to may be Done The consultant has considered the development of a large - scale project that will occur in the future. and analyzing the impact on future travel
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) No. comment concerned about the concept of Urban Planning Degree in Model. Ask the consupay more attention to this matter. 3.5 The issue of urban planning is important, which has been mentioned since the beof the project that the growth of Bangkok and its vicinity. If using the original growlikely to be inaccurate for future forecasts because the impact from the high-spnetwork has not yet been taken into account In the past, there has never been a nor a high-speed train has been developed before. This should have an impactgrowth of Bangkok, which will grow at a slower pace because other cities tend tfaster. Therefore, if the study uses the growth rate of Bangkok and its vicinity at thaccelerated rate. It might not be correct because something that has not happenepast is emerging. The growth rate of cities in Bangkok and its vicinity should slowTherefore, the consultant need to pay attention to the relevant variables contathe model. 3.6 from the representatives of the Thai Urban Planning Association mention natural dand events or special events. This issue is secondary, for example, Bangkok CSchool recently set up a musical performance at Surasak station. The sky train statunable to handle such situations because the source of travel is near the Nodeenters into sky train systems with the high number, and there is no crowd control( Crowd Control). In foreign countries, when a football match or concert is over, thbe a delay in traveling (Manage Crowd Control), but in the case of Bangkok CSchool Because it is very close to the node and is a non-stadium node. It is a schthere is an influx of people into the station. which the station will not be able to Times Square New York, for example, during festivals, the surrounding stations are so that people spread because the station would not be able to accept it, apeople go to at remote stations taking at least 10-15 minutes to disperse people istation in all directions. To the representatives of the Thai Urban Planning Associatmodel cannot be done at the Minor level, it must be a model with specific details
Department of Rail Transport Final Report 1-13 Status Progress ltant to eginning wth rate eed rail network on the to grow he same d in the w down. ained in Done The consultant considers such issues in the city growth rate calculation in Section 2.1. disasters hristian tion was , travel l system here will hristian ool and accept. closed. allowing into the ion, this s. Acknowledged The consultant Acknowledged
TDepartment of Rail Transport Final Report 1-14 No. comment 3.7 The consultant presented that the Thailand network is a separate network or indepnetwork (Independent Network). I quite disagree with this statement. In the pastdesigned as a network. It's just that it wass not done at the same time. I wouldclarify the view that our country is a separate network that it may not match the obthat have been done since the past. We have had a master plan like the M-MAwhich is a network plan. 3.8 Agreed with the chairman of the meeting on fair fare. Therefore, I would like to leconsultant to consider carefully. It must be seen as being fair to both the peopentrepreneurs. 3.9 Prediction or assignment of sky train lines that will be extended in the future. I wothe consultant to consider the matter of urban development as well. Urban develohere means Land use and Affordable Housing , which at present should be knowthe Ministry of Transport has developed a rapidly developing rail system, WhMinistry of Interior, especially the Department of Public Works and Urban Planquite slow to catch up and the agencies involved in urban development are still Causing the sky train line in many routes, whether it's the purple line or the rextension or the green line extension, already have already expanded farther. Hthe growing city could not keep up. I would like the consultant to consider ideveloped country, like the West or China, with the development pattern that tand the city grow together, perhaps using the concept of TOD in development.not want to see urban sprawl or growth along the edge of the road (Ribbon develo. In the past, urban planning called it Ribbon development. This kind of develofocuses on roads (Highway Oriented) before the city follows. Currently, the sky trgoes before the city. I would like to see the development of the city alongside it. like the consultant to consider various issues. About variables, whether it's abouReturn, or financial economic considerations are not nowadaysenough in many reseWe must look at the social aspect as well. There are variables such as Social Re
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Status Progress pendent t, it was d like to bjectives AP plan, Acknowledged The consultant Acknowledged eave the ple and Acknowledged The consultant took it into consideration. ould like opment wn that hile the nning, is behind. red line owever, t like a he train We do opment) opment rain line I would ut Social earches. eturn on Acknowledged The consultant took it into consideration and SROI has been added as one of the prioritizing factors.
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) No. comment Investment (SROI) in terms of land use change (Land use change), various landvarious environmental changes which I would like them to be taken into considerthe model as well. 3.10 The duty of cutting new roads will be the responsibility of the The Bangkok MetroAdministration (BMA), the Department of Highways, and the Department of Rural Revery time, a new road is cut through various blind areas when it opened for serthe first day, there would be only roads. There is no secondary mass transit syFeeder). I would like relevant agencies to submit this development plan to the Bplan for a Feeder system in the next 4-5 years, which can come to service on the fsince the road opened. It would be better and I would like to promote ViaBus appto be more prevalent, which will indicate the location of the bus. If it is expanminibuses, vans, pick-up trucks, and Subaru cars. These cars will be in the feedecan send information to the public about the location of the vehicle. In the park asection it will also be available at many stations along the route. At present, therfeeder to park in there. But instead, it is parked on the main road side, it turnsobstruct the path of cars traveling on the road, which the feeder does not addpark and ride system. Therefore, I would like to add this issue as well. I wouldi n t ro d u ce t h e BKK Rail application o f Department of rail transport (DRT), NApplication o f t h e office of transport and traffic policy and planning (OTP), anApplication of the The Bangkok Metropolitan Administration (BMA) used to extpromote the feeder system for traveling that is the first and last mile of passenusing the application of the sky train games of Mahidol University made in collabwith NSTDA to promote for passengers to learn and use the sky train correctly 3.11 The subject of fair fare will be the outcome of the study. During the studentrepreneurs' cost-reducing methods should be considered as well. In sections processes and measures, I would like to clarify that each measure affects the fare trip. How many baht can be reduced by each measure?
Department of Rail Transport Final Report 1-15 Status Progress scapes, ration in opolitan Roads. In rvice on ystem ( BMTA to first day plication nded to r if they and ride re is no s out to d to the like to Namtang d Mana end to ngers or boration Acknowledged The consultant acknowledged in the comments and taken into account dy, the of legal rate per Acknowledged Additional advisory benefits of various measures.
TDepartment of Rail Transport Final Report 1-16 No. comment 3.12 Regarding reimbursement of travel expenses for official duties, there is no agencofficial travel with the sky train system. it shows that the expenses for travel by scannot be reimbursed. Agencies that a BTS station is in front of the office but canto the meeting by BTS, it is necessary to use government vehicles. The goveencourages the use of green energy but still use diesel vehicles even though station is in front of the office. If the government agency at the meeting never reimthe expenses for travel by sky train, that means it's still not reimbursed. which aconsultants to help draft a royal decree on official travel expenses in 1983, whicwas no sky train yet. Therefore, I would like the consultant to add more propoamend the royal decree that can be reimbursed for travel expenses by sky train. Bthe cost of traveling to official duties by using government vehicles has a high costthe issue that the consultant will consider, the first issue is whether it can be reior not. At the meeting, there was an assumption that it was not. It is necessary tothis royal decree. For the second issue, even if it can be reimbursed and the royalhas been amended, it is not used because it is inconvenient to reimburse expwould like the consultant to propose an amendment to this Royal Decree and mpossible to reimburse through the application for easy reimbursement of expesummary, 1.) Amend the royal decree on official travel expenses 2.) The procedreimbursing official travel expenses must be convenient. it may use any appconvenient for reimbursement of expenses. 3.13 The second matter is Green Tax. Before mentioning 3 measures, asked the consureview the Convention regarding reducing carbon (Decarbonization) that the Prime signed in Scotland and took it as a reference first. In plan 13 of office of the neconomic and social development council (NECDC) also mentions sustainabilitywhich should be written about decarbonization, including carbon credit, and also mhow it can be used in practice.
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Status Progress cy which sky train nnot go rnment the BTS mbursed asks the ch there osals to Because t. As for imburse o amend l decree enses. I making it nses. In dure for plication Acknowledged The consultant has proposed amendments of Ministry of Finance the Regulation on Reimbursement of Official Travel Expenses BE Details appear in section 5.7.2.4. ltant to Minister national y, green mentions Done The consultant has reviewed the greenhouse gas reduction action plan which is shown in section 5.7.1.1. Guidelines according to the National Greenhouse Gas Reduction Action Plan 2021-2030 in the field of transport
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) No. comment 3.14 The first measure on Green Tax , which was successfully discussed with the MinFinance only once. It was a measure for half – half which can be used with transportation. However, the finance ministry said it was temporary, only duringThis measure would not be last forever because it will use the country's budm u c h . Covid has coincidentally made it possible to successfully negotiate, btemporarily, and it is impossible to negotiate green taxes with the Revenue Depaas the Revenue Department argues. 1.) There was inequality across the country because the mass transit systemavailable in Bangkok and its vicinity and green tax will be used in this way. the RDepartment said it was not equal because the provinces do not benefit. Therefokind of measure was struck down due to inequality. 2.) The Ministry of Finance would like to know how much this kind of policies cauof tax revenue. I would like the consultant to calculate it so that it can be presethe Ministry of Finance. 3.) Comparison between losses incurred in what should not have been incurred andfrom less taxes levied by the government. Of course, the state collects less revencompared to the loss in things that should not be lost such as PM 2.5 problems, phealth problems, waste of the country's fuel, etc. In comparison, it is worthbecause people get more benefits which is worthwhile to reduce income. In oreduce the loss things that should not be lost, it is considered much more valuablmust have numbers to confirm, so if all 3 of these items can be implemented, thbe able to negotiate at the meeting. Although measures have already been taken iiforeign countries, but in our country we are unable to do this. 3.15 The Green Tax will be similar to the Cash Allowance, which is to issue expeemployees on public transportation, and then the employees bring a receipt company. The company will take the receipt to deduct the expenses. T h e R e
Department of Rail Transport Final Report 1-17 Status Progress nistry of public g covid. get too but only artment, is only evenue ore, this use loss nted to d losses nue, but people's h doing. order to e which hey will in many Done The consultant has calculated the taxes collected by the State as a result of the implementation of tax deduction measures a nd calculate ed the benefits receiving _ from the project as shown in Section 5.7.2. nses to to the v enue Done The consultant has examined and found that Employee travel expenses paid by the company can be deducted as an expense for tax calculation.
TDepartment of Rail Transport Final Report 1-18 No. comment Department said that it could be done. I would like the consultant to help check wit's true or not. 3.16 Measure 2 Prompt Go , which is a secondary mass transit system to the station ( to station) , has the problem with which portion of the revenue will be taken to oThe consultant said that it could be from the establishment of the National Wealtwhich is difficult to establish, since the Establishment of Funds Act 2005. When exthe conditions, it was found that there were a lot of details. This Act may be drathat there is no fund set up. The ministry said that the fund was set up, namely thWelfare Fund, which took place in the National Council for Peace and Order (NCPTherefore, the establishment of the National Wealth Fund should not be undeBecause it was unsuccessful in the past. It should not be performed in the samein the past should do something new 3.17 The prompt to go issue received the idea from the Department of Land Transamending the Decentralization Act. It requires the state to decentralize power tareas and force locals to build public transportation and set a budget to buildtransportation in their area. The most likely part of Prompt to go is the fare subsidymass transit system, it has already happened such as half - half project which used with any train line but the problem is that it is temporary. It is not long acome in phases by phase (Phase) which cannot be released permanently. If you to be permanent, the question is where the money would come from to operatstate welfare fund is used, it must be for low-income people. If you are a person wincome already supported by the state. If it's really low income, the concept of hamay not be like that. With the concept being the same fare rate, the state will heby using the government welfare card to pay for the fare. It can be used for almosmass transit, if it would made permanent in the future. If the Act of the DepartmRail Transport (DRT) passes, the Department will stipulate that the fare rate of using the state welfare card will be reduced to half, in accordance with the con
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Status Progress whether Feeder operate. th Fund, xamining afted so he State PO) era. ertaken. e way as Done The consultant added information about the Prompt Go measure, details shown in section 5.7.4, by suggesting that money from the public welfare fund for the local economy and society be used. port by to local d public y. In the can be and will want it e. If the with low alf - half elp half st every ment of people ncept of Done The consultant has added information about the Prompt Go measure , details shown in section 5.7.4, and additional information about the Regulatory sandbox , as detailed in section 5.7.5.2.
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) No. comment half – half. It is slightly different but the same effect. From hoping to rely on funds that have failed to operate, it turns to use the state welfare fund instead bthey are low-income people. Those with regular incomes can use cash allowanccivil servants are able to reimburse official travel expenses, which is already the nbudget. civil servants can reimburse only for official travel. As for the private which has already adopted the Green Tax policy , the company pays but candeductible. However, it is not for peoplw with income below established low-thresholds because those with low incomes with a clear income line spend mothe state welfare fund. For connection issues, remove them. Convenience is still provided. The regulatory sandbox for testing business ideas, prand innovations is just an idea. which has not yet been applicabled. I would consultant to find an example to present. Regulatory sandbox can be used wiinnovations and fares, such as paying for a service using this and then applying Sharing, which examples abroad have. I would like the consultant to review this further but it must go have to ask for exceptions to the laws related to these thingan application like this, How the state legal requirements will be relaxed and help legislation which may be drafted as a Regulatory Sandbox , issuing a ministerial regdrafts, etc., It requires some exemptions. 3.18 The consultant shall recommend appropriate network and possible routes to befrom the network to be more detailed, such as the red route, Hua Lamphong - Masection, and the green route, the National Stadium – Yotse, by asking the consufurther explain to the meeting 3.19 About factors used in network prioritization, preparation of weight values, and signin the AHP process, the consultant has to prepare a questionnaire draft uinterviewing experts and send it to Department of rail transport (DRT) for considbefore the consultant proceeds to prepare the weight of the importance of each f
Department of Rail Transport Final Report 1-19 Status Progress wealth because ces, and national sector, be tax -income oney on roducts, like the ith new to Bike section gs. If it is to draft gulation e cut off aha Chai ltant to Done The projects listed above are included in the MMAP2 plan. nificance used in deration factor. Done Consultant acknowledged and take action
TDepartment of Rail Transport Final Report 1-20 No. comment 3.20 Please review the process of screening the network that requires the number of pasfrom 10,000 people/hour/direction. along the route to pass the criteria This will mRed Line electric train with only 20,000 passengers per day actually not be takaccount. 3.21 Classification of zones and stipulating fare rates both by area and by distance. It shbased on current realities, such as the Green Line in Bangkok. The switch to distancethinking also affects concession contracts, making it difficult to implement. 3.22 When considering the number of trips obtained from the analysis, about 3 millionday Found that it was still higher than reality. 3.23 Ask for opinions at the meeting about the completeness of the factors used in conthe route. and the weight of each number of votes classified by department 3.24 Consultants shall re-check the correct model as informed by the chairman of the mbefore bringing it to each agency for use. 3.25 Ask the Ministry of Transport and the Office of Transport and Traffic Policy and Planintegrate the joint project plan to enable more people to enter and exit the rail sy3.26 The concept according to the national greenhouse gas reduction action plan Twimportant pieces are missing: when the Prime Minister attended the COP26 World Summit in Glasgow; United Kingdom on November 1, 2021 and the APEC 2022 meeNovember 18-19, 2022. 3.27 Measures along the way Prompt Go: PG (subsidizes public transportation fares) Revanalysis results of the number of government welfare card users who will use thtransit system. If there is an adjustment of the card value from 500 to 1,500 baht
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Status Progress ssengers make the ken into Acknowledged In screening, consultants will consider 2017. 2040, which is the last year in the project plan. Therefore, the current Red Line train will be in the criteria as well. ould be e-based Acknowledged Consultant acknowledged In the electric train fare model, the fare between stations is used. n trips / Acknowledged The consultant acknowledged. nsidering Acknowledged The consultant has done by sending questionnaires to relevant agencies meeting Done The consultant has conducted a review of the model and the details of improvements in the model are shown in sections 4.3 and 4.4. nning to ystem. Acknowledged The consultant acknowledged. wo other Leaders eting on Done The consultant has already added details of the COP 26 and COP 27 meeting information. Details are shownin section 5.7.1.1. view the he mass Done The consultant has already added and the details are in the report section 5.7.2.5.
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) No. comment 3.28 Will the Go Green with Rail (GGR) measure double tax deductions between individujuristic persons? 3.29 Consultants are requested to review the details of the measures together (Go ToGO) (Direct Feeder to stations during peak hours) and coordinate information wTraffic and Transportation Bureau. Bangkok too 3.30 Measures to facilitate passengers, service users, to learn more about the use of techin addition to From the proposal to reduce the line to buy tickets. 3.31 Mass transit fares should be subsidized through state welfare cards. But because Tstill has a burden on the budget, so ask the consultant. Analyze the returns tgovernment and the public will receive from additional project development in obe able to provide a more solid rationale. 3.32 In the case that an individual is entitled to a tax deduction of no more than 30,0according to the Go Green with Rail (GGR) measure, the consultant will analyze toptions. Including the case that an individual is also entitled to the right from aperson, employer, spouse or sponsor, what are the tax guidelines? And compare thbetween the tax relief and the economic value that the state will receive. aloreviewing the appropriate tax setting 3.33 In the event that an individual is entitled to a tax deduction of no more than 30,0according to the Go Green with Rail (GGR) measure, it should be considered in accowith the tax base paid. 3.34 Find tax measures for the Feeder of the village, school, university, community or organizations around the BTS station to increase travel by electric train. 3.35 For train stations with sufficient parking, there should be a Park and Ride parking lthe entrance to the station for Feeder cars in order to quickly pick up passengprevent traffic jams. And for most train stations that do not have Park and Ride
Department of Rail Transport Final Report 1-21 Status Progress uals and Done The consultant has been accepted to carry out the study. Details are shown in Section 5.7.2.2. ogether: with the Done The consultant has done hnology Done The consultant has already added and the details are in the report section 5.7.2. 5 and 5.7.2.6 Thailand that the order to Done The consultant shows the details are in the report section 5.7.2.1. 00 baht the best a juristic he value ong with Done The consultant conducts a comparison of the value between the tax relief and the economic value that the state will receive. as well as reviewing the appropriate tax setting, item 5.7.2.2 000 baht ordance Acknowledged The consultant acknowledged. various Done The consultant conducts the study in item 5.7.2.3 Go together measures (Direct Feeder measures to stations during peak hours). lot near ers and parking Done The consultant conducts the study in item 5.8.1, a proposed amendment to the Royal Decree on land and building tax reduction BE .... by proposing to reduce land or building tax that
TDepartment of Rail Transport Final Report 1-22 No. comment spaces for Feeder cars, private areas may be used nearby, such as condominiustations, using tax measures and government support. 3.36 Add information, details of the train, Feeder schedule at the station signs to be cleasy to understand. 3.37 Add a feature Viabusapplication for Feeder cars or small buses in the alley. And in ain the future, it can be developed to allow users to communicate with the car mo3.38 Let the consultant receive opinions and suggestions at the meeting of the workinto give opinions on December 16, 2022, especially in terms of measures to promotby the electric train system, such as the government welfare card measures. and to speed up the process to complete within the year 2023 3.39 Accelerate various educational activities Especially in terms of measures to promuse of electric trains in line with passenger spending. 3.40 Vice President of the Working Group Historical planning has considered public transport patterns from variousfor example, roads with four- storey commercial buildings running pareach other have a predetermined level of population density. Differesingle-family houses or public parks, the population density is different froof commercial buildings. Ask if there are any criteria that can determine which areas should havetransportation in the form of electric trains. or a car hit by a bus Please to the working group further. 3.41 Representative of the Office of the National Economic and Social Development Co
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) Status Progress ums, gas the owner or occupier is a natural person or a private juristic. person. Providing parking for passengers of electric trains or buses in the Go Together project. lear and Acknowledged The consultant acknowledged addition, ore. Done It is in item 5.7.2.3 Go together measures (Direct Feeder measures to stations during peak hours) ng group te travel advisers Acknowledged The consultant acknowledged and take action mote the Acknowledged The consultant acknowledged and take action s routes, rallel to nt from om that e public explain Question Answered The consultant considers from the selection table of public transport services. Which will be considered from the amount of travel demand (Passenger volume in person/hour/direction) ouncil Question Answered M-MAP 2 project has studied the area covering the provincial areas in the perimeter by using a model (Model). In forecasting the demand for rail travel in the future, In the case of expanding
The Study for the Development of a Macro Simulation Model for forecasting the demand for rail travel and the development of a rail mass transit network in Bangkok Metropolitan Region Phase 2 (M-MAP2) No. comment Does the rail travel demand estimation model also assume urban bounhowever, since such factors are expected to influence settlement densthe overall amount of travel demand 3.42 Representative of the Office of the National Economic and Social Development CoThe report on pages 2-18 presents an issue of rail junction coverage, partfor access to stations. With other transport systems trust each other,links to other transport systems will significantly increase coverage. Conshave proposed several routes for the future rail system in order to effeinvest in government infrastructure development. The consultant consider prioritizing. And taking into account the consideration of other trsystems that may compete or promote each other. and make proposalform of operational plans to show timelines and activities for investminfrastructure development and other related facilities corresponding area for the benefit of the operations of various relevant government ain the future 3.43 Representative of the Office of the National Economic and Social Development CoIt is agreed that the consultants should consider proposing ideas on brinbenefits from the development of the rail system back to the public Capture). To help the government in collecting revenue and distributing bfrom the development of the rail system equally.