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DOES FOREX NEWS TRADING REALLY WORK?
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NEWS STORIES OR THE RELEASE OF MARKET DATA.
WHENEVER MAJOR NEWS IS RELEASED, THE MARKET WILL
INVARIABLY RESPOND. THE QUESTION IS WHETHER THE
MARKET WILL RISE OR DECLINE BASED ON THE NEWS. MANY
TRADERS WILL TRADE BASED ON THEIR BELIEF ON HOW THE
MARKET WILL RESPOND. THERE IS ONLY ONE QUESTION
THAT CAN BE ASKED ABOUT NEWS TRADING. DOES FOREX
NEWS TRADING REALLY WORK?
MOST MARKETS WILL HAVE SLIGHT MOVEMENT PRECEDING
THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF MAJOR NEWS EVENTS THAT ARE
REGULARLY SCHEDULED. THESE EVENTS MIGHT BE THE
RELEASE OF MARKET INDICATORS OR UNEMPLOYMENT
NUMBERS. THIS IS BECAUSE THERE WILL BE RUMORS ABOUT
WHAT THE ACTUAL NUMBERS TO BE RELEASED WILL BE
LIKE. TRADERS WILL THEN PLACE A POSITION BASED ON
HOW THEY FEEL THE MARKET WILL RESPOND IF THESE
RUMORS ARE TRUE.
THE FOREX MARKET PLACE IS OPEN FOR TRADING 24
HOURS A DAY. ANY NEWS ANNOUNCEMENT IN ANY COUNTRY
DURING THE DAY OR NIGHT WILL IMMEDIATELY HAVE AN
IMPACT ON THE CURRENCY MARKET. USUALLY THE MARKET
WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANGE JUST PRIOR TO THE NEWS
ANNOUNCEMENT AND THEN THE MARKET WILL HAVE A
GREATER CHANGE AFTER THE NEWS ANNOUNCEMENT.
WITH FOREX NEWS TRADING A TRADER IS BASICALLY
TRYING TO SPECULATE ON THE IMPACT OF THE NEWS
ANNOUNCEMENT. THERE IS NO QUESTION THAT MAJOR
NEWS ANNOUNCEMENTS CAN HAVE A PROFOUND IMPACT ON
THE FOREX MARKET PLACE. THIS IS WHY MOST FOREX
TRADERS WILL TRY TO CAPITALIZE ON THE RELEASE OF
MAJOR NEWS ANNOUNCEMENTS.
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INVESTORS ALREADY FOLLOW THIS STRATEGY. SINCE THERE
IS A WIDE NUMBER OF TRADERS INVESTING BASED OFF THE
NEWS, THE MARKET IS QUICK IN RESPONDING TO THE
CHANGE FROM THE ANNOUNCEMENTS. THIS QUICK CHANGE
IN THE MARKET LIMITS THE ABILITY FOR TRADERS TO
PROFIT FROM THE NEWS ANNOUNCEMENTS. FOR THIS
REASON MANY PEOPLE DO NOT THINK FOREX NEWS
TRADING IS A PLAUSIBLE STRATEGY.
UNLIKE OTHER TRADING STRATEGIES, FOREX NEWS
TRADING DOES NOT REQUIRE ANY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF
THE MARKET. SINCE MOST NEWS ANNOUNCEMENT HAPPEN
VERY RARELY THERE IS NO TECHNICAL ANALYSIS MODEL
THAT WILL BE ABLE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE INTRODUCTION
OF THE NEWS. THIS ALLOWS A TRADER TO USE OBJECTIVE
REASONING IN ORDER TO DETERMINE HOW TO PLACE THEIR
TRADES IMMEDIATELY BEFORE AND IMMEDIATELY AFTER
THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF MAJOR NEWS.
MOST NEWS ANNOUNCEMENTS HAVE A SHORT TERM
IMPACT ON THE FOREX MARKET PLACE. VERY FEW
NEWS ANNOUNCEMENTS WILL HAVE A LONG TERM
IMPACT ON THE MARKET. WITH THE NEW
ANNOUNCEMENT HAVING SUCH A SHORT TERM IMPACT,
TRADERS WILL LOOK TO QUICKLY MOVE IN AND OUT OF
POSITIONS. THE IMPACT OF THE NEWS MAY BE FELT
FOR ONLY A DAY OR SOMETIMES LESS. YOU DO NOT
WANT TO HAVE A LONG TERM POSITION IF YOU
TRADING BASED ON NEWS.
A GOOD STRATEGY TO FOLLOW WHEN FOREX NEWS
TRADING IS TO PLACE TWO ORDERS ON BOTH ENDS OF
THE CURRENT MARKET PRICE. IF THE MARKET MOVES
UP THEN YOU CAN KEEP THE ORDER THAT PROFITS
FROM THE MOVE AND CANCEL THE OTHER ORDER THAT
IS BELOW THE CURRENT MARKET PRICE. THIS ALLOWS
YOU TO PROFIT REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THE
MARKET RISES OR DECLINES.
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