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Business                                           Additional             Vodafone Group Plc
              Overview     review       Performance  Governance  Financials   information    21      Annual Report 2013




             Where the industry



             is heading





             The pace of change in the mobile industry over the

             last few years has been signiicant and is expected to
             continue. We anticipate growing sources of revenue
             from data services such as mobile internet usage; higher
             penetration of smartphones and tablets; new users from
             emerging markets; and major advancements in mobile
             network technology to deliver faster and better customer
             services. The demand for seamless converged ixed and
             mobile solutions using high speed networks is expected
             to accelerate.



             According to industry analysts, data is expected   European environment. We believe that   Regulatory pressures
             to continue to be the fastest growing segment   this demand, combined with technological   The industry is expecting to see continued
             of the mobile industry. It is estimated that   advances delivering easier connection   downward revenue pressure from regulated
             between 2012 and 2015  1  worldwide mobile   of multiple data devices, will support strong   cuts to termination rates, and voice and data
             data revenue is set to grow by US$104 billion,   growth in data-intensive applications over the   roaming prices. European regulators are also
             compared to a US$20 billion decline in voice   next three to ive years, and that this will need   seeking to encourage investment in high
             revenue over the same period. The demand   to be managed by access to next generation   speed data services. However, the policies
             for data is being driven by a widening range   networks to support increased speed and   to achieve this have not been conirmed
             of powerful and attractive smartphones and   capacity demands.      by either European or national regulators and
             tablets, signiicant improvements in mobile                          therefore the impact on the mobile sector
             network capability, and an increased choice   Faster mobile networks  is dificult to judge.
             of content and applications (‘apps’).   Today’s mobile networks are typically
             Most of the new demand for        a combination of 2G networks for traditional
                                               voice, text and basic data services, and 3G
             mobile services will be from      networks for fast mobile internet access   Mobile service revenue by type
             emerging markets                  and application downloads. The latest stage

             Emerging markets, such as China, India and   of mobile network development is superfast   2007 8%  92%
             Africa, have the most potential for future   4G which is already in place in some countries   2012  25%  75%
             revenue growth driven by rising populations,   – providing maximum theoretical user
             strong economic growth, lower mobile   speeds of up to 150 Mbps today (with typical   2015  33%  67%
             penetration and a lack of alternative ixed line   user speeds up to 12 Mbps, compared with    Data  Voice, SMS and other
             infrastructure. According to industry analysts,   up to 6 Mbps on 3G).
                   1
             by 2015  there will be 1.5 billion new mobile                       Mobile phone users by market
             users across the globe, of which over 90%   Technological innovation
             will be from emerging markets. In contrast   Alternative communication technologies, such   2007  60%  40%
             the more mature markets in Europe are likely   as instant messaging services, are increasingly
             to exhibit modest growth, due to weaker GDP   used by mobile consumers, particularly   2012  73%  27%
             growth prospects, high mobile penetration   in mature markets, such as Europe. These
             and intense regulatory pressures.  services use data, rather than traditional   2015     76%   24%
                                               voice and text. This trend will continue and    Emerging markets   Mature markets
             Convergence of ixed and mobile    in response operators, such as Vodafone, have
             into uniied communication services  begun to replace per unit charges for voice   Maximum mobile data     Mbps
             Converged ixed and mobile solutions (such   and text services with unlimited bundles and   downlink speeds
             as combined mobile, ixed line, ixed broadband   combine this with a ixed fee for data usage.
             and TV) provide a range of beneits for the user,   New applications for mobile services are being   2007  7.2
             including simplicity, lexibility and cost savings.   developed by the industry to extend the use
             The demand for these services is already   of mobile beyond everyday communication,   2012  43.2  150
             established among enterprise customers   such as mobile payments via a handset
             and it is now becoming more visible in the   or M2M services, including the location   2015  86.4  300
             consumer market, in part due to consumers’   monitoring of vehicles, through a SIM card    3G  4G
             needs to save money in a recessionary   embedded in the vehicle.    Note:
                                                                                 1  Refers to calendar year.
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