2014 Farm Bill
Farm Program & Insurance Decision Aid:
A Step‐By‐Step Guide
Blake Bennett
Extension Economist/Management
What you will need:
FSA‐156EZ Form
APH, actual yields, and planted acres provided by your crop insurance company
SPECIAL NOTE:
Farm Service Agency sent out letters containing a table that looked like the following:
This table does not show all the information that is required for this decision aid. Notice that the date provided in
this example is for 2014. It does not show cotton base acreage on this report as cotton base acreage is now labeled as
“generic base”. You will need to get the FSA‐156EZ form that shows the complete list of all crops which you have
base acreage and counter cyclical yields.
The Farm Program and Insurance Decision Aid was developed by the Agricultural and Food Policy Center at Texas A&M
University. It can be accessed at the following web address: https://www.afpc.tamu.edu/models/decisionaid.php
To utilize this decision aid, you must be a registered user. Your data will be saved for you to work on this decision over
time and allow you to look at different scenarios. The next page will allow you to register if you are a new user or login if
you are a returning user. Select Register to get started.
Now, you will complete the registration filling in your name, email address and password. Make sure to keep track of
your password for future use.
After registering, you will see the following screen where you can begin work. In this decision aid, each crop that you
have base acreage or that you have grown is considered to be a “Farm Unit”. For instance, our example has wheat,
cotton, and grain sorghum base acreage on FSA Farm #182. This means that this farm number has three Farm Units. To
begin, select the “New Farm Unit” button.
The next page you see will ask you for information about the farm unit.
Step 1: Give the New Farm Unit a Name – This is how you identify the property. You can also provide a description of
the property that will give you more information on this place.
Step 2: Now, we will need our FSA‐156EZ form for the: FSA #, Crop, Administrative State, Administrative County,
Counter Cyclical Yield, and 2013 Base Acres.
Step 3: Enter the information from the FSA‐156EZ into the Decision Aid.
Step 3 (Continued): Here is the completed information from FSA‐156EZ.
Step 4: Now, we need to get the information we obtained from our crop insurance agent. Telling us the APH Yield,
Policy Type, Coverage Level, and Unit Structure.
Step 5: Enter the APH in the Decision Aid.
Step 6: Enter Basis: Now, we have to enter our Basis. Basis is the difference between the local cash price and futures
price at harvest. Basis can be either negative, positive or zero. If you are unsure regarding your local basis, you
can go to the following web‐site can provide some help: http://ageco‐basis.tamu.edu/agrilife.php . For the
purposes of this analysis, I assumed a positive $0.30 basis.
Enter Future Acres: You will need to enter expected planted acres to this crop for 2014 through 2018.
Step 7: Hit “Save and enter yields”
Step 8: Refer to your crop insurance records again to enter your yields.
.
Once you enter the data for a year, select the “Add Farm Yield” button
Step 9: Now, you can enter the next year’s yield and planted acres data.
Again, you enter the data for a year, then select the “Add Farm Yield” button .
Also notice that you have the option to delete any data you have previously entered. If you notice that you have made a
mistake in your data entry, you correct this mistake by selecting the delete button and then reentering that
year.
Step 9: Continue entering yield and planted acres data that you have. We would like to have 10 years of yield history.
Step 10: Once you have all the yield and planted acre data entered, you can select the “Done Entering Yields” button.
.
Now we are back at the first screen. We now see that our wheat has been entered for FSA Farm #182.
Step 11: We will now need to select the “New Farm Unit” button and enter our data for the
other crops which we have base acreage, or any crops we have planted but do not have base acreage for this
farm number. On this farm, we have cotton and grain sorghum base acreage.
Below, you can see the completed information for FSA Farm #182.
You will complete steps 1 through 11 for each crop that you have base acreage or
that you have planted in the past that may not have base acreage for each FSA Farm
Number.
Analyzing the information
Once you have entered all the Farm Units for each FSA Farm Number, you can begin analyzing the data with the
Available Tools on the right side of the home screen.
Yield Update
The Yield Update calculates the values for Price Loss Coverage (PLC) yields using the yield histories you provided
for the Farm Units you entered.
When you select the link for Yield Update, you will see the following screen where you will verify that the data
you entered was correct:
If the information is correct, select the “Information is correct” button .
Next, you will see a screen that shows you what yields the Decision Aid is using given the historical yields
provided for each crop. You can select the “Home” link to go back to the home screen.
Base Acre Reallocation & PLC/ARC Decision Aid
Selecting the Base Acre Reallocation & PLC/ARC Decision Aid will provide you with information regarding
whether to reallocate your base acres and the estimated payments if you choose PLC, ARC‐C, or ARC‐I for each
farm unit based on the data you entered.
As before, you will be asked to verify that the data you entered is correct. If it is correct, you can select the
“Information is correct” button .
Before getting the results, you are asked to provide expected commodity prices for the analysis. The Decision
Aid provides price projections from FAPRI and USDA. You can use either of these prices or use price projections
of your own. To use price projections for FAPRI, click on the FAPRI button . To use USDA prices,
click on the USDA button for each commodity.
Select the “Analyze Program Options” button once you have entered the prices
for all the commodities.
The Decision Aid presents a table that estimates the expected payments or net indemnities for choosing between ARC‐
IC, ARC‐CO, PLC, or PLC+SCO.
The first column of the table shows you the various FSA Program alternatives.
The second column of the table indicates results associated with updating base acreage or not.
Columns three through seven show you the expected payments or net indemnities each year from 2014 through
2018 associated with each decision.
The final column shows you the total of expected payments or net indemnities over the five year time span.
You can also obtain results by commodity (Farm Unit in the Decision Aid) for this FSA Farm Number as well on the results
page.