Market Update
November 2020
MBA Forecast for 2021: Prepare for Rising Mortgage Rates
“At its Annual event… Mortgage Bankers Association Chief Economist Mike Fratantoni
forecast that mortgage rates could rise in the year to come, but that they will remain
near all-time lows.”
3.9%
3.7% 3.6%
3.3%
3.0%
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Housing Wire
Households Used Most of Their Stimulus Checks to
Pay Down Debt and Save
35% 29%
Paid Down Debt Spent the Money
36%
Saved the Money
New York Fed
Change in Consumer Spending Since 1/1/20
Average Days on the Market
NAR
Top Three Reasons 31%
Homeowners Are
NOT Putting Their financial uncertainty
House on the Market
Zillow Report
34% 25%
life is too uncertain COVID-19
right now health concerns
“Data from the Survey of Business Uncertainty
(SBU) suggest that the road forward is going to
be a tough slog. Businesses hold tepid
expectations for year-ahead employment and
sales growth. Expectations are, in fact, so tepid
that, based on the latest average projection, it
will take firms more than four-and-a-half years
to recover their pre-Covid employment levels.”
Federal Reserve Bank
Average Sold Prices- Kootenai County
*Data supplied by CdA MLS as of 11/16/2020
60%
36%
32%
21% 15%
14% 16%
Single Family Vacant Land Multi-1F%amily
Month over Month Current Vs Same MTD 1 year ago
-11%
Current Vs Previous YTD
Median vs Average Sold Prices
Kootenai County
$654,000
$570,000
$409,000 $523,000
$350,000 $355,000
Single Family Single Family on Acreage Multi Family
Median Sold Price Average
*Data supplied by CdA MLS as of 11/16/2020
Median vs Average Sold Prices
Kootenai County
*Data supplied by CdA MLS as of 11/16/2020
$1,137,000
$864,000
$453,000
$298,000 $250,000
$160,000
Condo Res Waterfront Vacant Land
Median Sold Price Average
Residential Snap Shot
January 1st, 2020- October 31st, 2020
Residential Snap Shot
Area 01 CdA Area 02 Post Falls Area 03 Hayden
Active Listings November 1st, 2018 – January 31, 2019 778
Homes Sold/Closed YTD 1,551 Active Listings 1,517 Active Listings 598
Avg Days on Market 87
Median Sales Price 1,260 Homes Sold/Closed YTD 1,239 Homes Sold/Closed YTD $398,000
Avg Sales Price $489,000
SP/OLP 80 Avg Days on Market 95 Avg Days on Market 98%
$374,000 Median Sales Price $335,000 Median Sales Price
$432,000 Avg Sales Price $391,000 Avg Sales Price
99% SP/OLP 99% SP/OLP
Area 04 Rathdrum/Twin Lakes Area 04a Hauser Lake Area 05 Athol/Spirit Lake NW Kootenai Co
Active Listings 721 Active Listings 60 Active Listings 309
Homes Sold/Closed YTD 527 Homes Sold/Closed YTD 40 Homes Sold/Closed YTD 204
Avg Days on Market 110 Avg Days on Market 76 Avg Days on Market
Median Sales Price $325,000 Median Sales Price $509,000 Median Sales Price 91
Avg Sales Price $370,000 Avg Sales Price $497,000 Avg Sales Price $341,000
SP/OLP 99% SP/OLP 98% SP/OLP $376,000
99%
Area Athol/Bayview 06 NE Kootenai Co Area 12 Silver Valley Area All Kootenai Co
Active Listings 146 Active Listings 428 Active Listings 5,547
Homes Sold/Closed YTD 100 Homes Sold/Closed YTD 282 Homes Sold/Closed YTD 4,244
Avg Days on Market 102 Avg Days on Market Avg Days on Market
Median Sales Price $446,000 Median Sales Price 95 Median Sales Price 93
Avg Sales Price $493,000 Avg Sales Price $164,000 Avg Sales Price $360,000
SP/OLP 96% SP/OLP $186,000 SP/OLP $452,000
94% 98%
*Data provided by Cda MLS
“The likelihood of us
having a foreclosure
crisis again is about
zero percent.”
Ivy Zelman
Founder of Zelman & Associates
Talking Points…….
❑Average Sales Price in Kootenai County for resale properties
is up 25% from this time last year
❑New Construction is up 11%
❑$1,000,000+ homes are selling for 98% list to sales price
❑Compared to 3 years ago @ 94%, 5 Years ago was 90%
❑DOM is currently 74, peak selling season
3 years ago it was more than double this
Months of Inventory Analysis
CDA Site Built < 2 Acres
August 1st, 2020 through October 31st, 2020
90
80 77
70
60 57
55 47 47
38
50
40
30
23
20
12
10 7 5 10 5 6 3 10 9 3 232 6 4 32 3 3 5 11
00 0 6 0 0 0 1 3 0 1 0 1
3
01 1 2
0
Active Listings Sold During Time Period Months of Inventory
*Data provided by Cda MLS
Months of Inventory Analysis
Residential Waterfront
August 1st, 2020 through October 31st, 2020
25
21 21
20
15
10
88
77
6 6 6 66
55 5 55
5
4 44 4
4
33 3 333 3 33
2 2 22
1 1
11 1 1 1 1 1 11
0 0 0 1 00 1
00 00 00
*Data provided by Cda MLS
Months of Inventory Analysis
Kootenai Site Built < 2 Acres
August 1st, 2020 through October 31st, 2020
300
261
250
214 203
200
150
130
98
100
85
52
50
32 11 28 23 17 21 7 40 27 21 14 19 8 11 65 7 6 22
20 0 0 0 0 1 0 7 51 7 51 10 62 2 1
1 2
0
Active Listings Sold During Time Period Months of Inventory
Months of Inventory Analysis
Kootenai Site Built > 2 Acres
August 1st, 2020 through October 31tst 2020
30
25 24
20
20
18
15
15 14
12
10
10 9
8
66 66
55 5 5 55
3 1
2 4 4 4 44 4
2
0 3 3 33
2 1
2 2 2 2 2
11 2
1 11 1
1 1
1
Active Listings Sold During Time Period Months of Inventory
Months of Inventory Analysis
Post Falls Site Built < 2 Acres
August 1st, 2020 through October 31st, 2020
140
120 117
100 79
80 77
60
40
31
25
20 15 16 15
10 8 9 10 86
10 20 0 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 2 0 12 21
0
Active Listings Sold During Time Period Months of Inventory
Months of Inventory Analysis
Rathdrum Site Built < 2 Acres
August 1st, through October 31st, 2020
45
40
40
35
32
30
25 24
20
15 1 3 1 12 7 2 4 4 2
0 0 0 00 10 00 11 0 0
10
8
5
00
0
Active Listings Sold During Time Period Months of Inventory
Months of Inventory Analysis
Hayden Site Built < 2 Acres
August 1st, 2020 through October 31st, 2020
40
35 34
33
30 27
25
23
20
15 15
15
10 9
8
55 5
5
33
22222 2 2 22
11
1 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 11
0
00
0
*Data provided by Cda MLS Active Listings Sold During Time Period Months of Inventory
Residential Sales Comparison Year over Year
All MLS
782 801 818 809
722
C62h8art Title 691 585
590
420
6
617
5 439 448 586
461 462 509
396
4
319 310
3 311 324
2
1
0 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4
Category 1
Jan Feb March April May SerJiuense1 SeriJeusl2y SerieAsu3g Sept Oct Nov Dec
2015 Sold 2016 Sold 2017 Sold 2018 Sold 2019 Sold 2020 Sold
*Data provided by CDA MLS