Market Update
August 2020
Showings in North America
1/12 1/21 2/4 2/18 3/3 3/17 3/31 4/14 4/28 5/5 5/19 6/2 6/9 6/16 6/23 6/30 7/7 7/14 7/21 7/28
Weekly showings normalized to the first calendar
week of January, 7-day moving average.
ShowingTime
Purchase Applications
Year-Over-Year Difference
40%
30%
20%
10%
11 straight weeks of Y-O-Y increases
0%
-10%
-20%
seasonally adjusted
-30%
-40%
3/11 3/18 3/25 4/1 4/8 4/15 4/22 4/29 5/6 5/13 5/20 5/27 6/3 6/10 6/17 6/24 7/1 7/8 7/15 7/22 7/29
MBA
Mortgage Rates - Actual
- Projected
Freddie Mac
30-Year Fixed Rate
2019
2018
2017
2020
2016 2021
2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 2021 2021
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
ate 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.9 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.8 4.4 4 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2
Freddie Mac
Large Range of Projections on Future Home Prices
4.4% 4.3% 4% Some project for the current year (*)
Others over the next 12 months (**)
3% 3%
2.3%
???
Fannie Mae* NAR* MBA* Zelman** Reuters' Poll** Freddie Mac* Zillow* CoreLogic Haus**
Zillow 7/17: “Home prices to fall just 0.5% from their -1% -1.1%
June peak to August, followed by a rapid recovery.”
The Housing Market Recovery Index
110 106.5 103.7
February 1st Baseline = 100
100
90 83.1
Combines 4 components:
1. Demand
80 2. Supply
3. Price
4. Time on the market
70
2/1 2/8 2/15 2/22 2/29 3/7 3/14 3/21 3/28 4/4 4/11 4/18 4/25 5/2 5/9 5/16 5/23 5/30 6/6 6/13 6/20 6/27 7/4 7/11 7/18 7/25
realtor.com
New Home Sales NATIONAL
% of sales by price range CdA MLS
41%
20%
26%
25%
19%
11% 11%
8%
1% 1% 5% $200-299K $300- $400- $500- 4%
1% $399K $499K $749K
Under 1%
$150K $150-
$199K Over
$750K
Census
Kootenai County Single Family Resale
*Data supplied by TrendGraphix
Single Family Re-Sale By Area
Year over Year Average Sales price Increase
25% 20%
22% 18%
19%
16%
11%
8%
01-Cda/Dalton PF Hayden 04-Rathdrum/Twin Lakes 05-NW Kootenai County 06-NE Kootenai County Silver Valley Bonner/Boundary Benewah
*Data provided by TrendGraphix -11%
As of 8/10/2020
Single Family New Construction By Area
Year over Year Average Sales price Increase
14%
12%
10% 10%
3%
-3%
01-Cda/Dalton PF Hayden -8% -10% 06-NE Kootenai County Silver Valley Bonner/Boundary
*Data provided by TrendGraphix 04-Rathdrum/Twin Lakes 05-NW Kootenai County
As of 8/10/2020
Residential Snap Shot
January 1st, 2020- July 31st, 2020 Residential
Area 01 CdA Area Snap Shot 02 Post Falls Area 03 Hayden
Active Listings November 1st, 2018 – January 31, 2019 548
Homes Sold/Closed YTD 1,153 Active Listings 1,110 Active Listings 339
Avg Days on Market 95
Median Sales Price 740 Homes Sold/Closed YTD 770 Homes Sold/Closed YTD $360,000
Avg Sales Price $424,000
SP/OLP 82 Avg Days on Market 105 Avg Days on Market 98%
$355,000 Median Sales Price $325,000 Median Sales Price
$385,000 Avg Sales Price $362,000 Avg Sales Price
98% SP/OLP 98% SP/OLP
Area 04 Rathdrum/Twin Lakes Area 04a Hauser Lake Area 05 Athol/Spirit Lake NW Kootenai Co
Active Listings 544 Active Listings 34 Active Listings 252
Homes Sold/Closed YTD 327 Homes Sold/Closed YTD 17 Homes Sold/Closed YTD 115
Avg Days on Market 114 Avg Days on Market 84 Avg Days on Market
Median Sales Price $319,000 Median Sales Price $502,000 Median Sales Price 85
Avg Sales Price $363,000 Avg Sales Price $437,000 Avg Sales Price $345,000
SP/OLP 99% SP/OLP 97% SP/OLP $375,000
98%
Area Athol/Bayview 06 NE Kootenai Co Area 12 Silver Valley Area All Kootenai Co
Active Listings 124 Active Listings 324 Active Listings 4,130
Homes Sold/Closed YTD 63 Homes Sold/Closed YTD 158 Homes Sold/Closed YTD 2,515
Avg Days on Market Avg Days on Market Avg Days on Market
Median Sales Price 105 Median Sales Price 94 Median Sales Price 98
Avg Sales Price $365,000 Avg Sales Price $161,000 Avg Sales Price $345,000
SP/OLP $397,000 SP/OLP $176,000 SP/OLP $411,000
97% 95% 98%
*Data provided by Cda MLS
Talking Points
• The buyer counseling interview is critically
important in this current market. Educate your
buyers in an optimistic way what the reality is,
let them absorb that reality in their timeframe.
• Since June, 65 properties have sold over $1mill
in our MLS, 18 of those have been over $2mill.
Months of Inventory Analysis
CDA Site Built < 2 Acres
May 1st, 2020 through July 31st, 2020
70
66
63 64
60
50
50
40
33
30
21
20 19 18 17 16
13 14 14
11
10 8
2 10 1 1 1 1 2 2 6 4 5 3 3 12
00 1 2 3 11 1
2
00
0
Active Listings Sold During Time Period Months of Inventory
*Data provided by Cda MLS
Months of Inventory Analysis
Residential Waterfront
May 1st, 2020 through July 31st, 2020
25
21 21
20
15
10 9
7
66
55 5 5 55 5
5
4 44 44 4 4 4
33 3 3 3 3 3
11 1 22 2 22
2 2 2 22 2 2 22 2 2 22 2
1 1 1 22 1 1 11
00
0
Active Listings Sold During Time Period Months of Inventory
*Data provided by Cda MLS
Months of Inventory Analysis
Kootenai Site Built < 2 Acres
May 1st, 2020 through July 31st, 2020
300
250 239
231
200
172
150
120
100
73
58 60
50 41 43 42 40 36
33
151 5 0 1 1
0 22 16 17
21
1 1 1 9 13 582 864 15 5 52 6
2 8 51 87 0 1
2
Active Listings Sold During Time Period Months of Inventory
Months of Inventory Analysis
Kootenai Site Built > 2 Acres
May 1st, 2020 through July 31st, 2020
25
21
20
17
16
15
13 13
12
11
10
10 9 9 9
66
55 55 5 5 5 5
5
44 4
3 33 33
2 2 2 2 22 2 2 22
2 11
11
1
00
0
Active Listings Sold During Time Period Months of Inventory
Months of Inventory Analysis
Post Falls Site Built < 2 Acres
May 1st, 2020 through July 31st, 2020
100
91
90
81
80
70
63
60
50
40
40
30
25
23
20
20 16
13 11
10 99
10
6 5
4 2
0 1 1 1 1 3 2 12 10 11
1
0
Active Listings Sold During Time Period Months of Inventory
Months of Inventory Analysis
Rathdrum Site Built < 2 Acres
May 1st, through July 31st, 2020
45
40 39
35
32
30
25
20
15
13
10 4 8 6 44
8 0 00 3
4
5 2 2 2 22
10 0 00
1
0 0
Active Listings Sold During Time Period Months of Inventory
Months of Inventory Analysis
Hayden Site Built < 2 Acres
May 1st, 2020 through July 31st, 2020
45
40 39
35 34 32
30
25
20
15
15
12 12
10 9 9 9
5 55
54 44 44
23 33 2 22
0
11 0 1 1 1 1 10 1 0 1 1
0 0
0
Active Listings Sold During Time Period Months of Inventory
*Data provided by Cda MLS
Residential Sales Comparison Year over Year
All MLS
782
722
628 691 585
590
420 617
439 448 586
461 462 509
396
319 310
311
324
Jan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2015 Sold 2016 Sold 2017 Sold 2018 Sold 2019 Sold 2020 Sold
*Data provided by CDA MLS