DDD Magazine 2022 Off-Season

DINERS, DYNASTIES
AND DIVES

WHERE TEAMS STAND FOR 2022

A dive into all 14 teams. Where they
stand, strengths and weaknesses.

LEAGUE INFORMATION

We look at league records after one
season, as well as a few rule updates
and adjustments going into the new
year.

2021 YEAR IN REVIEW

A highlight of the league’s first year
- hits, misses, wins and losses.

2022 OFF-SEASON | $7.98



TABLE OF CONTENTS

Commissioner's Note 03
A Look at Each Team Pt. 1 04-10
A Rivalry is Born
A Look at Each Team Pt 2 11
12-13

League Changes & Updates 15

A Look at Each Team Pt 3 16-20

Potential Positive Touchdown Regression 22-23

with Scott Rinear

Year In Review 24-25

Off-Season Sleeper Notifications 26

Historical Records 28

Commissioner's Note

May 2022

To League Owners,
Thank you all for a great inaugural season. What a year it was.
From Kieltyka05 almost going undefeated, to charlesth4th almost going
winless, the memories are countless.
We saw some big players get moved to new owners - Davante Adams,
Amari Cooper, Tee Higgins & Hollywood Brown, to name a few. We saw
upsets, blowouts and memes a plenty.
It's time to look back, but also look forward.
On the following pages, you'll find last year's highlights, where each team
stands today, historical records, as well as some very important league
updates and changes.
Thanks for reading.

Your commissioner,

Tyler Gosselin

Tyler "Gou Fieri" Gosselin

Page 3

Total Points For
1693.92

Total Points Against
1528.24
Max PF
1999.84

All-time Reg.
Season Record

8-5
Playoff
Appearances

2021
Playoff Record

3-0
Championships

1
Runner Up

-

All time loses
38.5%

All time wins
61.5%

Best Older Fellas
R Woods, WR (30)
M Thomas, WR (29)

G Kittle, TE (28)

Best Young Assets
J Allen, QB (25)

M Andrews, TE (26)
E Moore, WR (22)

2021 Wasted FAAB
$0

2022 Draft Capital
1.13
3.11
3.13

Page 4

Total Points For
1815.12

Total Points Against
1627.22
Max PF
2154.64

All-time Reg.
Season Record

9-4
Playoff
Appearances

2021
Playoff Record

1-1
Championships

-
Runner Up

1

All time loses
30.8%

All time wins
69.2%

Best Older Fellas
M Evans, WR (28)
B Cooks, WR (28)
T Kelce, TE (32)

Best Young Assets
J Mixon, RB (25)
J Jacobs, RB (24)

L Jackson, QB (25)

2021 Wasted FAAB
$16

2022 Draft Capital
2.02

Page 5

Total Points For
1867.32

Total Points Against
1407.64
Max PF
2224.04

All-time Reg. Season
Record
12-1

Playoff Appearances
2021

Playoff Record
0-1

Championships
-

Runner Up
-

All time loses
7.7%

All time wins
92.3%

Best Older Fellas
K Allen, WR (30)
A Thielen, WR (30)
M Ryan, QB (36)

Best Young Assets
A St. Brown, WR (22)
D Johnson, WR (25)
M Pittman, WR (24)

2021 Wasted FAAB
$0

2022 Draft Capital
1.14
2.01
3.14

Page 6

Total Points For
1693.92

Total Points Against
1528.24
Max PF
1999.84

All-time Reg.
Season Record

8-5
Playoff
Appearances

2021
Playoff Record

1-1
Championships

-
Runner Up

-

All time loses
38.5%

All time wins
61.5%

Best Older Fellas
C Carson, RB (27)
C Davis, WR (27)
S Michel, RB (27)

Best Young Assets
K Pitts, TE (21)

K Murray, QB (24)
A Kamara, RB (26)

2021 Wasted FAAB
$50

2022 Draft Capital
1.12
2.03
3.12

Page 7

Total Points For
1736.40

Total Points Against
1487.94
Max PF
1990.90

All-time Record
7-6

Playoff
Appearances

2021
Playoff Record

0-1
Championships

-
Runner Up

-

All time loses
46.2%

All time wins
53.8%

Best Older Fellas
M Stafford QB, (34)

T Boyd, WR (27)
D Parker, QB (29)
Best Young Assets
D Swift, RB (23)
D Samuel, WR (26)
J Burrow, QB (25)

2021 Wasted FAAB
$38

2022 Draft Capital
1.10
2.05
3.10

Page 8

Total Points For
1605.24

Total Points Against
1621.74
Max PF
1888.50

All-time Reg.
Season Record

7-6
Playoff
Appearances

2021
Playoff Record

0-1
Championships

-
Runner Up

-

All time loses
46.2%

All time wins
53.8%

Best Older Fellas
S Diggs, WR (28)
A Rodgers, QB (38)

Z Ertz, TE (31)

Best Young Assets
A Gibson, RB (23)
J Fields, QB (23)
E Mitchell, RB (23)

2021 Wasted FAAB
$29

2022 Draft Capital
1.09
3.09

Page 9

Total Points For
1578.84

Total Points Against
1542.64
Max PF
1917.32

All-time Record
7-6

Playoff
Appearances

-
Playoff Record

-
Championships

-
Runner Up

-

All time loses
46.2%

All time wins
53.8%

Best Older Fellas
D Prescott, QB (28)

M Davis, RB (29)
L Fournette, RB (27)

Best Young Assets
C Lamb, WR (23)
J Jeudy, WR (23)

T Hockenson, TE (24)

2021 Wasted FAAB
$23

2022 Draft Capital
1.08
2.07
3.08

Page 10

A Rivalry is
Born

It's a cold September weekday morning. A young Chandler, circa 2017, training early for what would
2:57am. My phone rings. I was up late the become his first TKO vs Jake

night prior rewatching the latest two Sunday rolls around and everyone is keeping a
seasons of Guy's Grocery Games and had closer than usual eye on what otherwise is a
just entered my REM cycle. Needless to say, I
wasn't interested in chatting on the phone. boring matchup of two 0-1 teams squaring off.
It's Jake on the other line - "hey man, you The Brady to Gronk connection goes nuclear,
gotta let me write the Talkin' Smack column leading the way to a close 6 point win for Prison

this week, I'mma crush this guy." Mike and the Boys.
"This guy", as Jake put it, was Chandler Smith The league is ecstatic. Will Jake really make the
donation? What charity will Chandler choose?
aka the owner of Prison Mike and the Boys.
Sure, Jake had the upper hand on roster Will this be done in a timely fashion? The
construction at the time, but little did he league was in unprecedented territory.
Not long after, Jake and Chandler come to an
know Chandler had been priming himself for agreement - Jake will donate to DonorsChoose
this battle for going on four years. (donorschoose.org). To date, this has gone
down as the first and last bet in league history
"Commish, you gotta give me that article, I
have a killer idea that the league is going to and the first of many rivalries.


jump on!"
Jake peaked my interested. I played Page 11

along..."what's the idea?" I asked.
Jake was proud to share - "Alright, so I'm
thinking I'm going to challenge Chandler to
a bet and if I lose I'll donate $50 to a charity
of his choice and change my team name to

whatever he decides."
Puzzled I asked, "And if Chandler loses the

bet?"
"Well, nothing. That's what makes this idea

so unique"
At that moment, I knew I had to let Jake write

the Talkin' Smack column, this was just too
good.

The Talkin' Smack column comes out a few
days later and the league is in utter disbelief.
My DMs were blowing up with owners asking
me what Jake was thinking, but I didn't have

a good answer. All I could say is that it'd all
come to a head on Sunday.

Total Points For
1492.42

Total Points Against
1564.86
Max PF
1917.32

All-time Record
7-6

Playoff
Appearances

-
Playoff Record

-
Championships

-
Runner Up

-

All time loses
46.2%

All time wins
53.8%

Best Older Fellas
T Higbee, TE (29)

Best Young Assets
P Mahomes, QB (26)

N Harris, RB (24)
J Waddle, WR (23)

2021 Wasted FAAB
$78

2022 Draft Capital
1.07
2.08
3.07

Page 12

Total Points For
1618.34

Total Points Against
1822.20
Max PF
1805.92

All-time Reg.
Season Record

6-7
Playoff
Appearances

-
Playoff Record

-
Championships

-
Runner Up

-

All time wins
46.2%

All time loses
53.8%

Best Older Fellas
T Brady, QB (44)
O Beckham, WR (29)
R Gronkowski, TE (32)

Best Young Assets
E Elliott, RB (26)
D Cook, RB (26)

D Metcalf, WR (24)

2021 Wasted FAAB
$65

2022 Draft Capital
1.06
2.09
2.12

Page 13



Dues & Draft:
Dues for the 2023 season will be collected no later than May 1st, 2023. The 2023 rookie/vet FA draft will
be held early June, followed by weekly waivers running Monday-Sunday. This waiver period will utilize
the same FAAB bucket as the 2023 regular season, with the total FAAB budget being increased to $150.
The weekly waiver period will transition to the normal waiver/ FA process at least two weeks prior to the
NFL season beginning.

Draft order will be determined by lowest Max PF and final playoff standings. Lowest Max PF will be
awarded the 1st pick, with highest Max PF of non-playoff teams receiving the 8th pick. The
championship winner will be awarded the 14th pick with runner up receiving the 13th pick. The
remaining playoff teams will fill out picks 9-12 in order of lowest Max PF of those teams.

The draft will be held early June (Date TBD). The draft will be a linear format moving forward.

Taxi Spot:
Moments before the 2023 draft, the commissioner will add a taxi spot to each team’s roster. The
maximum duration for this taxi spot will be 2 years. The deadline to add a player to the taxi squad will
be the start of the regular season. Only rookies may be added to the taxi squad. More information on
how the taxi spot works can be found here.

Regular season expansion:
The regular season will be one week longer, with the trade deadline being pushed out one week further
as well. This puts the playoffs from week 15-17 with the trade deadline being week 12. This will be
effective immediately.

Payouts (unchanged):
First place: $650

Second place: $200
Most points for the regular season: $200
Steal the Ball: TBD (participation dependent)

Page 15

Total Points For
1570.54

Total Points Against
1640.62
Max PF
1961.22

All-time Record
6-7

Playoff
Appearances

-
Playoff Record

-
Championships

-
Runner Up

-

All time wins
46.2%

All time loses
53.8%

Best Older Fellas
R Wilson, QB (33)
D Henry, RB (28)
D Goedert, TE (27)
Best Young Assets
D Smith, WR (23)
K Osborn, WR (24)
K Toney, WR (23)

2021 Wasted FAAB
$96

2022 Draft Capital
1.05
2.10
3.05

Page 16

Total Points For
1482.42

Total Points Against
1576.76
Max PF
1811.98

All-time Reg.
Season Record

5-8
Playoff
Appearances

-
Playoff Record

-
Championships

-
Runner Up

-

All time wins
38.5%

All time loses
61.5%

Best Older Fellas
D Carr, QB (31)

Best Young Assets
J Jefferson, WR (22)

J Chase, WR (22)
D Moore, WR (25)

2021 Wasted FAAB
$0

2022 Draft Capital
1.04
2.04
2.11
3.04

Page 17

Total Points For
1485.06

Total Points Against
1744.34
Max PF
1606.08

All-time Reg.
Season Record

4-9
Playoff
Appearances

-
Playoff Record

-
Championships

-
Runner Up

-

All time wins
30.8%

All time loses
69.2%

Best Older Fellas
T Hill, WR (28)

A Robinson, WR (28)
E Engram, TE (27)

Best Young Assets
J Williams, RB (21)
A Brown, WR (24)
M Gallup, WR (26)

2021 Wasted FAAB
$72

2022 Draft Capital
1.03
2.06
3.03
3.06

Page 18

Total Points For
1408.36

Total Points Against
1638.14
Max PF
1747.30

All-time Reg.
Season Record

4-9
Playoff
Appearances

-
Playoff Record

-
Championships

-
Runner Up

-

All time wins
30.8%

All time loses
69.2%

Best Older Fellas
K Golladay, WR (28)
D Hopkins, WR (29)
T Lockett, WR (29)
Best Young Assets
J Herbert, QB (24)
C McCaffrey, RB (25)

R Jones, RB (24)

2021 Wasted FAAB
$88

2022 Draft Capital
1.0
2
2.13
3.02

Page 19

Total Points For
1323.62

Total Points Against
1690.58
Max PF
1597.18

All-time Reg.
Season Record

1-12
Playoff
Appearances

-
Playoff Record

-
Championships

-
Runner Up

-

All time wins
7.7%

All time loses
92.3%

Best Older Fellas
C Uzomah, TE (29)
A Jones, RB (27)
A Hooper, TE (27)
Best Youn
g Assets
J Taylor, RB (23)
T Higgins, RB (23)
P Freiermuth, TE (23)




2021 Wasted FAAB
$24

2022 Draft Capital
1.01
1.11
2.14
3.01

Page 20



POTENTIAL POSITIVE
TOUCHDOWN REGRESSION

IN 2022



WRITTEN BY SCOTT RINEAR
@MUNDERDIFFLINFF ON TWITTER
APRIL 11, 2022

Statistical regression can be looked at in a variety of ways. The regression I look at in this
article is the regression of fantasy football data points toward the mean (average) of a chosen
data set. More simply put, I am looking at touchdown percentage in 2021 for players at the
running back, wide receiver, and tight end position compared to historical averages over the
last 10 seasons. I will be looking at the 2021 top 36 fantasy RBs, top 36 fantasy WRs, and top 24
fantasy TEs, all in half-point per reception format.
The purpose of this analysis is to find players at each position who had an abnormally low TD%
in 2021 compared to the historical average at the position, who may be in line for positive TD
regression in 2022 back toward the historical mean.

As with any statistical metric, TD% viewed without additional context can be misleading. For
example, newly-signed Dolphins’ RB (and former Cardinals’ RB) Chase Edmonds didn’t score
his first TD of 2021 until Week 8 and finished the season with only two rushing TDs and a rushing
TD% (total rushing TDs divided by rushing attempts) of 1.3%. Granted, Edmonds missed five
games in 2021, but his TD% ranked 41st among RBs with at least 100 attempts, and the “per
attempt” nature of TD% accounts for missed games. The 10-year average for TD% among top
36 RBs (2012-2021) is 3.13%, almost three times Edmonds’ 2021 rate. If looking only at TD%, this
may look like an outlier on the negative side of the mean and would indicate a higher
probability of a TD% increase for Edmonds in 2022. While Edmonds could very well score a TD
on more than 1.3% of his carries in 2022, the cause of his lower TD% becomes clear with
additional context.

The Cardinals did not re-sign Kenyan Drake before the 2021
season, so initial speculation included a big role for
Edmonds, who had played a more complementary RB role
up until that point in his short career. Edmonds was
somewhat polarizing in the fantasy community once Drake
headed to the Raiders, with some seeing a greatly
expanded role and fantasy success, and others concerned
about his size (even though his size/speed comparison is
Aaron Jones), him never having been a primary RB before
and the likelihood the Cardinals would bring in a free
agent. This is exactly what happened when the Cardinals
signed free agent RB James Conner, widely seen as the
more likely “goal-line” RB when forecasting the 2021
season. And this is what played out. Edmonds’ role did
increase compared to previous seasons, but with very little
work in the red zone. Conner became the goal-line RB,
leading the league with a 7.5% TD% and finishing only
behind the Colts’ Jonathan Taylor in carries inside the 10-
and 5- yard lines.

Page 22

POTENTIAL POSITIVE
TOUCHDOWN REGRESSION

IN 2022 (CONT.)



WRITTEN BY SCOTT RINEAR
@MUNDERDIFFLINFF ON TWITTER
APRIL 11, 2022

This example with the 2021 Cardinals backfield is not intended to be a significant or unknown
revelation. Edmonds is now a Miami Dolphin and whether Conner can sustain that high of a
TD% is a separate conversation. The purpose is to drive home the point (with an obvious
example) that when looking at specific metrics in an attempt to predict the probability of
future results, you have to ask additional questions. Just because something is below average
does not mean it will automatically regress toward the average, so you have to look at causes
for the sub-par data and potential obstacles standing in the way of positive regression. Is
there a logical trail of breadcrumbs pointing toward an explanation, as with the Edmonds
example, or does it look more like a potential outlier for that player?
Starting with WRs, in this article I’ll look at historical TD% rates along with a closer look at one
player at each position (WR, RB & TE).

Wide Receiver Historical TD%
To arrive at an average TD% for comparison I looked
at the top 36 WRs (0.5 PPR) for the last 10 seasons
(2012-2021). Using the simple TD% calculation
(receiving TDs divided by targets), the following
table shows the average TD% for each of the 10
seasons as well as the 10-year average. I broke the
numbers down to the top 36, top 24, and top 12 for
each season (and 10-year average).

You see the following average WR TD% over the 10-
year span:

Top 36 WR: 5.7%
Top 24 WR: 5.9%
Top 12 WR: 6.4%

Now that we have an average based on a decent
sample size, we can use that to compare individual
TD% of WRs from the 2021 season to first determine
who underperformed in this category. Can we
reasonably expect a potential positive regression to
the mean in 2022?

Page 23

PRE-DRAFT DRAMA FEATURING THE 5 STAGES OF GRIEF




Denial

Charlesth4th: "When did we vote on this time?"

Bargaining

Charlesth4th: "Hi - wondering if I could put in a request to move the

draft?" "It's during work hours"

Everyone: "no"

Charlesth4th: "Well the other thing.. which you guys are going to

fucking hate...I’d my sister is visiting and I’m supposed to take her to

the Padres game that night"

Gou Fieri: "Chu you’ll be dead to me in a very literal sense. Someone

will say in 5 years “oh I saw Charlie the other day, he has a

newspaper route now!” And I’ll say “Charlie has been dead for 5

YEARS.”"

Depression

Charlesth4th: "How many people are in this league? Don’t you have

enough without me"

Anger

Charlesth4th: "Then let me fucking quit. I didn’t vote on the time."

Acceptance

Charlesth4th: "To avoid any additional craziness, my team and I have

elected to auto-draft. This decision was not made lightly, and I want

to assure our fans that we’re going to do everything within our

power to put the best team on the field each week this season and

beyond."

Narrator: They did not put their best team on the field each week

KevonM: "Go Padres" THE DRAFT




From the very beginning of the draft, it was clear who

was looking to compete now and who was gearing up

for a longer play. We saw a few strong longterm plays

by Team Robinson, grabbing some key dynasty

cornerstones in Ja'marr Chase and Justin Jefferson,

While Kieltyka05 and Team Chadballer were clearly in

win-now mode. Some auction auto-draft fumbles by

Gou Fieri and Prison Mike's Bitch brought their team's

morals to a low throughout.

We saw folks who spent too much money on high
value players and didn't leave room for depth, leading
to poor inagural seasons.
parkerob said it best: "I’d rather have just empty
bench spots than half of these players"

Page 24

THE REGULAR SEASON A.K.A. "THE KIELTYKA05 SHOW" THE PLAYOFFS
The regular season was a Kieltyka05 can of ass whooping. Led by a group of
well regarded Wide Receivers including Thielen, Kupp, and Pittman, Kieltyka05 and Team Chadballer were able
Kieltyka05 torched opponents making the minim game "Steal the Ball" to lock down the two first round byes, but it
completely uninteresting for everyone else. was Gou Fieri that left the season with the
A Key CMC injury catapulted Chuba Hubbard into Kieltyka05's starting line
up resulting in 5 straight weeks of double digit points that Kieltyka05 championship helmet in hand, putting a
would've otherwise been really missing from the RB position. licking to Chadballer 200.06 - 93.50. Josh
Allen did what he did all year, contributing

with a stellar stat line of 314 yards passing
Everything was rolling until a week 10 matchup vs Shades McGrades. When with 3 tudds to leave Chad shaking worse
faced with the challenge of going up against the QB/WR stack of Dak
Prescott (38.34 pts) and CeeDee Lamb (28.60 pts), Kieltyka folded faster than than a dog shitting peach pits.
Superman doing laundry.
Sources are unsure why, but McGrades elected not to participate in "Steal
the Ball" making this defeat utterly useless for the rest of the league.

It'll be interesting to see how an aging Team
Chadballer strategizes moving forward,
most definitely being in win now mode.

Page 25

The Sleeper app notifications in the off-season can be a bit much. Between minor injury news,
draft news, and sleeper promoting their own products, notis could seem all too frequent. Below, I
have outlined how to adjust your notis for the off-season to not receive that clutter, but still get
trade notifications, chat notifications, or whatever you prefer. Thanks to my outline below, you'll

never miss an offer like me sending a 33 year old free agent Antonio Brown who is in need of
surgery in exchange for your third round pick.

Page 26



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