MOES Plan 2021-2025

Risk/context Prob- Impact Mitigation
ability
service delivery or even a change in
curriculum. They will often require
negotiation and agreement from
other Ministries and parts of the
government and are more likely to
face internal resistance to change.
Some reforms will stall completely
for reasons as yet unforeseen, the
positive being that this will release
some capacity to take forward other
reforms. Other reforms will prove
less challenging than anticipated
and may even attract support from
other parts of the government
which in turn may increase the
possibility of acquiring sufficient
funding to transition the system (for
example reforms supporting
greater fiscal probity or stronger
financial reporting may attract
support form Finance and Audit
functions within the wider
government).

171

Annex 6: Projected enrolments, required total financing and expected external financing36

EARLY CHILDHOOD EDUCATION SUB-SECTOR PLAN

Table 1: Enrolment Projections for ECE 2021-22 2022-23 2023- 2024-25
24
2020-21
ECED

Enrolment of 3-5 years old 62.5% 63.6% 64.7% 65.9% 67.0%

Enrolment of 5 years old 83.3% 84.0% 84.7% 85.3% 86.0%
240,437 248,315
Number of Students (Public + 256,370 264,607 273,029
Private) 356 364
282 289 372 380 252
Number of new teachers to be
recruited 295 303 310

Number of new classrooms
required (only public)

Table 2: Finance Projections for ECE (Million Kips)

ECED 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
367,319 381,048
Recurrent 328,444 341,027 353,982 337,337 350,259

Salary 300,800 312,617 324,793 7,204 7,406
6,545 6,728
Family allowance 6,618 6,810 7,005 10,488 10,785
2,251 2,314
Petrol allowance 6,013 6,187 6,364 1,595 1,595

School Block Grants 9,629 9,910 10,197 1,899 1,961
75,876 77,538
Teacher Training costs 2,068 2,128 2,189 45,375 46,448
1,595 1,595 1,595 14,242 14,706
Feeding program cost will 1,722 1,779 1,838 3,798 3,922
be provided by MoES 71,101 72,658 74,249
Teaching & Learning 42 42
materials
1,845 1,847
Capital
10,574 10,574
Classrooms Construction 42,290 43,297 44,325 443,195 458,586

Classrooms Replacement 12,912 13,345 13,788

Classrooms Maintenance 3,443 3,559 3,677

WASH construction 42 42 42
1,841 1,842 1,844
WASH 10,574 10,574 10,574
maintenance/replacement 399,546 413,685 428,231
Feeding program cost will
be provided by DPs

Total

36 Steady State Scenario

172

Table 3: Expected external financing (kip = millions)

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
43,036 43,036
ECE 50,638 48,855 48,969

PRIMARY EDUCATION SUBSECTOR PLAN

Table 4: Enrolment Projections in primary education

PRIMARY 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25
98.9% 99.0%
NIR 98.6% 98.7% 98.8% 4.0 % 3.4 %
1.8 % 1.5 %
Repetition G 1 5.8 % 5.2 % 4.6 % 3.8 % 3.2 %
2.5 % 2.1 %
Repetition 2.8 % 2.5 % 2.2 %
779,595 790,765
Dropout G1 5.7 % 5.1 % 4.5 %
663 786
Dropout 3.9 % 3.4 % 3.0 %
142 278
Total number of 758,971 763,251 771,376
students (Public and
Private)

Number of new 269 499 654
teachers required

Number of new 0 0 139
classrooms required
(only public)

Table 5: Finance Projections for primary education (Million Kips)

Primary 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
845,531 864,192 887,874 916,112 945,385
Recurrent 724,519 739,115 759,558 780,502 806,217

Salary 15,941 16,101 16,383 16,668 17,046
15,329 15,483 15,754 16,028 16,392
Family allowance
1,350 2,700 4,050 5,400 6,750
Petrol allowance 49,268 49,594 50,172 50,756 51,534

Scholarships 7,642 7,659 7,892 7,962 8,175
7,453 7,503 7,591 7,680 7,799
School Block Grants
14,999 17,007 17,445 22,087 22,442
Exams
9,030 9,030 9,030 9,030 9,030
Training costs
Textbooks
replenishment
Feeding program of
MoES

173

Capital 202,988 202,896 208,988 158,629 179,564
0 0 20,909 21,368 41,752
Construction 54,584 54,798 55,215
54,439 54,375 14,556 14,613 14,724
Replacement 14,517 14,500 2,000 2,000 2,000
662 662 662
Maintenance 2,000 2,000
662 662 5,317 5,339 5,361
Special school
5,273 5,295 0
WASH 0
WASH maintenance/ 14,073 13,691 13,153 0 59,850
replacement 1,124,949
Textbooks production 52,173 52,523 37,957 0
(new curriculum;
Bequal/Jica) 59,850 59,850 59,850 59,850
Teacher training (new
curricula) 1,048,518 1,067,088 1,096,862 1,074,742
Feeding program of
DPs

Total

Table 6: Expected external financing (kip =- millions)

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
171,901 171,901
Primary education 84,669 164,527 171,606

LOWER SECONDARY EDUCATION SUB SECTOR PLAN

Table 7: Enrolment Projections in lower secondary education

2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25

Transition rate of 89.4% 90.8% 92.2% 93.6% 95%
primary education
graduates from grade
5 to M1 (%)

Total number of 420,644 414,171 414,281 423,994 437,371
students (public and
private)

Number of new Need to be Need to be 299 770 956
teacher required redeployed redeployed
(public only)

Number of new 0 0 53 452 606
classrooms required
(public only)

174

Table 8: Finance Projections for lower secondary education (populated by DoP / DoF),
Reflecting figures in Part 1 (Million Kips)

Lower secondary 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Recurrent 860,974 856,120 863,340 890,783 926,434
772,435 767,711 775,149 800,794 833,838
Salary
Family allowance 16,536 16,272 16,267 16,639 17,154
Petrol allowance 14,425 14,159 14,154 14,528 15,047
School Block Grants 28,245 27,787 27,771 28,398 29,269
Scholarships
Exams 4,050 5,400 5,400 5,400 5,400
Training costs 5,292 5,148 4,994 4,999 5,097
Textbooks replenishment 5,167 5,085 5,083 5,200 5,361
Capital 14,823 14,557 14,522 14,826 15,270
Construction 106,151 105,314 118,075 219,502 260,315
Dorm construction 13,285 112,879 151,622
Replacement 0 0 27,000 27,000 27,000
Maintenance 27,000 27,000 42,671 42,804 43,932
Computer Labs 43,965 43,215 6,849 7,029 7,272
WASH 27,000 27,000 27,000
maintenance/replacement 6,914 6,827
27,000 27,000 1,271 1,271 1,271
Textbooks production
(new curriculum) 1,271 1,271
Total
00 0 1,519 2,218
967,124 961,434 981,415 1,110,284 1,186,749

Table 9: Expected external financing, (Combined lower and upper secondary) (kip =
millions)

Secondary education 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
53,444 45,330 45,330 45,330 45,330

UPPER SECONDARY EDUCATION SUB SECTOR PLAN

Table 10: Enrolment Projections in upper secondary education

2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25
90%
Transition rate of lower 88.7% 88.3% 88.8% 89.4%
secondary education
graduates from M4 to M5 (%)

175

Total number of students 200,106 202,162 205,115 205,165 204,971
(public and private) 218 262 127 115

Number of new teachers to be 0
recruited

Table 11: Finance Projections for upper secondary education (Million Kips)

Upper secondary 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Recurrent 344,445 351,309 360,268 363,613 366,363
306,663 313,330 321,718 324,951 327,767
Salary
Family allowance 6,565 6,641 6,752 6,752 6,743
Petrol allowance 6,608 6,684 6,795 6,796 6,787
School Block Grants 13,617 13,749 13,942 13,938 13,918
Exams 3,528 3,415 3,536 3,652 3,628
Training costs 2,052 2,075 2,110 2,110 2,107
Textbooks replenishment 5,414 5,414 5,414 5,414 5,414
Capital 91,230 88,273 86,840 85,685 84,209
Dorm construction 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000
Classrooms Replacement 32,095 29,545 28,311 27,315 26,042
Classrooms Maintenance 5,135 4,727 4,530 4,370 4,167
Labs Construction 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000 27,000
Total 435,676 439,582 447,108 449,298 450,572

Table 12: Expected external financing, (Combined lower and upper secondary) (kip =-
millions)

Secondary education 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
53,444 45,330 45,330 45,330 45,330

NON-FORMAL EDUCATION SUBSECTOR PLAN

Table 13: Enrolment Projections in non-formal education

2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25

Number enrolment in Literacy and

primary program 13,200 13,200 13,200 13,200 13,200

Number enrolment in Lower 28,000 28,000 28,000 28,000 28,000
Secondary Equivalency

176

Number enrolment in Upper 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000
Secondary Equivalency
4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000
Number enrolment in Vocational 1 1 1 1 1
Training Equivalency

Number of CLCs required

Table 14: Finance Projections for non-formal education (Million Kips)

Non Formal 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Education 36,002
25,014
Recurrent 32,002 32,973 33,964 34,973
6,000
Salary 21,210 22,136 23,079 24,038 850
6,000 6,000 6,000 6,000 0
Volunteer teachers
allowances 2,000
1,200
Vocational training 850 850 850 850
670
Training costs 00 00
268
Operating costs 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 1,936

SBG (for USE course) 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 300
1,636
Textbooks production 530 562 596 632 37,938
212 225 239 253
Textbooks
replenishment

Capital 1,904 1,912 1,920 1,928

Construction 300 300 300 300

Maintenance 1,604 1,612 1,620 1,628

Total 33,906 34,885 35,884 36,901

Table 15: Expected external financing, (Non-formal education) (kip = millions)

2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25

Non-formal education 1,404 1,404 1,404 1,404 1,404

TEACHER EDUCATION SUB SECTOR PLAN

Table 16: Enrolment Projections in teacher education (populated by DoP / DoF),
Reflecting figures in Part 1

New enrolment (under 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25
quota) 507 530 0 0 0

New enrolment (Non- 2,026 2,121 2,852 2,883 2,944
quota) 2,533 2,651 2,852 2,883 2,944

Total new enrolment

177

Number of ECE teacher 534 606 647 687 728
trainees 563 664 753 797 841
1,617 1,412 1,401 1,294 1,186
Number of primary 174 152 151 139 127
teacher trainees
192 168 166 153 141
Number of secondary 5,651 5,683 5,970 5,953 5,967
teacher trainees

Number of physical
education teacher
trainees

Number of Art
education teacher
trainees

Number of Total
Teacher Trainees

Table 17: Finance Projections for teacher education (Million Kips)

Teacher Education 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
102,991 106,275 109,707 113,239 101,511
Recurrent
66,096 68,580 70,308 72,288 59,904
Salary 955 966 976 992 929
Family allowance
4,776 4,830 4,881 4,962 4,992
Other allowances 2,993 3,075 3,216 3,276 3,399
1,242 1,256 1,269 1,290 1,208
Internship
Petrol allowance 459 476 488 502 512

Training costs 13,430 13,308 13,360 13,542 13,809
2,993 3,075 3,216 3,276 3,399
In-service teacher 5,987 6,149 6,433 6,551 6,798
training (regular) 360 360 360 360 360
1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200
Operating costs 2,500 3,000 4,000 5,000 5,000
7,428 7,504
Scholarships 65,565 68,927 48,373 228 304
Research 192 204 216 2,000 2,000
3,200 3,200
Library books 2,000 2,000 2,000
3,200 3,200 3,200
Teaching/learning Mat,
Capital 52,173 52,523 37,957 0 0

Maintenance 8,000 11,000 5,000 2,000 2,000
168,557 175,203 158,080 120,667 109,015
Lab equipment
Workshops

In-service teacher
training (new curricula)
Special construction
projects

Total

178

Table 18: Expected external financing, (Teacher education) (kip =- millions)

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Teacher education 80,429 84,622 84,111 66,111 24,486

TECHNICAL AND VOCATIONAL EDUCATION AND TRAINING

Table 19: Enrolment Projections in TVET

Programs 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 Total
100 100 120 500
Bachelor37 90 90 3,150 3,150 3,170 15,700
850 900 930 4,300
Higher Diploma (12+2+1,5) 3,100 3,130 3,750 3,800 3,870 18,800
8,000 8,050 8,150 40,000
Diploma (9+3+2) 800 820 3,350 3,450 3,630 16,780
320 340 360 1,600
Diploma (12+3) 3,680 3,700 200 220 250 1,000
270 280 290 1,300
Diploma (12+2) 7,850 7,950 710 720 730 3,550
20,700 21,010 21,500 103,530
Diploma (9+3) 3,100 3,250

Certificate 3 (9+2)38 280 300

Certificate 3 (C3) 150 180

Certificate 2 (C2) 210 250

Certificate 1 (C1) 690 700

Total 19,950 20,370

Table 20: Finance Projections for TVET (Million Kips)

TVET 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Recurrent 219,503 227,473
220,296 221,096 221,905
Salary 79,265 82,483
Family allowance 1,308 80,057 80,858 81,667 1,200
Other allowances 6,540 6,540
Petrol allowance 1,700 1,308 1,308 1,308 1,560
Operating costs
Scholarships 48,000 6,540 6,540 6,540 48,000
Internship 72,000 72,000
Teaching/learning materials 1,700 1,700 1,700
Computers 8,100 8,100
Training costs 800 48,000 48,000 48,000 4,500
Capital 700 2,000
Construction 72,000 72,000 72,000 1,090
Maintenance 1,090 23,100
Workshop construction 26,300 8,100 8,100 8,100 3,000
Dorms construction
Total 3,000 800 800 800 900
900 9,600
700 700 700 9,600
12,800 250,573
9,600 1,090 1,090 1,090

245,803 29,516 23,212 23,100

3,000 3,000 3,000

916 1,012 900

12,800 9,600 9,600

12,800 9,600 9,600

249,812 244,308 245,005

37 For TVET teacher in TVET Development Center
38 Including General Vocational Courses in 11 boarding schools that will be opened from 2020-2021 onward.

179

Table 21: Expected external financing, (TVET) (kip =- millions)

TVET 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25
63,396 78,264 71,460 71,460 71,460

HIGHER EDUCATION SUB SECTOR PLAN

Table 22: Enrolment Projections in higher education

UNESCO CLASSIFICATION
BY GROUP OF SUBJECTS 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25

I Education 1,200 1,535 1,725 1,765 1,760

II Arts and humanities 1,447 1,407 1,412 1,472 1,492

Social sciences, journalism

III and information 740 768 746 758 750

Business, administration and

IV law 2,980 3,070 3,255 3,325 3,360

Natural sciences,

V mathematics and statistics 810 810 810 810 865

Information and

VI communication technologies 160 240 240 240 275

Engineering, manufacturing

VII and construction 3,226 3,505 3,818 4,121 4,405

Agriculture, forestry,

VIII fisheries and veterinary 1,657 1,757 1,790 1,952 1,952
- - - -
IX Health and welfare -

X Services 359 359 359 359 359

TOTAL 12,579 13,451 14,155 14,802 15,218

Table 23: Finance Projections for higher education– four public institutions (Million Kips)

Higher Education 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Recurrent 151,542 152,549 157,111 160,577 163,590

Salary 69,193 69,885 70,584 71,290 72,003
Family allowance 1,151 1,151 1,151 1,151 1,151
Other allowance 9,595 9,595 9,595 9,595 9,595
Petrol allowance 4,375 4,375 4,414 4,414 4,414
Training costs 960 960 960 960 960
Operating costs
28,050 28,201 30,030 31,350 32,450

180

Scholarships 30,600 30,764 32,760 34,200 35,400
Research budget 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000
2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027
Equipment 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000
1,590 1,590 1,590 1,590 1,590
Library books
15,062 51,512 51,512 51,512 54,712
TLM incl, computers 6,750 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000
312 312 312 312 312
Capital 0 3,200 3,200 3,200 6,400

Construction 8,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000
Maintenance/Renovation 166,604 204,061 208,623 212,089 218,302

Lab construction
Special investment
projects
Total

Table 24: Expected external financing, Higher Education (kip =- millions)

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
50,063
Higher education 81,900 99,900 63,900 28,800

SPORTS

Table 25: Finance Projections for Sports Sub-sector (Million Kips)

Sport 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
60,800 76,400 76,000
Recurrent 47,300 123,400
3,200 3,200 3,200
Capacity building for 3,200 3,200
athletes and sportmen 2,500 2,500 2,500
5,000 5,000 2,500 2,500 5,000
Capacity building for 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000
referees and trainers 3,000 29,200 5,000 5,000 28,000
4,400 88,000
Operating costs 42,100 31,500 32,300
2,000 2,000 2,000
Equipment
2,000 2,000 2,000
Student Games 62,800 78,400 27,200 19,700 78,000
2,000 2,000
Special games allocation
(lumpsum)

Capital

Sport facilities 2,000 2,000
construction

Total 49,300 125,400

181

ADMINISTRATION AND MANAGEMENT SUB SECTOR PLAN

Table 26 Finance Projections for administration and management (Million Kips)

Management 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Recurrent 628,477 657,986
305,000 635,389 643,305 652,060 324,631
Salary
Family allowance 5,281 310,335 315,782 321,417 5,621
Other Allowances 125,093 130,868
Petrol allowance 5,373 5,468 5,565
Operating costs 6,271 6,414
EMIS operation 86,280 125,631 126,921 128,740 88,250
PA Mission
Monitoring 4,000 6,317 6,364 6,414 4,000
Equipment 13,149 13,149
Training costs 86,920 87,570 88,250
System Strengthening 830 830
scholarships 9,290 4,000 4,000 4,000 9,290
Capital 20,849 21,811
Office maintenance 25,000 13,149 13,149 13,149 25,000
ODA overheads and TA39 27,435 28,123
Total 142,244 830 830 830 123,500
7,500 7,500
134,744 9,290 9,290 9,290 116,000
770,720 781,486
20,938 21,154 21,457

25,000 25,000 25,000

27,606 27,777 27,949

124,331 123,500 123,500

7,500 7,500 7,500

116,831 116,000 116,000

759,720 766,805 775,560

Table 27: Expected external financing, Administration and Management (kip =- millions)

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Administration and 46,682 45,883 44,983 38,983 22,108
Management

Scholarships 10,983 10,473 10,473 10,473 10,473

Other 171 4,896 4,896 4,896 4,896

39 ODA overheads and technical assistance must be included in the ESSDP costs, so as to allow for financing
gap calculations, It was estimated at 20% of planned ODA, and placed under Management,

182

Annex 7: Statistics of students studying overseas during 5 years (2016-2020) clas

Field of study 2016 2017
Total Female Total Female
BF00 General subjects (e.g. language
preparation) 1,820 794 2,261 997

BF01 Education and sports 157 61 304 108

BF02 Arts and humanities 111 48 290 107

BF03 Social sciences, journalism and 378 115 357 116
information
BF04 Business, administration, law and 1,185 494 1,047 416
international relations
BF05 Natural sciences, mathematics and 128 37 177 59
statistics
BF06 Information and communication 218 47 274 71
technologies
BF07 Engineering, manufacturing and 584 178 481 111
construction
BF08 Agriculture, forestry, fisheries and 97 23 85 18
veterinary 330 177 798 360

BF09 Health and welfare 34 18 89 38
5,042 1,992 6,163 2401
BF10 Services

TOTAL

Note: Number of students who graduated overseas in year 2020 refers to real number o
their study within first 5 months of the year 2020 (between 1 Jan to 31 May 2020)

Information source: Department of students Affair, MoES.

ssified by fields.

2018 2019 2020 5 Year Total
Total Female Total Female
Total Female Total Female

2,008 1,035 1,733 971 219 96 8,041 3,893

277 116 306 129 18 9 1,062 423
14 897 403
234 110 234 124 28

325 108 371 120 25 9 1,456 468

1174 589 1,127 562 148 60 4,681 2,121

178 68 143 72 14 5 640 241

412 126 410 130 33 11 1,347 385

1,170 367 509 109 39 7 2,783 772

131 58 129 38 5 0 447 137

1,074 696 1049 729 100 69 3,351 2,031
145 80 248 132 75 37 591 305
3,116 317 25,296
7,128 3,353 6,259 704 11,179

of those who completed the application forms to study abroad and already completed

183

Statistics of students coming back from overseas (Graduated and not graduated)

2016 2017

Field of study Total
Graduated

Not
graduated

Total
Graduated

Not
graduated

BF01 Education and sports 209 208 1 228 223 5

BF02 Arts and humanities 132 129 3 118 117 1

BF03 Social sciences, journalism 363 360 3 414 410 4
and information

BF04 Business, administration, law 690 687 3 557 554 3
and international relations

BF05 Natural sciences, 149 142 7 129 127 2
mathematics and statistics

BF06 Information and 55 53 2 62 62 0
communication technologies

BF07 Engineering, manufacturing 143 136 7 155 150 5
and construction

BF08 Agriculture, forestry, fisheries 56 54 2 65 61 4
and veterinary

BF09 Health and welfare 209 207 2 296 296 0

BF10 Services 15 15 0 22 21 1

TOTAL 2,021 1,991 30 2,046 2,021 25 1

Note: Number of students who graduated overseas in year 2020 refers to real number
their study within first 5 months of the year 2020 (between 1 Jan to 31 May 2020)

Information source: Department of students Affair, MoES

) between 05 years (2016-2020) classified by fields of study

2018 2019 2020 Total

Total
Graduated

Not
graduated

Total
Graduated

Not
graduated

Total
Graduated

Not
graduated

Total
Graduated

Not
graduated

133 131 2 248 245 3 34 34 0 852 841 11
54 54 0 104 101 3 15 13 2 423 414 9

176 174 2 224 223 1 55 54 1 1,232 1,221 11

493 493 0 1,070 1,062 8 255 252 3 3,065 3,048 17

83 83 0 213 208 5 22 22 0 596 582 14

75 75 0 239 235 4 27 27 0 458 452 6

117 113 4 292 287 5 49 47 2 756 733 23

37 37 0 114 111 3 14 13 1 286 276 10

238 238 0 392 390 2 61 61 0 1,196 1,192 4

23 21 2 25 25 0 15 1 0 86 83 3

1,429 1,419 10 2,921 2,887 34 547 524 9 8,950 8,842 108

of those who completed the application forms to study abroad and already completed

184

Supported by Australia, European Union and UNICEF