WIPPO Snap Poll I: How the U.S. Public and U.S.-based IR ...

WIPPO Snap Poll I: How the U.S. Public and U.S.-based IR
Scholars Compare on Iran Nuclear Agreement, Use of Force,

Migration Crisis, Greece, Trade Agreements, and FIFA

July 8, 2015

Wisconsin International Policy and Public Opinion (WIPPO) Project
University of Wisconsin–Madison

and

Teaching, Research & International Policy (TRIP) Project
Institute for the Theory and Practice of International Relations (ITPIR)

College of William and Mary

http://www.wm.edu/trip

Principal Investigators: Daniel Maliniak, College of William & Mary
Susan Peterson, College of William & Mary
Acknowledgements: Jon Pevehouse, University of Wisconsin–Madison
Media Contact: Ryan Powers, University of Wisconsin–Madison
Data Contacts: Michael J. Tierney, College of William & Mary
Methodology:
We would like to thank Sooyeon Kim, David Singer, and Eric
Voeten for their valuable input on survey questions and would like
to thank the Carnegie Corporation of New York for supporting this
research.

Sasha Maliniak
Phone: (757) 221-7568
Email: [email protected]

Elizabeth Martin, Katie Paulson-Smith
Phone: (757) 221-1466
Email: [email protected]

For the public opinion poll, we surveyed 1,000 Americans from an
existing panel provided by Qualtrics. The poll was open June 9,
2014 to June 18, 2015. The margin of error is approximately +/-3.1
percent. Table 1 shows that this sample is representative of the
U.S. public in terms of age, gender, and income.

We report results of three polls of scholars. For these polls, we
attempted to contact all international relations (IR) scholars in the
United States. We define IR scholars as individuals who are
employed at a college or university in a political science
department or professional school and who teach or conduct
research on issues that cross international borders.

WIPPO Snap Poll I 1

The 2014 TRIP Faculty Survey was open September 9 to
November 3, 2014. Of the 4,187 scholars across the United
States who we contacted, 1,615 responded. The resulting
response rate is approximately 38 percent, and the margin of error
for the poll is +/-1.91 percent. For additional details see the full
report here.

TRIP Snap Poll 5 was open April 6 to April 7, 2015. Of the 4,169
scholars across the United States who we contacted, 921
responded. The resulting response rate is approximately 22.1
percent, and the margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.85% percent.
For additional details see the full report here.

TRIP Snap Poll 6 was open May 31 to June 2, 2015. Of the 4,094
scholars across the United States who we contacted, 655
responded. The resulting response rate is approximately 16.0
percent, and the margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.51% percent.
For additional details see the full report here.

WIPPO Snap Poll I 2

Introduction

We are pleased to share the results of the first Wisconsin International Policy and Public Opinion
(WIPPO) Snap Poll of the U.S. Public. WIPPO Snap Polls of the public are conducted in parallel with
TRIP Snap Polls of IR scholars in order to understand how expert opinion on international politics and
policy issues differs from that of the public.

With support from the Carnegie Corporation of New York, we field TRIP/WIPPO Snap Polls several times
a year. Our polls provide real-time data in the wake of significant policy proposals, during international
crises, and on emerging foreign policy debates. In this series of polls, we asked about support for military
use of force, ongoing negotiations between Iran and the P5+1, Greece and the future of the Euro,
international migration, FIFA, and free-trade agreements. A related essay identifying some interesting
patterns and raising new questions is published on ForeignPolicy.com. For a direct link to that article
click here.

How WIPPO/TRIP Snap Polls work

WIPPO Snap Polls of the U.S. public are fielded using a standing internet-based panel from Qualtrics. In
this first public opinion poll, we surveyed 1,000 Americans. The sample is representative of the U.S.
public in terms of gender, age, and income.

TRIP polls survey all IR scholars in the United States. To be included in our sample, individuals must be
employed at a U.S. college or university in a political science department or professional school and
teach or conduct research on issues that cross international borders.

The number of responses to each question is listed below. See each report for a detailed breakdown of
the demographic characteristics of respondents compared to the population of IR scholars identified by
the TRIP project.

WIPPO Snap Poll I 3

Survey Results

Question 1: Would you support or oppose taking military action if it were certain
Iran was close to producing a nuclear weapon?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent Count Percent
Strongly support military action 58 5.32% 362 31.21%
Support military action 186 17.06% 370 31.90%
Neither support nor oppose
military action 188 17.25% 273 23.53%
Oppose military action
Strongly oppose military action 421 38.61% 109 9.40%
237 21.75% 46 3.97%

Would you support or oppose taking military action
if it were certain Iran was close to producing a
nuclear weapon?

50%

40% 38.6%
30%
20% 31.2% 31.9%

23.5% 21.8%
17.2%
17.1%

10% 9.4%
5.3%
4.0%

0% Support military Neither support Oppose military Strongly oppose
Strongly support military action
military action action nor oppose action

Source: Teaching, Research and military action
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

WIPPO Snap Poll I 4

Question 2: Would you support or oppose taking military action to prevent
genocide of ethnic Rohingya in Myanmar (Burma)?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent
Strongly support Count Percent 312 26.94%
Support 303 26.17%
Neither support nor oppose 65 5.95% 401 34.63%
Oppose 99 8.55%
Strongly Oppose 309 28.35% 43 3.71%

287 26.31%

327 29.96%

103 9.43%

Would you support or oppose taking military action to
prevent genocide of ethnic Rohingya in Myanmar
(Burma)?

40%

34.6%

30.0%

30% 28.4%
26.2%
26.9% 26.3%

20%

10% 8.6% 9.4%
3.7%
6.0%

0% Support Neither support nor Oppose Strongly Oppose
Strongly support oppose

Source: Teaching, Research and Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 5

Question 3: Would you support or oppose taking military action to enforce a
comprehensive peace agreement between Israelis and Palestinians?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent
Strongly support Count Percent 211 18.22%
Support 328 28.32%
Neither support nor oppose 111 10.14% 391 33.77%
Oppose 155 13.39%
Strongly Oppose 337 30.85% 73 6.30%

200 18.25%

297 27.14%

149 13.62%

Would you support or oppose taking military action to
enforce a comprehensive peace agreement between

Israelis and Palestinians?

40%

30% 30.9% 33.8%
28.3% 27.1%

20% 18.2% 18.3%

13.4% 13.6%

10.1%

10%

6.3%

0% Support Neither support nor Oppose Strongly Oppose
Strongly Support oppose

Source: Teaching, Research and Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 6

Question 4: Would you support or oppose taking military action if Sudan
continues to perpetrate human rights abuses within its borders?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent
Strongly support Count Percent 235 20.29%
Support 331 28.58%
Neither support nor oppose 38 3.55% 413 35.66%
Oppose 125 10.79%
Strongly Oppose 245 22.92% 54 4.66%

261 24.42%

382 35.74%

143 13.37%

Would you support or oppose taking military action if
Sudan continues to perpetrate human rights abuses

within its borders?

40%

35.7% 35.8%

30% 28.6% 24.4%
20% 22.9%

20.3%

13.4%

10.8%

10% 4.7%
3.6%

0% Support Neither support nor Oppose Strongly Oppose
Strongly support oppose

Source: Teaching, Research and Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 7

Question 5: Would you support or oppose taking military action to support the
Iraqi government's effort to defeat ISIS forces?

Response Option Public Opinion
Count Percent
Strongly support 371 32.04%
Support 352 30.40%
Neither support nor oppose 298 25.73%
Oppose 98 8.46%
Strongly Oppose 39 3.37%

Would you support or oppose taking military action to
support the Iraqi government's effort to defeat ISIS
forces?

40%

32.0%

30.4%

30%

25.7%

20%

10% 8.5%

3.4%

0% Support Neither support Oppose Strongly Oppose
Strongly support nor oppose

Source: Teaching, Research and Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 8

Question 6: Would you support or oppose taking military action to support the
government of Taiwan in the event of a Chinese invasion of the island?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent
Strongly support Count Percent 218 18.83%
Support 276 23.83%
Neither support nor oppose 59 6.77% 461 39.81%
Oppose 130 11.23%
Strongly Oppose 253 29.01% 73 6.30%

174 19.95%

257 29.47%

129 14.79%

Would you support or oppose taking military action to
support the government of Taiwan in the event of a
Chinese invasion of the island?

45%

40% 39.8%

35% 29.0% 29.5%
30%

25% 23.8%
20%
18.8% 20.0%

15% 14.8%
6.3%
11.2%

10% 6.8%
5%

0% Support Neither support Oppose Strongly Oppose
Strongly support nor oppose

Source: Teaching, Research and Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 9

Question 7: Would you support or oppose taking military action to support the
government of Estonia in the event that Russia intervenes militarily in support of
ethnic Russians living in Estonia?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent
Strongly support Count Percent 202 17.44%
Support 291 25.13%
Neither support nor oppose 149 16.59% 469 40.50%
Oppose 136 11.74%
Strongly Oppose 327 36.45% 60 5.18%

130 14.48%

190 21.13%

102 11.35%

Would you support or oppose taking military action
to support the government of Estonia in the event
that Russia intervenes militarily in support of ethnic

Russians living in Estonia?

50%

40.5%

40% 36.5%

30%

25.1% 21.1%
14.5%
20% 16.6%17.4%

11.7% 11.4%
5.2%
10%

0% Support Neither support Oppose Strongly oppose
Strongly support nor oppose

Source: Teaching, Research and Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 10

Question 8: Would you support or oppose taking military action to support the
government of Ukraine in the event that Russia intervenes militarily in support of
ethnic Russians living in Ukraine?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent
Strongly support Count Percent 216 18.65%
Support 286 24.70%
Neither support nor oppose 29 3.29% 462 39.90%
Oppose 131 11.31%
Strongly Oppose 197 22.45% 63 5.44%

169 19.20%

328 37.22%

157 17.84%

Would you support or oppose taking military action to
support the government of Ukraine in the event that

Russia intervenes militarily in support of ethnic
Russians living in Ukraine?

50%

39.9%

40% 37.2%

30% 24.7%
20% 22.5%

18.7% 19.2% 17.8%

11.3%

10%

5.4%

3.3%

0% Support Neither support Oppose Strongly Oppose
Strongly support nor oppose

Source: Teaching, Research and Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 11

Question 9: What impact will the nuclear agreement signed by Iran and the P5+1,
formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), have on
regional stability in the Middle East?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Positive impact Count Percent Count Percent
Negative impact 641 69.83% 305 26.34%
No impact 88 9.59% 193 16.67%
Don’t know 103 11.22% 299 25.82%
86 9.37% 361 31.17%

What impact will the nuclear agreement signed by
Iran and the P5+1, formally known as the Joint

Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), have on
regional stability in the Middle East?

80%
69.8%

60%

40% 26.3% 25.8% 31.2%
20% 11.2% 9.4%
16.7% Don’t know
9.6%

0% Negative impact No impact
Positive impact Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Source: Teaching, Research and
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 12

Question 10 (if answered “Positive impact” to Question 9): Why do you believe
the agreement will have a positive impact on regional stability in the Middle East?
Please select all that apply.

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent Count Percent
It decreases the likelihood that other states in the 402 62.81% 183 60.00%
region will pursue nuclear weapons
Other states in the region will become less assertive 145 22.66% 31 10.16%
towards Iran
Iran will become less involved in conflicts in the 102 15.94% 120 39.34%
region
Iran will be less able to support terrorist 45 7.03% 94 30.82%
organizations
Other (please explain) 203 31.72% 5 1.64%
None of the above
24 3.75% 19 6.23%

Why do you believe the agreement will have a positive
impact on regional stability in the Middle East?

80%

62.8%
60.0%

60%

40% 39.3%

30.8% 31.7%

22.7%

20% 15.9%

10.2% 6.2%
3.8%
7.0%
None of the
1.6% above

0%

It decreases the Other states in Iran will become Iran will be less Other (please

likelihood that the region will less involved in able to support explain)

other states in become less conflicts in the terrorist

the region will assertive region organizations

pursue nuclear towards Iran

weapons

Source: Teaching, Research and Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 13

Question 11 (if answered “Negative impact” to Question 9): Why do you believe
the agreement will have a negative impact on regional stability in the Middle
East? Please select all that apply.

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent
It increases the likelihood that other states in the Count Percent 99 51.30%
region will pursue nuclear weapons 69 78.41%
Other states in the region will become more assertive 29 15.03%
towards Iran 40 45.45%
Iran will become more involved in conflicts in the 101 52.33%
region 43 48.86%
Iran will be more able to support terrorist 79 40.93%
organizations 45 51.14% 15 7.77%
17 19.32% 17 8.81%
Other (please explain) 2 2.27%

None of the above

Why do you believe the agreement will have a negative
impact on regional stability in the Middle East?

100%

80% 78.4%

60% 51.3% 52.3% 51.1%
40% 48.9% 40.9%
45.5%

20% 15.0% 19.3%
7.8%
8.8%
0% 2.3%

It increases the Other states in Iran will become Iran will be more Other (please None of the
above
likelihood that the region will more involved in able to support explain)

other states in become more conflicts in the terrorist

the region will assertive region organizations

pursue nuclear towards Iran

weapons

Source: Teaching, Research and Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 14

Question 12: With which of the following obligations specified in the agreement
do you believe Iran will fully comply? Please select all that apply.

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Allowing IAEA inspections of nuclear facilities and Count Percent Count Percent
uranium supply chains
Limiting uranium enrichment 591 64.31% 304 26.25%
Shipping spent nuclear fuel out of Iran
None of the above 549 59.74% 237 20.47%
Don’t know 393 42.76% 208 17.96%
92 10.01% 124 13.49%
124 13.49% 282 24.35%

With which of the following obligations specified in the
agreement do you believe Iran will fully comply?

80%

64.3%

59.7%

60%

42.8%

40% 26.3% 24.4%
20% 13.5%
20.5% 18.0%

13.5%
10.0%

0% Limiting uranium Shipping spent None of the above Don’t know
Allowing IAEA
inspections of enrichment nuclear fuel out of
nuclear facilities
Iran
and uranium supply
chains Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Source: Teaching, Research and
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 15

Question 13: Would Iran have accepted the agreement if the Obama
administration had threatened to increase sanctions in the absence of an
agreement?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Yes Count Percent Count Percent
No 152 16.54% 331 28.58%
Don’t know 449 48.86% 360 31.09%
318 34.60% 467 40.33%

Would Iran have accepted the agreement if the
Obama administration had threatened to increase

sanctions in the absence of an agreement?

60%

40% 48.9% 40.3%
31.1% 34.6%

28.6%

20% 16.5%

0% No Don’t know
Yes Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Source: Teaching, Research and
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 16

Question 14 (if answered “Yes” to previous question): Would Iran have agreed to
more concessions in the JCPOA if the Obama administration had threatened to
increase sanctions in the absence of an agreement?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Yes Count Percent Count Percent
No 42 27.63% 256 77.34%
Don’t know 77 50.66% 35 10.57%
33 21.71% 40 12.08%

Would Iran have agreed to more concessions in the
JCPOA if the Obama administration had threatened to
increase sanctions in the absence of an agreement?

100%

80% 77.3%

60%

50.7%

40% 27.6%
20%
21.7%
10.6% 12.1%

0% No Don’t know
Yes Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Source: Teaching, Research and
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 17

Question 15: If a future U.S. president were to unilaterally withdraw from the
agreement, would that increase, decrease, or have no effect on the likelihood of
Iran renewing its nuclear weapons program?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Increase Count Percent Count Percent
Decrease 779 84.77% 495 42.75%
Have no effect 21 2.29% 110 9.50%
Don’t know 79 8.60% 284 24.53%
40 4.35% 269 23.23%

If a future U.S. president were to unilaterally withdraw
from the agreement, would that increase, decrease,
or have no effect on the likelihood of Iran renewing its

nuclear weapons program?

100%

84.8%

80%

60% 42.8%
40%

24.5% 23.2%

20% 4.4%
Don’t know
9.5% 8.6%
2.3%

0% Decrease Have no effect
Increase Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Source: Teaching, Research and
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 18

Question 16: One year from now, will Greece still be using the Euro as its
currency?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Yes Count Percent Count Percent
No 428 65.44% 274 26.78%
Don’t know 85 12.30% 190 18.57%
141 21.56% 559 34.64%

One year from now, will Greece still be using the Euro
as its currency?

80%

65.4%

60%

40% 26.8% 34.6%
20% 21.6%

18.6%
12.3%

0% No Don’t know
Yes Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Source: Teaching, Research &
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 19

Question 17: Would Greece be better off if it stopped using the Euro as its
currency?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Yes Count Percent Count Percent
No 183 27.98% 185 18.08%
Don’t know 357 54.59% 237 23.17%
114 17.43% 601 58.75%

Would Greece be better off if it stopped using the
Euro as its currency?

80%

60% 58.8%

54.6%

40% 28.0% 23.2%
20% 18.1%
17.4%

0% No Don’t know
Yes Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Source: Teaching, Research &
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 20

Question 18A: Does conducting search-and-rescue operations for migrants
traveling in international waters increase, decrease, or have no effect on future
migration flows?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Increases future flows Count Percent Count Percent
Decreases future flows 63 29.44% 116 33.62%
No effect on future flows 6 2.80% 22 6.38%
Don’t know 123 57.48% 105 30.43%
22 10.28% 102 29.57%

Does conducting search-and-rescue operations for
migrants traveling in international waters increase,
decrease, or have no effect on future migration flows?

80%

60% 57.5%

40%

33.6% 30.4% 29.6%
29.4%

20%

0% 6.4% 10.3%
Increases future flows 2.8% Don’t know

Source: Teaching, Research & Decreases future flows No effect on future flows
International Policy (TRIP) Project, Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 21

Question 18B: There has been a recent increase in African migrants attempting to
cross the Mediterranean Sea. Does conducting search-and-rescue operations for
migrants traveling in international waters increase, decrease, or have no effect on
future migration flows?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Increases future flows Count Percent Count Percent
Decreases future flows
No effect on future flows 64 28.19% 106 31.45%
Don’t know
7 3.08% 26 7.72%

133 58.59% 112 33.23%

23 10.13% 93 27.60%

There has been a recent increase in African migrants
attempting to cross the Mediterranean Sea. Does

conducting search-and-rescue operations for migrants
traveling in international waters increase, decrease, or

have no effect on future migration flows?

80%

60% 58.6%

40% 33.2%

31.5% 27.6%
28.2% 10.1%

20% Don’t know

0% 7.7%
Increases future flows 3.1%

Source: Teaching, Research & Decreases future flows No effect on future flows
International Policy (TRIP) Project, Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 22

Question 18C: There has been a recent increase in Rohingya and Bangladeshi
migrants attempting to cross the Andaman Sea. Does conducting search-and-
rescue operations for migrants traveling in international waters increase,
decrease, or have no effect on future migration flows?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Increases future flows Count Percent Count Percent
Decreases future flows 68 32.85% 127 37.24%
No effect on future flows 1 0.48% 18 5.28%
Don’t know 110 53.14% 86 25.22%
28 13.53% 110 32.26%

There has been a recent increase in Rohingya and
Bangladeshi migrants attempting to cross the

Andaman Sea. Does conducting search-and-rescue
operations for migrants traveling in international waters

increase, decrease, or have no effect on future
migratio

60%

53.1%

40% 37.2%
32.9%
32.3%
25.2% 13.5%

20% Don’t know

5.3%

0.5%
0%

Increases future flows Decreases future flows No effect on future flows

Source: Teaching, Research & Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 23

Question 19A: The U.S. Justice Department has indicted officials from FIFA (the
world governing body for soccer) for corruption. Do you support or oppose the
indictment?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent
Strongly support Count Percent 73 31.47%
Support 67 28.88%
Neither support nor oppose 94 53.11% 60 25.86%
Oppose 3 1.29%
Strongly Oppose 53 29.94% 2 0.86%
Don’t know 27 11.64%
22 12.43%

4 2.26%

0 0.00%

4 2.26%

The U.S. Justice Department has indicted officials from
FIFA (the world governing body for soccer) for

corruption. Do you support or oppose the indictment?

60%

53.1%

40% 31.5% 29.9%28.9%
20%
25.9%

12.4% 11.6%

2.3% 1.3% 0.0%0.9% 2.3%
Don’t know
0% Support Neither support Oppose Strongly
Strongly support nor oppose Oppose

Source: Teaching, Research & Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 24

Question 19B: The U.S. Justice Department has indicted officials from FIFA (the
world governing body for soccer) for corruption, even though the FIFA officials
are not U.S. citizens and the crimes were not committed in the United States. Do
you support or oppose the indictment?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent Count Percent
Strongly support 52 33.99% 66 25.78%
Support 44 28.76% 81 31.64%
Neither support nor oppose 26 16.99% 74 28.91%
Oppose 12 7.84% 5 1.95%
Strongly Oppose 8 5.23% 1 0.39%
Don’t know 11 7.19% 29 11.33%

The U.S. Justice Department has indicted officials from
FIFA for corruption, even though the FIFA officials are
not U.S. citizens and the crimes were not committed in

the United States. Do you support or oppose the
indictment?

40%

34.0%

30% 31.6% 28.9%
28.8%

25.8%

20% 17.0%

10% 7.8% 5.2% 11.3%
2.0% 0.4% 7.2%
0%
Strongly Support Neither support Oppose Strongly Don’t know
support nor oppose Oppose

Source: Teaching, Research & Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 25

Question 19C: The U.S. Justice Department has indicted officials from FIFA (the
world governing body for soccer) for corruption. Russian President Vladimir
Putin has criticized this as a political attempt to ‘extend U.S. jurisdiction to other
states.’ Do you support or oppose the indictment?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent Count Percent
Strongly support 81 49.09% 53 19.70%
Support 50 30.30% 64 23.79%
Neither support nor oppose 18 10.91% 89 33.09%
Oppose 7 4.24% 14 5.20%
Strongly Oppose 3 3.64% 13 4.83%
Don’t know 6 1.82% 36 13.38%

The U.S. Justice Department has indicted officials
from FIFA for corruption. Russian President Vladimir
Putin has criticized this as a political attempt to ‘extend
U.S. jurisdiction to other states.’ Do you support or

oppose the indictment?

60%

49.1%

40%

33.1%

30.3%

23.8%

20% 19.7%

10.9% 13.4%

4.2% 5.2% 3.6% 4.8% 1.8%
Don’t know
0% Support Neither support Oppose Strongly
Strongly nor oppose Oppose
support
Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Source: Teaching, Research &
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 26

Question 19D: The U.S. Justice Department has indicted officials from FIFA (the
world governing body for soccer) for corruption. The day before the indictments,
Senators John McCain (R) and Robert Menendez (D) criticized FIFA’s plan to hold
the 2018 World Cup in Russia because of that country’s continued involvement in
Ukraine. Do you support or oppose the indictment?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent Count Percent
Strongly support 75 47.47% 73 27.44%
Support 57 36.08% 69 25.94%
Neither support nor oppose 12 7.59% 79 29.70%
Oppose 5 3.16% 11 4.14%
Strongly Oppose 4 2.53% 3 1.13%
Don’t know 5 3.16% 31 11.65%

The U.S. Justice Department has indicted officials from
FIFA for corruption. The day before the indictments,
Senators John McCain (R) and Robert Menendez (D)
criticized FIFA’s plan to hold the 2018 World Cup in
Russia because of that country's continued i

60%

47.5%

40% 36.1%

29.7%

27.4% 25.9%

20%

7.6% 11.7%
3.2%
3.2%4.1% 2.5%1.1% Don’t know

0% Support Neither support Oppose Strongly
Strongly support nor oppose Oppose

Source: Teaching, Research & Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 27

Question 20A: Do you think the decision to award the 2018 World Cup to Russia
made the U.S. decision to indict FIFA officials more or less likely?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent Count Percent
Significantly more likely 20 6.19% 35 6.68%
Somewhat more likely 103 31.89% 18 3.44%
Neither more nor less likely 173 53.56% 219 41.79%
Somewhat less likely 1 0.31% 18 3.44%
Significantly less likely 1 0.31% 35 6.68%
Don’t know 25 7.74% 130 24.81%

Do you think the decision to award the 2018 World
Cup to Russia made the U.S. decision to indict FIFA

officials more or less likely?

60%

53.6%

41.8%

40% 31.9%
20%
24.8%

6.2% 6.7% 3.4% 3.4% 6.7% 7.7%
0.3% 0.3% Don’t know
0%
Significantly Somewhat Neither more Somewhat less Significantly
more likely
more likely nor less likely likely less likely
Source: Teaching, Research &
International Policy (TRIP) Project, Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 28

Question 20B: Do you think awarding the 2018 World Cup to the United Kingdom
would have made the U.S. decision to indict FIFA officials more or less likely?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Significantly more likely Count Percent Count Percent
Somewhat more likely
Neither more nor less likely 2 0.61% 41 8.22%
Somewhat less likely
Significantly less likely 5 1.52% 63 12.63%
Don’t know
176 53.33% 227 45.49%

84 25.45% 27 5.41%

32 9.70% 15 3.01%

31 9.39% 126 25.25%

Do you think awarding the 2018 World Cup to the
United Kingdom would have made the U.S. decision to

indict FIFA officials more or less likely?

60%
53.3%

45.5%

40%

25.5% 25.3%

20%

12.6%

8.2% 1.5% 5.4% 9.7% 9.4%
Don’t know
0.6% Somewhat more Neither more Somewhat less 3.0%
0% likely
likely nor less likely Significantly
Significantly Public Opinion less likely
more likely
Scholarly Opinion
Source: Teaching, Research &
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 29

Question 21A: Do you think the decision to award the 2022 World Cup to Qatar
made the U.S. decision to indict FIFA officials more or less likely?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent Count Percent
Significantly more likely 33 10.22% 50 9.54%
Somewhat more likely 94 29.10% 82 15.65%
Neither more nor less likely 163 50.46% 217 41.41%
Somewhat less likely 6 1.86% 17 3.24%
Significantly less likely 3 0.09% 7 1.34%
Don’t know 24 7.43% 151 28.82%

Do you think the decision to award the 2022 World
Cup to Qatar made the U.S. decision to indict FIFA

officials more or less likely?

60%

50.5%

41.4%

40%

29.1% 28.8%

20% 15.7%

10.2%9.5% 1.9%3.2% 0.1%1.3% 7.4%
Don’t know
0% Somewhat Neither more Somewhat less Significantly
Significantly
more likely more likely nor less likely likely less likely

Source: Teaching, Research & Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 30

Question 21B: Do you think awarding the 2022 World Cup to the United States
would have made the U.S. decision to indict FIFA officials more or less likely?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent Count Percent
Significantly more likely 1 0.03% 36 7.21%
Somewhat more likely 6 1.83% 64 12.83%
Neither more nor less likely 132 40.24% 225 45.09%
Somewhat less likely 110 33.54% 28 5.61%
Significantly less likely 53 16.16% 32 6.41%
Don’t know 26 7.94% 114 22.85%

Do you think awarding the 2022 World Cup to the
United States would have made the U.S. decision to

indict FIFA officials more or less likely?

60%

40% 45.1%
40.2%

33.5%

20% 16.2% 22.9%
7.9%
12.8% Don’t know

7.2% 5.6% 6.4%

0.0% 1.8%
0%
Somewhat Neither more Somewhat less Significantly
Significantly
more likely more likely nor less likely likely less likely

Source: Teaching, Research & Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 31

Question 22: The United States is negotiating a free trade agreement with twelve
Pacific nations called the Trans-Pacific Partnership (or TPP). Do you support or
oppose this free trade agreement?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent Count Percent
I strongly support it 179 27.33% 82 8.02%
I somewhat support it 234 35.73% 260 25.42%
I neither support nor oppose
it 68 10.38% 284 27.76%
I somewhat oppose it
I strongly oppose it 76 11.60% 68 6.65%
Don’t know
74 11.30% 82 8.02%

24 3.66% 212 20.72%

The United States is negotiating a free trade agreement
with twelve Pacific nations called the Trans-Pacific
Partnership (or TPP). Do you support or oppose this
free trade agreement?

40%
35.7%

27.3% 27.8%
20%
25.4%
8.0%
10.4% 11.6% 11.3% 20.7%
6.7% 8.0%
3.7%
0% I somewhat I neither support I somewhat I strongly Don’t know
I strongly support it nor oppose it oppose it oppose it
support it
Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Source: Teaching, Research &
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 32

Question 23: The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is a proposed free trade and
investment agreement between the United States and twelve other countries in
the Asia Pacific region. If the TPP were approved today, would it have a positive,
negative, or have no effect on your financial situation?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent Count Percent
Positive effect 180 27.48% 208 20.33%
Negative effect 34 5.19% 126 12.32%
No effect 334 50.99% 264 35.58%
Don’t know 107 16.34% 325 31.77%

The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is a proposed
free trade and investment agreement between the
United States and twelve other countries in the Asia

Pacific region. If the TPP were approved today,
would it have a positive, negative, or have no effect

on

60%

51.0%

40% 35.6%
20%
27.5% 31.8%
20.3% 16.3%

12.3% Don’t know
5.2%

0% Negative effect No effect
Positive effect Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Source: Teaching, Research &
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 33

Question 24: The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) is a
proposed free trade and investment agreement between the United States and the
European Union. If the TTIP were approved today, would it have a positive,
negative, or have no effect on your financial situation?

Response Option Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion
Count Percent Count Percent
Positive effect 199 30.57% 187 18.33%
Negative effect 28 4.30% 119 11.67%
No effect 312 47.93% 392 38.43%
Don’t know 112 17.20% 322 31.57%

The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership
(TTIP) is a proposed free trade and investment
agreement between the United States and the

European Union. If the TTIP were approved today,
would it have a positive, negative, or have no effect on

your fi

60%

47.9%

40% 38.4%

30.6% 31.6%

20% 18.3% 17.2%
Don’t know
11.7%
4.3%

0% Negative effect No effect
Positive effect Scholarly Opinion Public Opinion

Source: Teaching, Research &
International Policy (TRIP) Project,
William & Mary

WIPPO Snap Poll I 34

Table 1: Public Sample vs. Population Comparison

Respondents Population

Count Percent Count Percent

Male 586 50.60 117977584 48.64
Female
Total 572 49.40 124564643 51.36

1158 242542227

Fisher’s exact test p = 0.1859

Respondents Population

Count Percent Count Percent

Less than $15,000 208 15.31% 15633 12.71%
$15,000 - $24,999
$25,000 - $34,999 143 10.52% 13898 11.30%
$35,000 - $49,999
$50,000 - $74,999 163 11.99% 12756 10.37%
$75,000 - $99,999
$100,000 or more 196 14.42% 16678 13.56%
Total
270 19.87% 21659 17.62%

189 13.91% 14687 11.95%

190 13.98% 27642 22.48%

1359 122953

Pearson’s Chi-squared test p = 0.227

Respondents Population

Count Percent Count Percent

15 to 19 years 43 3.83% 8911704 3.67%
20 to 24 years
25 to 34 years 94 8.37% 22719908 9.37%
35 to 44 years
45 to 54 years 230 20.48% 42626555 17.57%
55 to 59 years
60 to 64 years 195 17.36% 40608235 16.74%
65 to 74 years
Total 208 18.52% 43674983 18.01%

112 9.97% 21108252 8.70%

104 9.26% 18228600 7.52%

137 12.20% 44663990 18.41%

1123 242542227

Pearson’s Chi-squared test p=0.229

WIPPO Snap Poll I 35