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Published by dshaw021, 2017-09-08 21:46:17

2017 Gridiron Season Preview

GRIDIRON SUPREMACY

















































2017 SEASON PREVIEW

2 | P a g e

LETTER FROM THE COMMISSIONER






September 6, 2017


Dear Owners,

As we head into our eighth year our league has undergone a multitude of changes that has brought it from a 2QB re-draft on
ESPN to a full blown dynasty full of individual defensive players on MyFantasyLeague. Each owner, past and present, has added
his own flavor to the development of the league in order to make Gridiron Supremacy unique and at the frontier of fantasy
football formats. While we are hitting a plateau of new ideas, I urge you to keep thinking of new ideas that can make the league
better.

Over the past seven years we have crowned four different champions and seen six different organizations make it to the
championship game. The roster moves made this off-season ensure that the path to crown our next champion will not be easy.
We have seen top tier assets exchange hands. We have seen mid-level signings to provide depth for the inevitable injuries that
are to come. Sometimes this game feels like one of survival timing more than fantasy football.

With the beginning of the new season I have a few announcements to make:
 Weekly Recap – We will have a new and improved format that will provide more insight into team performance.
 Annual Awards – We will be handing out awards for the league’s top performers.
 Coach of the Year
 Most Valuable Player
 Defensive Player of the Year
 Rookie of the Year
 Prime Time Player of the Year

As always, it is a pleasure to be the Commissioner of this great league.


Sincerely,

Dan Shaw


Dan Shaw
























P a g e | 3

2017 ROOKIE DRAFT REVIEW



Ever since the 2014 draft class gave us stud-after-stud throughout the first round of rookie drafts and beyond, the masses have
been clamoring for the next “can’t miss” class. 2015 and 2016 offered GMs the chance to draft a few blue-chip prospects, but
neither has been able to offer both the top end talent and depth until now. With names like Fournette, Davis, Cook and McCaffrey,
the 2017 draft class has been at the forefront of everyone’s mind for over a year. However, there will be gems found much later
in the draft that will prove their worth early on in their careers.

1.01 1.02 1.03 1.04
Corey Davis, WR Leonard Fournette, RB Christian McCaffrey, RB Joe Mixon, RB
Western Michigan LSU Stanford Oklahoma
































After multiple negotiations, A tough, downhill runner, A dynamic playmaker that Some “experts” touted Mixon
GM Dan Shaw obtained the Fournette has solid speed to go stole the heart of the dynasty as the draft’s best running
rights to the first five along with his punishing community during his back due to his impressive
selections in the 2017 Rookie running style. Fournette sophomore year at Stanford, combination of size, speed and
Draft. With the top overall pick dominated his second McCaffrey became the third receiving ability. It was this
he selected the top player on collegiate season finishing the player off the board when GM unique combination that led
his and most teams’ board, campaign with 1,953 yards on Dan Shaw submitted his draft him to be the fourth player
Corey Davis. Davis starred on 300 carriers and 22 card. McCaffrey has all the selected in the 2017 Rookie
the small school scene at touchdowns. Lingering foot tools to be a three-down Draft. While, Mixon’s tape and
Western Michigan where he issues hampered much of his running back in the NFL as he athletic measurables scream
dominated the competition final season at Louisiana State, exhibits excellent vision, great “future superstar”, his off-field
with 331 receptions for 5,278 but that did not dissuade the speed and receiving ability issues, a lack of bell cow work
yards and 52 touchdowns. His Jacksonville Jaguars from that is on par with most in college and crowded
prowess as a route runner and taking him fourth overall in the receivers in the league. While backfield with the Bengals give
ability to make game-changing NFL Draft nor did it dissuade he will face competition from prospective suitors reason to
plays overshadowed any Blue Bomber from taking the Jonathan Stewart in his rookie be wary of his future in the
doubt cast by an ankle injury Bayou Bengal with the second year, expect McCaffrey’s role NFL.
that sidelined him for the overall pick in the 2017 Rookie to grow over the course of the
duration of the draft process. Draft. season.







4 | P a g e

1.05 1.06 1.07 1.08
Dalvin Cook, RB Mike Williams, WR Patrick Mahomes, QB Kareem Hunt, RB
Florida State Clemson Texas Tech Toledo




















While in competition with With his first pick in the 2017 GM Mike Shaw was the first to A draft process darling, Hunt
Leonard Fournette as the top Rookie Draft, GM Mike dip into the QB pool by came off the board as the fifth
RB in the class early on, Dalvin Ulatoski selected Mike selecting Texas Tech product RB in the 2017 Rookie Draft.
Cook’s stock took a dramatic Williams, WR from Clemson. ,Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes GM Nate Carter, looking to
hit after he turned in a subpar Williams plays in the mold of a has a gunslinger’s mentality bolster an already strong RB
performance at the NFL possession receiver, but has with the arm talent to back it corps, took a shot on Hunt’s
Combine which directly the ability to make big plays up. His ability to improvise upside and favorable situation
correlated to his fall in both down the field. Williams has could help him become the top in Andy Reid’s offense in
the NFL and Rookie Draft. WR1 upside. QB in the draft. Kansas City.


2.01 2.02 2.03 2.04
Samaje Perine, RB DeShone Kizer, QB DeShaun Watson, QB John Ross, WR
Oklahoma Notre Dame Clemson Washington




















The thunder to Joe Mixon’s Kizer’s early selection may With their second selection, La With the twelfth pick in the
lightning at Oklahoma, Semaje have been one of the most Flama Blanca addressed the 2017 Rookie Draft, the Rabbit
Perine is viewed as one of the unexpected picks, but GM Nate teams’ lack of QB depth by Hollow Hickz made speedster
most powerful backs in the Carter rarely gets these picks selecting star QB DeShaun John Ross their second
draft. This pedigree earned wrong. Kizer has all the tools Watson. Watson’s draft stock selection. Ross has the speed
him the honor of being GM to be a solid NFL starting QB, took a hit after not improving and ability to be one of the
Scott Kasper’s first selection in but his ability to read and much over his final year, but NFL’s most gifted playmakers,
the draft. Perine projects to decipher defenses needs to his ability to make plays with but his injury history gave
take over as a starter soon improve for him to make an his arm and legs make him an many draft evaluators pause
rather than later. early impact with the Browns. intriguing prospect. when assigning his draft grade.



P a g e | 5

2017 PROJECTIONS









Projected

Rank Rank Team 2017 Record 2016 Record
1 1 Blue Bomber 10 - 2 10 - 2
2 2 Get off My Ditka 8 - 4 9 - 3
3 3 Getting Juiced 7 - 5 5 - 7

3 4 La Flama Blanca 7 - 5 5 - 7
3 5 Rabbit HolloW HickZ 7 - 5 6 - 6
6 6 Mile High Machine 4 - 8 4 - 8
7 7 Morning Wood 3 - 9 7 - 5

8 8 Fore the Win! 2 - 10 2 - 10

















































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EVALUATING VALUE AND WHAT GOES INTO IT



by Brendan Moar | http://www.dynastynerds.com/evaluating-value-goes/

Dynasty Fantasy Football in its essence is the pursuit of championships. That should be the main goal of every single owner.
Owners tend to have varying perspectives on strategy and team building. However, the common thread of those strategies is
driven by value. It’s a term we as a community are constantly bombarded with. Did I get enough value for player X? What’s the
value for player Y? So let’s dig into what value really is.

Value as defined by the Oxford Dictionary is “the regard that something is held to deserve; the importance, worth, or usefulness
of something:” A few words in its definition resonate with me. Worth and Usefulness to the regard that something is held to
deserve. Holding something because it deserves that? It’s quite ironic when it comes to dynasty thinking. Many of us, including
myself have held onto players for too long. We were enamored with the player, we have agreed to a consensus that they deserve
that spot because of the potential they may bring. Perhaps wasting that roster spot, instead of searching for value elsewhere.
Yes, I’m looking at you Josh Gordon, get it together!

Value as an economic term is the price that someone is willing to pay for that object. If no one is willing to pay X for player Y,
player Y isn’t worth X. Despite how highly you may think of player Y, presently he just isn’t worth X. That is one of the biggest
hurdles I see a lot of dynasty owners, new and old battle internally with. We set a price for a player and won’t budge unless we
receive X in some way, shape, or form. It is often tough for me to negotiate with other players because our valuations don’t
simply match up for whatever reason. I value things like draft picks significantly less than most others in the dynasty community.
I treat them as fuel to keep adding to my team’s fire to keep my championship window open as long as I can stretch it. Getting
a good return in a trade is important, but you need to be getting returns from your players as it’s the key to winning a
championship.

Those players are valuable to you. But what are they worth to other owners in your league? Do they value Jordan Howard the
same as you? Do they value him more? How about less? Its questions like these we all face. I’m going to try and break down the
variables that make up value for us all. Mind you I have no degree in psychology and am in no way Sigmund Freud. I wanted to
explore what goes behind the decision making process on value because it’s almost always brought about in my favorite aspect
of DFF. Making trades.

First off, is the player’s makeup. How old are they? Young players are generally worth more as it’s seen as they have a longer
shelf life. Older players are seen as depreciating assets, guys you add to the pit crew for the championship race. So what comes
with younger players? Potential, the scariest of all things for me in the valuation process. It’s a non-tangible asset. We don’t know
what it is, it’s undefinable. We can attempt to project it, but often we always overextend our projections. Every year players
don’t live up to the potential we hype them up to entering the league. They never develop that one tool we all said they needed.
They end up in a bad situation. We all watch as constant coaching changes and lack of a support system cause their once shining
NFL future slip away. A bad knee injury and they never run the same way we once saw. It’s the same old story every year. The
what ifs, the could of beens. It’s what drags promising teams to the depths of your dynasty league. It causes dreams to be
nightmares.

Draft pedigree while important, becomes useless after a few years in the league. Production matters as coaches are always in
win now mode. They don’t have time to let player X play despite how good he might be down the road. He wants to win today
and is going to play the best players to get him there. The coach has a shelf life just like his players. This is why older players
tend to populate championship teams, they are savvy and know their way around a football field. They produce.

This brings us to the next variable I want to discuss, Situation. People rise and fall all offseason in ADPs despite not touching a
football. It’s an odd intricacy that only the constant knee jerk reaction sports media industry we live in could have caused. It’s
another thing every year we hear about. It’s this guy’s year! Well it was his year last year and the year before too, but he stunk.
This year is going to be different because he’s projected to take a step forward. He changed his diet! He runs differently now!
Coach X is a XYZ whisperer!

Various reasons give us hope and sometimes these reasons do lead to fruition. Players changing teams can be beneficial such as
Demarco Murray leaving the disaster that was Chip Kelly’s Eagles for the Nashville Exotic Smash mouth attack. It can also lead
to disappointment, guys like Dwayne Bowe, Mike Wallace, and Andre Johnson moved on after being productive, they received



P a g e | 7

lucrative free agent deals which lead to abysmal returns. Other factors like coaching changes or personal changes can implicate
changes to player production. However it brings us back to having to project what the difference will result in. Isiah Crowell has
been a hot name as a player many expect to have a big season coming up largely due to a better offensive line. While this thinking
and logic has worked in the past with projecting RBs, it isn’t exactly a science. It has failed and often many factors can contribute
to this, which few people tend to input when evaluating complex situations. Can the Browns offensive line gel quick enough to
be as good as we think they will be? Will the collective stay healthy? Will they get decent QB play to avoid a stacked box? Will
Duke siphon away touches? Will the Browns run the ball in the second half when they are losing by 14+ points? Again all things
we won’t know until the season is well under way. Over shooting on your projections based on situations can often leave you
limping to the end of the season. Be realistic, of course you may strike gold occasionally but often you’ll find yourself with a
handful of quartz.

Speaking of limping injuries often kill players value. Due to modern medicine progress injuries that once could have been career
killers, are no longer a death sentence. Injuries often leads to big discounts on players who when healthy are some of the best in
the league, however it comes with inherit risk that the injury becomes a consistent issue going forward. Players who have been
labeled as “Injury Prone” often take significant hits to their overall value despite how well they might play. Look at Sammy
Watkins, Keenan Allen, and Rob Gronkowski as prime examples. They’ve all earned that designation from the herd, and we all
watch just crossing our fingers hoping they can shake the injury bug away.

The herd mentality is a common word in describing how stock brokers trade. If you stick with the herd and everybody is wrong
you won’t shoulder the blame. If the herd is right you all win. This tends to be what the dynasty community does in evaluating
trades and rankings. Of course some have discrepancies but we often learn from each other. The buy low, sell high philosophy
is one that I embrace fully, however if everyone is onto who the players are, why would other owners buy high and sell low?
Trade calculators are the embodiment of this, I often will enter discussions with someone and they rely solely on what the
calculator tells them. It’s a dangerous way to proceed as it leaves you blind in many ways. So many more factors have to be
calculated into the process, such as team positioning, team needs, assets you own, quirky scoring or league setups. All things
ADP can’t decide for you.

You need to trust your eyes. Trust your gut and learn from your mistakes. Rankings, Trade Calculators, and ADP are tools for
you to help win your league, but everyone has access to the same ones. Take some time to craft your own personal rankings and
trust them. Evaluate your risk tolerance. Do you like taking the guys like TY Hilton who can win or lose you a week, or are you
more of a Jarvis Landry type? Someone who enjoys the consistency aspect with a lower ceiling. We all build our teams differently
and this leads me to my next important piece. Intrinsic valuations.

These are painfully apparent in most of your home leagues. Blatant favoritism for hometown players. Heck Tom Brady is more
valuable then Andrew Luck in my home league, it makes little sense as Brady only likely has a few more years where Luck could
have 10 of similar production. Stepping away it seems silly, but we all tend to like different players for reasons that aren’t directly
related to on field production. We are all biased. Maybe they said something you don’t agree with, so you have a distaste for a
player so their value in your mind is lower than a league mates who wasn’t bothered by it. Maybe they went to the same college
you did and it blinds you a little, you want them to succeed badly. Perhaps they won you a championship a few years back and
despite your team being in shambles now, you refuse to move him because of that. Sometimes we get stuck on our preconceived
connotation of a player instead of looking at him for what they really are. This for me is the by far the most difficult to evaluate
in trades. You can offer a tremendous amount for someone but the other owner won’t budge. He’s a scorned lover, you burnt
him in a trade last time. He drafted this guy in the third round a while back. He went through the ups and downs of his
development and spent every Sunday in the past three falls watching him. He’s worth more to that owner than what he is to you.
It’s one of the beautiful things of dynasty, and one of the most frustrating.

Value in the end is a perception. Its ones idea of the worth of something. You will never always be right, and you’ll never always
be wrong. We all do it differently. It’s something I try to win in trades but it’s hard to really know. It’s a double edged sword
because values always change. You may win the trade now but lose it in three years. Learn your strengths and weaknesses and
build upon them. Acknowledge trends in your league and take advantage of them. Value is a slippery slope, dare to be different.
Go against the current and see what you find. It may just lead you to the finish line.












8 | P a g e

BLUE BOMBER TEAM PREVIEW




QB PLAYER DLF RANK Coming off a championship season, Blue Bomber retooled the roster
1 Aaron Rodgers 1 in order to fill holes and lengthen the championship window. While
2 Russell Wilson 3
3 Matthew Stafford 12 they boast the top roster in the league, there are many question
4 Mitchell Trubisky 26 marks that could quickly derail their season.
5 Teddy Bridgewater 35

RB PLAYER DLF RANK QUARTERBACK
1 David Johnson 1
2 Ezekiel Elliott 3
3 Leonard Fournette 7 Blue Bomber has one of the best quarterback depth charts in the league.
4 Christian McCaffrey 9 According to DynastyLeagueFootball.com’s positional rankings, the roster boasts
5 Joe Mixon 10 two of the top five assets in Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson with solid depth
6 Dalvin Cook 12
7 Jamaal Williams 43 provided by Matthew Stafford.
8 James Conner 63
9 Darren McFadden 85 RUNNING BACK
10 Matt Breida --
The Junkyard faithful are excited to see what the future has in store for this set of
WR PLAYER DLF RANK
1 AJ Green 6 running backs as they are led by two of the league’s best in David Johnson and
2 DeAndre Hopkins 7 Ezekiel Elliott and are supplemented with lots of promising youth. However,
3 Sammy Watkins 11 there are concerns about how much time Zeke will miss with his looming
4 Jarvis Landry 16
5 Corey Davis 17 suspension.
6 Davante Adams 19
7 Donte Moncrief 25 WIDE RECEIVER
8 Willie Snead 27
9 Randall Cobb 37 AJ Green and DeAndre Hopkins headline Blue Bomber’s deep Wide Receiver
10 Cameron Meredith 40
11 Kevin White 50 corps. With seventeen players on the roster, this grouping offers lots of depth, but
12 John Brown 51 questions surround Hopkins, Watkins and Landry regarding the situations they
13 Marqise Lee 71 now find themselves in and if they will be able to bounce back or maintain current
14 ArDarius Stewart 79
15 Leonte Carroo 84 production.
16 Josh Reynolds 100
17 Paul Richardson -- TIGHT END

TE PLAYER DLF RANK This biggest question mark is at Tight End for Blue Bomber. Can Jordan Reed stay
1 Jordan Reed 3
2 Evan Engram 11 healthy? Walker and Doyle provide insurance, but come nowhere near matching
3 Delanie Walker 15 Reed’s Gronk-esque level of production.
4 Jack Doyle 17
5 Adam Shaheen 27
DEFENSIVE LINE
DL PLAYER DLF RANK
1 JJ Watt 1 JJ Watt is the game’s best defensive lineman, but after only playing in a couple
2 Danielle Hunter 3 games in 2016 due to a back injury many wonder if can return to the same
3 Brandon Graham 16
4 Trey Flowers 21 dominant level we are accustomed to seeing.

LB PLAYER DLF RANK LINEBACKER
1 Deion Jones 7
2 CJ Mosley 8 Deion Jones broke out as a rookie in 2016 in Dan Quinn’s Atlanta defense. Blue
3 Ryan Shazier 9
4 Lavonte David 10 Bomber is banking on that his break out wasn’t a fluke and he can be the
5 Jordan Hicks 16 centerpiece of the defense for years to come.
6 Jarrad Davis 18
7 Benardrick McKinney 26 DEFENSIVE BACK
8 Shaq Thompson 33
9 Thomas Davis 50
Reshad Jones was the premier defensive back just two years ago, but a shoulder
DB PLAYER DLF RANK injury shortened his 2016 season. Will Jones be able to return to form and post
1 Reshad Jones 4 16 points per game again or will Blue Bomber have to rely on its unproven depth?
2 Morgan Burnett 5
3 Kam Chancellor 18
4 Jahleel Addae 22 PLACE KICKER
5 Sean Davis 23
Blue Bomber has elected to not carry a kicker in 2017.
PK PLAYER DLF RANK





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FORE THE WIN! TEAM PREVIEW




QB PLAYER DLF RANK After a disappointing season with the league’s oldest roster, Fore the
1 Carson Wentz 16 Win! took steps to get younger and build for the future while
2 Jared Goff 23
3 Ryan Tannehill 24 maintaining a competitive team each week. The team now has a
4 Jacoby Brissett 42 handful of young, high upside players at multiple positions, a boat
5 Blaine Gabbert -- load of 2018 draft picks and currently producing assets that could be
6 Connor Cook --
7 Jeff Driskel -- for sale if the right price comes along.
8 Nathan Peterman --
9 Nick Foles --
QUARTERBACK
RB PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Derrick Henry 15 After the trade of Tom Brady, Fore the Win!’s quarterback room now features the
2 Ty Montgomery 21 top two selections from the 2016 NFL Draft to go along with an improving Ryan
3 Theo Riddick 29
4 Giovani Bernard 32 Tannehill. The development of these three will be a key indicator as to how the
5 Marshawn Lynch 37 team will manage their assets going forward.
6 Adrian Peterson 39
7 D'Onta Foreman 40 RUNNING BACK
8 Zach Zenner 76
9 Darren Sproles 80
10 Tyler Ervin 82 The front office is patiently waiting for Derrick Henry to be unleashed on the
league in Tennessee’s “exotic smash mouth” offense. Henry has overall RB1
WR PLAYER DLF RANK upside, but doesn’t have a place in the starting line-up with Adrian Peterson and
1 Michael Crabtree 24
2 Golden Tate 31 Marshawn Lynch hanging around.
3 Jeremy Maclin 45
4 DeSean Jackson 48 WIDE RECEIVER
5 Marvin Jones 55
6 Adam Thielen 57 One of the league’s most unassuming positional groups, Fore the Win! doesn’t
7 Kenny Britt 59
8 Malcolm Mitchell 62 have anyone that you’re scared to play against each week. However, between
9 Cole Beasley 69 Crabtree, Tate and Maclin, Fore the Win! has a stable of receivers that can
10 Mohamed Sanu 87 consistently put up mid/high-WR2 numbers.
11 Ted Ginn 90
12 Chad Williams --
13 Cordarrelle Patterson -- TIGHT END
14 Pharoh Cooper --
15 Ryan Switzer -- Greg Olsen headlines this tight end group. The depth behind Olsen is sparse, but
with Olsen’s consistency depth isn’t a concern.
TE PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Greg Olsen 5
2 Coby Fleener 19 DEFENSIVE LINE
3 Jared Cook 25
4 Vernon Davis 43 Olivier Vernon has quickly ascended to become one of the league’s premier pass
rushers. The 19 Hole patrons can expect him to continue to play at a high level
th
DL PLAYER DLF RANK while they wait and see if Taco Charlton can develop into the star that his first
1 Olivier Vernon 7
2 Fletcher Cox 13 round pedigree indicates he can be.
3 Kawann Short 35
4 Taco Charlton 41 LINEBACKER
5 Nick Fairley --

A strong mix of young, upcoming player and solid veterans, Fore the Win! has a
LB PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Christian Kirksey 19 group of linebackers that can keep pace with anyone’s in a given week.
2 Zach Cunningham 32
3 Jerrell Freeman 38 DEFENSIVE BACK
4 Derrick Johnson 40
5 Kamalei Correa 56 The team’s weakest position is led by the underrated safety out of Carlina, Kurt
6 Lorenzo Alexander --
Coleman.
DB PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Kurt Coleman 38 PLACE KICKER
2 Corey Graham --
3 Janoris Jenkins -- Stephen Gostkowski is arguably the top kicker in the game and will provide week-
4 Marcus Cooper --
to-week consistency.
PK PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Stephen Gostkowski --





10 | P a g e

GET OFF MY DITKA TEAM PREVIEW




QB PLAYER DLF RANK After coming up short in the championship game, Get off My Ditka
1 Andrew Luck 2 looked to strengthen its core this off-season through trade and the
2 Dak Prescott 8
3 Philip Rivers 15 draft. With a roster that is starting to look a little older , Get off My
4 Tyrod Taylor 18 Ditka knows it needs to inject some youth into the lineup in order to
5 Mike Glennon 34 keep their championship window open.
6 Tom Savage 41
7 CJ Beathard --
QUARTERBACK
RB PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Le'Veon Bell 2
2 Isaiah Crowell 18 One of the league’s best quarterback rooms heads into the season with questions
3 Spencer Ware 26 surrounding the health of Andrew Luck. Dak Prescott shined as a rookie, but
4 Samaje Perine 31 many wonder if he can be counted on. Either way, Get off My Ditka has the depth
5 Bilal Powell 36
6 Kenneth Dixon 38 to ride out the storm until these questions are answered.
7 Matt Forte 48
8 Jonathan Stewart 51 RUNNING BACK
9 DeAndre Washington 54
10 Joe Williams 60 It’s hard to argue against a depth chart that features Le’Veon Bell, but the roster
11 Dwayne Washington 74
12 Jeremy Langford 77 offers little dependable depth behind one of the league’s elite running backs.
13 Chris Carson -- Isaiah Crowell is in line for a big season, but the season ending injury to Spencer
Ware leaves the lineup with a big question mark.
WR PLAYER DLF RANK
1 TY Hilton 9
2 Alshon Jeffery 15 WIDE RECEIVER
3 Demaryius Thomas 21
4 Jordy Nelson 22 Don’t let DLF’s positional ranks fool you, this stable of WRs is capable of being a
5 Kelvin Benjamin 34 Murderer’s Row. From Hilton to Nelson, these wide receivers have weekly overall
6 Josh Doctson 39
7 Zay Jones 52 WR1 potential and despite Kelvin Benjamin’s suppressed value, he is as
8 Tyler Lockett 60 consistent as they come when healthy.
9 Quincy Enunwa 67
10 Kenny Golladay 77 TIGHT END
11 Michael Floyd 93
12 Jehu Chesson --
Get off My Ditka offers the most well-rounded tight end depth chart in the league
TE PLAYER DLF RANK with high upside performers in Tyler Eifert and Jimmy Graham complemented by
1 Tyler Eifert 4 the weekly stability of Zach Ertz. Highly prized rookie, David Njoku, rounds out
2 Jimmy Graham 7
3 Zach Ertz 10 the group.
4 David Njoku 13
DEFENSIVE LINE
DL PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Aaron Donald 8 On paper this is a strong group, but, with Aaron Donald yet to report to the Rams
2 Everson Griffen 12 for the 2017 season, this has become one of the team’s biggest weaknesses.
3 Derek Barnett 30
4 Mario Addison --
LINEBACKER
LB PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Luke Kuechly 1 Hands down, Get off My Ditka has the best weekly linebacking corps in the league.
2 Telvin Smith 6 From Kuechley to Burfict all four starters are 16+ point per game performers.
3 Navorro Bowman 15
4 Vontaze Burfict 17 The biggest concern is how many games they will get from each of them. Injuries
5 Brandon Marshall 21 have plagued Kuechly and Bowman while injuries and stupidity has kept Burfict
6 Avery Williamson 34 off the field.
7 Raekwon McMillan 42
8 Vic Beasley 44
9 Vince Williams 48 DEFENSIVE BACK

DB PLAYER DLF RANK Boasting DLF’s second and third ranked defensive backs is a great place to start
1 Keanu Neal 2 when you’re building your secondary. The depth behind Neal and Smith is
2 Harrison Smith 3
3 TJ Ward 24 concerning, especially as TJ Ward has recently found himself in a new home.
4 Calvin Pryor 29
5 Reggie Nelson -- PLACE KICKER

PK PLAYER DLF RANK Get off My Ditka has elected to not carry a kicker in 2017.





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GETTING JUICED TEAM PREVIEW




QB PLAYER DLF RANK Getting Juiced pushed their chips to the center of the table this year
1 Tom Brady 10 in order to secure their first title. It started with a blockbuster that
2 Drew Brees 13
3 Blake Bortles 21 saw the departure of Derek Carr and arrival of Julio Jones and was
4 Alex Smith 31 followed up with another blockbuster that brought in the GOAT, Tom
5 DeShone Kizer 32 Brady. Getting Juiced’s roster is a sight to behold.
6 Davis Webb 47

RB PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Devonta Freeman 4 QUARTERBACK
2 Jordan Howard 8
3 Jay Ajayi 11 Tom Brady. Drew Brees. Do we need to go any further? Both of these players will
4 Tevin Coleman 19 be in the MVP conversation and won’t be leaving the starting lineup. The depth
5 Mark Ingram 20
6 Kareem Hunt 30 behind these two greats is more than passable with the steady Alex Smith at the
7 Jeremy Hill 44 helm of Andy Reid’s Chiefs offense.
8 Latavius Murray 47
9 Rob Kelley 53 RUNNING BACK
10 Devontae Booker 57
11 Wayne Gallman 62
12 Wendell Smallwood 68 The second most intriguing running back stable in the league is led by Devontae
13 Jalen Richard 70 Freeman, Jordan Howard and Jay Ajayi. Each of these players is capable of going
14 Cameron Artis-Payne 100
for 20+ points in a given game. With the likes of Kareem Hunt and Mark Ingram
WR PLAYER DLF RANK behind them, Getting Juiced will be able to ride this grouping to many wins over
1 Julio Jones 4 the course of the season.
2 Dez Bryant 12
3 Brandin Cooks 13
4 Martavis Bryant 32 WIDE RECEIVER
5 Jamison Crowder 36
6 Tyrell Williams 44 When you’re eight deep at a position, the only question you really need to ask is
7 JuJu Smith-Schuster 46 whether or not Martavis Bryant will develop into a Randy Moss-esque wide
8 Brandon Marshall 54
9 Curtis Samuel 64 receiver or get busted for drugs again and be out of the league. Even if the latter
10 Allen Hurns 68 happens, Getting Juiced has little to worry about with Julio Jones and Dez Bryant
11 JJ Nelson 73 headlining the depth chart.
12 Tavon Austin 75
13 Tajae Sharpe 83
TIGHT END
TE PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Travis Kelce 2 Travis Kelce has quietly become one the league’s top tight ends. While he seldom
2 OJ Howard 9 puts up game-breaking numbers, his consistency gives him a high floor that the
3 Jake Butt 21
4 Tyler Higbee 26 Brewery faithful can count on each week. The addition of OJ Howard this off-
5 Antonio Gates 35 season gives the roster future upside as Howard is one of the most physically
gifted prospects we have seen at the position in recent years.
DL PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Joey Bosa 2
2 Muhammad Wilkerson 11 DEFENSIVE LINE
3 DeForest Buckner 15
4 Demarcus Lawrence 22 Joey Bosa broke onto the scene in 2016 and looks to improve upon his rookie
LB PLAYER DLF RANK season.
1 Bobby Wagner 2
2 Kwon Alexander 3 LINEBACKER
3 Jatavis Brown 12
4 Darron Lee 25 While Get off My Ditka might have the best weekly linebacker corps, Getting
5 Zach Brown 28
6 Haason Reddick 31 Juiced may have the best season-long group with Wagner and Alexander at the
7 Danny Trevathan 35 top of the depth chart. Jatavis Brown is no slouch either.
8 Reggie Ragland 57
DEFENSIVE BACK
DB PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Kenny Vaccaro 9
2 Tony Jefferson 13 Defensive back is the team’s greatest weakness, that’s if you can say anything
3 Clayton Geathers 15 with four Top 16 assets is a weakness.
4 Malcolm Jenkins 16
PLACE KICKER
PK PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Dan Bailey --
Dan Bailey is one of the more consistent kickers in the league.




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LA FLAMA BLANCA TEAM PREVIEW




QB PLAYER DLF RANK A disappointing season left the defending champions outside of the
1 Cam Newton 4 playoffs and fighting for the top overall pick. A lack of depth at
2 Derek Carr 7
3 Deshaun Watson 19 quarterback, inconsistent play from their running backs and a major
4 Trevor Siemian 33 injury at tight end all led to the downward spiral.
5 Brian Hoyer 40

RB PLAYER DLF RANK QUARTERBACK
1 Todd Gurley 6
2 Carlos Hyde 17 Cam Newton? Check. Derek Carr? Wait what? A blockbuster trade brought the
3 Eddie Lacy 25 up-and-coming quarterback to La Flama Blanca. Combine this with the selection
4 Alvin Kamara 27 of Deshaun Watson and last year’s No. 2 starter, Trevor Siemian, is now at the
5 Mike Gillislee 34
6 LeGarrette Blount 46 bottom of the depth chart. Problem solved.
7 Frank Gore 61
8 Terrance West 64 RUNNING BACK
9 Jacquizz Rodgers --
Will Todd Gurley bounce back or is he the next Trent Richardson? Can Carlos
WR PLAYER DLF RANK Hyde fit in Kyle Shanahan’s offense and stay healthy? Can Eddie Lacy stop eating
1 Odell Beckham 1 “China food”? These are all the questions that the front office is asking itself. If
2 Allen Robinson 10
3 Keenan Allen 18 they get green lights on all of them then this could quickly become one of the most
4 Terrelle Pryor 26 feared arsenals in the league.
5 Corey Coleman 29
6 Mike Williams 35 WIDE RECEIVER
7 Pierre Garcon 53
8 Robert Woods 76 You know you have a strong depth chart when you trade away Julio Jones to
9 Carlos Henderson 81
10 Taywan Taylor 82 strength another position and your fourth wide receiver is still Terrelle Pryor.
11 Eli Rogers 97 While the group is still headlined by Odell Beckham Jr, how Allen Robinson and
12 Brandon LaFell -- Keenan Allen perform this year will make or break La Flama Blanca’s wide
receivers.
TE PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Rob Gronkowski 1
2 CJ Fiedorowicz 18 TIGHT END
3 Julius Thomas 20
4 Jesse James 30 Gronk smashed his body last year and ended up missing most of the season. La
5 Jonnu Smith 36 Flama Blanca is hoping that Gronk smashes balls into the end zone turf in his third
season with the organization. The depth behind Gronkowksi is passable, but
DL PLAYER DLF RANK nothing that exudes confidence.
1 Carlos Dunlap 4
2 Calais Campbell 14
3 Sheldon Richardson 27 DEFENSIVE LINE
4 Cameron Heyward 32
5 Solomon Thomas 36 Carlos Dunlap headlines this group, but it’s Sheldon Richardson (aka The
6 Damon Harrison -- Hawknest Monster) that could turn this group into one of the best in the league.

LB PLAYER DLF RANK LINEBACKER
1 Eric Kendricks 11
2 KJ Wright 36 La Flama Blanca sports one of the league’s thinnest linebacking corps. Eric
3 Paul Posluszny 45
4 Alex Anzalone 65 Kendricks and the notoriously undervalued KJ Wright lead the depth chart, but
5 Blake Martinez 68 after that you’re hoping you hit the right guy on the right week.
6 Malcolm Smith 74
7 BJ Goodson -- DEFENSIVE BACK

DB PLAYER DLF RANK When you have Landon Collins as your top defensive back, do you even need to
1 Landon Collins 1
2 Ha Ha Clinton-Dix 8 start another? La Flama Blanca acquired Ha Ha Clinton-Dix to go along with
3 Karl Joseph 11 sophomore Karl Jospeh and veteran Earl Thomas as the team’s DB2.
4 Earl Thomas 27
5 Su'a Cravens 32 PLACE KICKER

PK PLAYER DLF RANK Dustin Hopkins is the kicker for the Washington Redskins.
1 Dustin Hopkins --





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MILE HIGH MACHINE TEAM PREVIEW




QB PLAYER DLF RANK While, the Mile High Machine didn’t have the results they wanted last
1 Jameis Winston 6 year they saw a lot of their young talent develop over the course of
2 Eli Manning 20
3 Joe Flacco 22 the season. The team then supplemented this growth with some
4 Carson Palmer 28 veteran additions to plug holes on both sides of the ball. Ownership
5 Paxton Lynch 30 is expecting a strong step forward this season that puts them
squarely in the playoff picture.
RB PLAYER DLF RANK
1 DeMarco Murray 14
2 Lamar Miller 16 QUARTERBACK
3 CJ Anderson 22
4 Paul Perkins 35 Sporting one of the league’s top young quarterbacks in Jameis Winston gives the
5 Danny Woodhead 45
6 Marlon Mack 49 Machine an excellent foundation to build from. Surround him with veterans like
7 Jamaal Charles 50 Eli Manning, Joe Flacco and Carson Palmer and you have a strong weekly duo.
8 Charles Sims 52
9 Kenyan Drake 69 RUNNING BACK
10 Charcandrick West 79
11 Donnel Pumphrey 83 DeMarco Murray showed that his 2015 season wasn’t a fluke as he kept the
12 Damien Williams --
starting job in Tennessee all to himself in 2016. The question remains if he will
WR PLAYER DLF RANK be able to hold off Derrick Henry one more year or will we start to see him in a
1 Mike Evans 2 reduced role.
2 Michael Thomas 8
3 Tyreek Hill 28 WIDE RECEIVER
4 Will Fuller 56
5 Larry Fitzgerald 58 Mike Evans is a beast. Michael Thomas will flourish in New Orleans. Tyreek Hill
6 Cooper Kupp 65
7 Tyler Boyd 70 is the only wide receiver in Kansas City that’s worth anything. Larry Fitzgerald
8 Devin Funchess 74 will soak up targets in what might be his final season. Cooper Kupp is in a wide
9 Phillip Dorsett 88 open depth chart in Los Angeles. This has the makings of one of the best wide
10 Torrey Smith 92 receiver groups in 2017.
11 Kendall Wright 95

TIGHT END
TE PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Hunter Henry 6
2 Kyle Rudolph 12 Solid on all fronts. Kyle Rudolph finally paid off in 2016 with Sam Bradford and
3 Jason Witten 22 should perform similarly in 2017. Jason Witten will be Jason Witten. Hunter
4 Dwayne Allen 23 Henry should see his opportunity grow as Antonio Gates falls off the age cliff once
5 Bucky Hodges 44
and for all.

DL PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Leonard Williams 6 DEFENSIVE LINE
2 Ezekiel Ansah 10
3 Derek Wolfe 28 With the departure of Sheldon Richardson in New York, Leonard Williams should
4 Jonathan Allen 44 see more opportunity and will likely turn that into greater production. However,
5 William Gholston -- the question for the Machine is whether or not Ziggy Ansah will be able to stay on
LB PLAYER DLF RANK the field for all sixteen games in 2017.
1 Jamie Collins 4
2 Preston Brown 37 LINEBACKER
3 Denzel Perryman 43
4 Jadeveon Clowney 46 Jamie Collins is the only premier asset in the group. Preston Brown and Jadeveon
5 De'Vondre Campbell 49 Clowney offer some upside, but linebacker could be this team’s undoing.
6 Chandler Jones 53
7 Mychal Kendricks 59
DEFENSIVE BACK
DB PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Johnathan Cyprien 7 Will Johnathan Cyprien continue to be a tackle machine outside of Gus Bradley’s
2 Byron Jones 42 defense? Will Byron Jones continue to develop as a safety? The answers to these
3 Bashaud Breeland -- questions will determine how well this group fairs.
4 Eli Apple --
5 Jason McCourty -- PLACE KICKER

PK PLAYER DLF RANK The Mile High Machine have elected to not carry a kicker in 2017.





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MORNING WOOD TEAM PREVIEW




QB PLAYER DLF RANK Morning Wood finished last season with a 7-5 record, but injuries
1 Matt Ryan 9 quickly derailed the team’s postseason hopes. The off-season didn’t
2 Kirk Cousins 11
3 Sam Bradford 27 go much better for the Morning Domers either. Khalil Mack was
4 Colin Kaepernick 37 moved back to linebacker and Julian Edelman tore his ACL. All
indications are that the team is in for a rough year, but development
RB PLAYER DLF RANK
1 LeSean McCoy 13 from their young prospects could make this season a win.
2 CJ Prosise 24
3 Doug Martin 28 QUARTERBACK
4 Rex Burkhead 66
5 Matt Jones 78
6 DJ Foster -- Quarterback is easily the strongest position group for Morning Wood. Matt Ryan
7 John Crockett -- has always been one of the more consistent quarterbacks, but last year he took
8 Ka'Deem Carey -- his game to another level. Kirk Cousins continued to prove doubters wrong and
9 Orleans Darkwa --
now has an athletic freak in Terrelle Pryor to throw the ball to in Washington.

WR PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Doug Baldwin 14 RUNNING BACK
2 Emmanuel Sanders 30
3 Julian Edelman 42 LeSean McCoy is now the only threat in Buffalo. The question is whether or not
4 Laquon Treadwell 49 that’s a good thing. He will get the touches, but the defense knows he’s getting the
5 Rishard Matthews 63
6 Kenny Stills 72 ball. He’s also 29 and only has so much tread left on the tires. On the other hand,
7 Travis Benjamin 85 with volume comes points and that’s all we really care about anyway.
8 Robby Anderson 91
9 Danny Amendola -- WIDE RECEIVER
10 Dede Westbrook --
11 Dwayne Harris -- The pre-season injury to Julian Edelman really took the wind out of the sails for
12 Markus Wheaton --
13 Sammie Coates -- the wide receiver depth chart. Doug Baldwin will continue to headline the group
14 Terrance Williams -- and Emmanuel Sanders will put up his fair share of points in Denver, but where
will the rest of the help come from? Can Treadwell overcome a disastrous rookie
TE PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Austin Hooper 16 season? Has Dede Westbrook overtaken Hurns on the Jacksonville depth chart?
2 Charles Clay 28
3 Cameron Brate 29 TIGHT END
4 Zach Miller 37
Austin Hooper could be one of the best kept secrets in all of fantasy. Atlanta is not
DL PLAYER DLF RANK flush with reliable targets and Hooper showed well down the stretch last year.
1 Jason Pierre-Paul 5
2 Ndamukong Suh 23 Twelve months from now we could be talking about Hooper as a better fantasy
3 Shaq Lawson 33 tight end than fellow draftmate, Hunter Henry.
4 Robert Nkemdiche 37
DEFENSIVE LINE
LB PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Jaylon Smith 22 Jason Pierre-Paul proved that you don’t need all your fingers to play at a high
2 Khalil Mack 23
3 Mark Barron 24 level. He should lead the way for Morning Wood as Shaq Lawson and Robert
4 Von Miller 27 Nkemdiche have the opportunity to become valuable fantasy assets in year two.
5 Sean Lee 30
6 Will Compton 61 LINEBACKER
7 Leonard Floyd 73
8 Karlos Dansby --
9 Mason Foster -- Sean Lee gets no respect. As DLF’s LB30, he will easily outperform his ranking.
10 TJ Watt -- Khalil Mack is still a good linebacker, but he’s a dominant defensive lineman.

DB PLAYER DLF RANK DEFENSIVE BACK
1 Jabrill Peppers 14
2 Antoine Bethea 33 Jabrill Peppers may be the most dynamic safety in the NFL. Marcus Peters is so
3 Marcus Peters 35
4 Jalen Ramsey 43 good on the ball that he’s actually relevant as a cornerback.
5 Josh Norman --
6 Justin Evans -- PLACE KICKER

PK PLAYER DLF RANK How will a non-Shanahan based offense impact Matt Bryant? Could be good.
1 Matt Bryant -- Could be bad.





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RABBIT HOLLOW HICKZ TEAM PREVIEW




QB PLAYER DLF RANK The Rabbit Hollow Hickz have one of the more intriguing depth charts
1 Marcus Mariota 5 in the league. Centered around stars such as Antonio Brown and Ben
2 Ben Roethlisberger 14
3 Andy Dalton 17 Roethlisberger, they have built a strong contingent of youth to
4 Patrick Mahomes 25 support and eventually supplant these premier assets. The Hickz are
5 Jimmy Garoppolo 29 positioned well for a playoff push, but have enough holes that will
6 Jay Cutler 36
7 Chad Kelly -- keep them elevating past the premier teams in the league once the
playoffs role around.
RB PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Melvin Gordon 5
2 Ameer Abdullah 23 QUARTERBACK
3 Duke Johnson 33
4 Thomas Rawls 41 Quarterback is easily the Hickz’ best and most promising position. Ben
5 TJ Yeldon 42
6 Jonathan Williams 55 Roethlisberger and Marcus Mariota are entrenched as the starters with solid
7 James White 56 depth in Andy Dalton and Jay Cutler not far behind. The depth chart is rounded
8 Jeremy McNichols 58 out by high upside prospects in Jimmy Garoppolo and Patrick Mahomes.
9 Chris Thompson 65
10 Shane Vereen 73
RUNNING BACK
WR PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Antonio Brown 3 The Hickz have an interesting group of running backs. Melvin Gordon headlines
2 Amari Cooper 5 the position, but it becomes a mass of streamable options after that. The Hickz
3 Stefon Diggs 20
4 DeVante Parker 23 need to develop or find running back help in order to compete at the highest level.
5 Jordan Matthews 33
6 John Ross 38 WIDE RECEIVER
7 Eric Decker 41
8 Sterling Shepard 43 When you have Antonio Brown and Amari Cooper you can afford to take a lot of
9 Mike Wallace 66
10 Chris Hogan 78 shots with the rest of your wide receivers and that’s exactly what the Hickz have
11 Josh Gordon 80 done. Will we see a third year breakout from DeVante Parker? Will Stefon Diggs
12 Chris Conley 86 continue to prove people wrong? Can Jordan Matthews be the guy in Buffalo?
13 Taylor Gabriel 89
14 Nelson Agholor 94
TIGHT END
TE PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Eric Ebron 8 This might be the Hickz most unappealing position group. Eric Ebron could
2 Martellus Bennett 14 breakout in a Lions’ passing attack that no longer features Anquon Boldin.
3 Gerald Everett 24
Martellus Bennett could become Rodgers new best friend. The “brightest” spot is
DL PLAYER DLF RANK rookie Gerald Everett. Everett has the opportunity to flash in a similar manner as
1 Cameron Jordan 9 we saw from Hunter Henry a year ago.
2 Myles Garrett 17
3 Melvin Ingram 24
4 Yannick Ngakoue 34 DEFENSIVE LINE
5 Derek Rivers --
Heading into 2017, no one is too enthused by the Hickz defensive line. However,
LB PLAYER DLF RANK give it some time and people might be singing a different tune. Myles Garret won’t
1 Alec Ogletree 5
2 Reuben Foster 13 be hurt forever and Melvin Ingram’s move from linebacker to defensive end is a
3 Myles Jack 14 big boost to his value.
4 Deone Bucannon 20
5 Kiko Alonso 29 LINEBACKER
6 Justin Houston 39
7 Lawrence Timmons 41 While Alec Ogletree is the headliner of the group, Reuben Foster is the future stud
8 Robert Quinn 63
in the meeting room.
DB PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Barry Church 6 DEFENSIVE BACK
2 Tyrann Mathieu 10
3 Jamal Adams 12 A well-balanced depth chart filled with current producers and high upside, young
4 Eric Berry 17
5 Eric Weddle 26 talent.
6 Josh Jones 39
PLACE KICKER
PK PLAYER DLF RANK
1 Adam Vinatieri -- Yes, Adam Vinatieri is still going strong.





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TOP OFF-SEASON TRANSACTIONS




Blue Bomber Get off My Ditka
Glennon, Mike CHI QB Stafford, Matthew DET QB
Jeffery, Alshon PHI WR → Year 2017 Draft Pick 3.07
Lockett, Tyler SEA WR ←
Year 2018 Round 5 Draft Pick
Executed: 2017-04-23

Blue Bomber Fore the Win!
Montgomery, Ty GBP RB Year 2017 Draft Pick 1.04
Riddick, Theo DET RB Year 2017 Draft Pick 2.01
Coleman, Kurt CAR S Year 2017 Draft Pick 3.01
Year 2018 Round 1 Draft Pick → Year 2017 Draft Pick 4.01
Year 2018 Round 2 Draft Pick ← Year 2017 Draft Pick 5.01
Year 2018 Round 3 Draft Pick Year 2017 Draft Pick 5.06
Year 2018 Round 4 Draft Pick Year 2017 Draft Pick 6.01
Year 2018 Round 6 Draft Pick Year 2017 Draft Pick 7.01
Year 2018 Round 7 Draft Pick

Executed: 2017-05-02
Getting Juiced La Flama Blanca
Carr, Derek OAK QB → Jones, Julio ATL WR
← Howard, O.J. TBB TE

Executed: 2017-06-03
Rabbit HolloW HickZ Getting Juiced
Bryant, Martavis PIT WR → Diggs, Stefon MIN WR
Year 2018 Round 3 Draft Pick ← Year 2018 Round 6 Draft Pick

Executed: 2017-06-04
Get off My Ditka Morning Wood
Martin, Doug TBB RB → Crowell, Isaiah CLE RB
Anderson, Robby NYJ WR ←
Hooper, Austin ATL TE
Executed: 2017-06-09

Blue Bomber Rabbit HolloW HickZ
Bucannon, Deone ARI LB → Jones, Deion ATL LB
Foster, Reuben SFO LB ←
Executed: 2017-06-19

Getting Juiced Fore the Win!
Wentz, Carson PHI QB → Brady, Tom NEP QB
Year 2018 Round 1 Draft Pick ←
Executed: 2017-08-27

Blue Bomber Getting Juiced
Smith, Alex KCC QB → Carroo, Leonte MIA WR
Year 2018 Round 3 Draft Pick ← Landry, Jarvis MIA WR
Year 2019 Round 3 Draft Pick
Executed: 2017-08-28





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DYNASTY TRADES: HOW TO TRADE IN VOLUME



by Dwayne Brown | https://dynastyleaguefootball.com/2017/06/20/dynasty-trades-trade-volume/


“In sales, it’s not what you say; it’s how they perceive what you say.” – Jeffrey Gitomer

My obsession with hockey cards began sometime as a toddler. Each Saturday night, I can clearly remember sitting in my living room,
dressed in my He-man pajamas, watching Hockey Night in Canada. At puck drop I would carefully lay out the cards of the players of
the two teams that happened to be featured that night. It was a magical moment of the week.

With each goal, assist, or fantastic save, I would search for the players’ card, and run to show my father. Imagine watching a game
with a four-year-old sideline analyst, rambling almost incoherently between every play; that was me in a nutshell. The disappointment
of not owning the card of a player who had just highlighted the game would eat me. I had nothing to offer my father, and to me, at that
young age, was unacceptable. I had to get that card.

My entire life has been foundationally built upon those small moments of disappointment, and how to limit them. From the
acquisition of a hockey card, to the acquisition of real estate, everything has been based on two things; what does the seller want, and
how can I obtain it?

Dynasty Fantasy Football distilled would reveal two very basic needs for success. The first being points is the most obvious. To win a
league you simply need to score more points than your competitors, at the correct time. It’s not really rocket science, but the second
need, value, is far more complex.


Value is elusive, and constantly in a state of flux. While many try to counter this by studying the complexity of the NFL, and trying to
pick out the overlooked breakout player, and sell off the overvalued, my aim is to simplify my approach. Try as I may, the odds of me
becoming a reliable scout for the NFL are lower than I would care to admit. I spend hours, days, and weeks pouring over tape without
being able to properly assess the context of the successes or failures on my screen. The grind may be there, but does it really increase
my odds of success in fantasy football? I may have to wait many more years to properly answer that question with any definitive
results.

The value of the crowd may influence me as much, or possibly (likely) more, than my individualized education. The realization that I
am flawed as a predictive analyst required a change in my basic fantasy football philosophy. I moved on from the rigid player analyst
mindset, and switched to paying close attention to the large market shifts in the combined dynasty colony.

Predictable patterns emerged immediately.

The value of the injured would fall, and regain value and stability upon their return to production.

This is straightforward. The dynasty community as a whole hates injuries, yet most have little to no impact on future year’s
production. People discount because they need production, and people tend to avoid buying for the same reason. This opens a window
for delayed value by purchasing, and selling in the future.

The majority of the dynasty year is centered around youth and ceiling, but a six-to-eight week window existed to sell aging
production for a windfall.

We as dynasty players, are predictably ageist in the off-season, yet many forget that points come at a premium in the crucial weeks
leading up to a fantasy playoff run. The 28 year running back on your roster will carry a very differing value in March to that of
November. Selling the productive veteran when you need them the most often times feels backwards, but while a fantasy team is
building, it seems like the safest way to profit.

Rookie values were insulated against poor production throughout most of the year, but shifted in a team’s competitive
window.





18 | P a g e

This statement is somewhat complex. Without going too far into detail, a value of a rookie can remain perfectly stable, even without
production, to a team that is building. On a competitive team, a rookie may be used as more of a trade chip, carrying less value strictly
based on the team’s makeup. It’s been said that the dynasty community is both too fast and too slow in its reaction, and the ability to
look past non-production in the name of development is a prime example.

The combined mindset of the dynasty crowd holds a players stock far longer than it should. The reaction individualized should
move the player’s value ahead, sometime up to five weeks ahead, of the current market Average Draft Position.

Average draft position is released once a month. By the time you have access to the great work Ryan McDowell has out together for
DLF, it’s already tainted by time. You can think of this two ways; One being that a player on an upward trend may have flown past his
current position, and the second being the opposite downward trend being valued far below his stated place in the reported average
draft position.

A time delay exists, where profit is not only available, but also guaranteed.

Think of this as interest. If I happen to trade a current first round draft pick for a future draft pick, plus an additional draft pick, an
ability to delay self-gratification, will result in free draft slots. This is endless, and can be repeated until an owner has absolutely zero
interest from his trading partners. Let’s break this into simple math. 1 plus a year should equal approximately 1.75, which in another
year could carry a value of 3, which in one more year could carry a value of 5.5. One draft pick, used and traded wisely, could not
only maintain a free pace of draft picks every year, but eventually you could begin to buy veteran players with the surplus.

As with anything in fantasy, these standard movements will need further explanation. Look for a future article, as I will dive into the
above underneath a microscope.

As I began to understand market patterns, the next question was how to adapt and capitalize. I’ve always been aware that anything in a
small sample is prone to a greater failure rate over a unlimited timeline, so the answer became clear; Movement in volume.


By not limiting myself to only players that I would like and dislike, the possibility arose to make multiple moves in a very short
succession. With any thought or theory in the dynasty world, I always come across sticking points that could hinder my success, and
in this case particularly, those were my league mates. How would this work if I couldn’t get the other owners to buy in? I dropped my
leagues down from a total of 17 to a manageable eight, and began to pay very close attention to the owners. The tendencies of my
leagues, and the individual league mates varied greatly, with each carrying a different set of actionable biases.

As patterns developed from previous transactions, I carefully watched if they would continue, and be adopted as true tendencies. This
was very important as the great majority of fantasy players learn from their mistakes, and to make an offer that compounds or
highlights those mistakes could be interpreted as insulting. I needed to know what the owner wanted before they realized it
themselves.

It’s become common to think that the power in fantasy negotiations has resided with that of the team receiving the offer. By making
the offer the first team had shown their hand, revealing interest in a player, allowing the second team to hard-counter, creating enough
value for a runaway win. These deals often fall apart, with neither team having a realistic approach to the win-win scenario needed.
It’s become quite common to simply reject a trade in order to counter, to obtain a slight bump in value.


What’s lost on many is that by rejecting an offer, the risk is perfectly equal to that of accepting an offer. In each trade offer that you
may reject or you may accept, there are two outcomes, profit, or loss. Since we are poor predictors of the future, every trade offer has
both available to us. The fear of pulling a trigger on a trade can have the same repercussions as an owner who has a fear of not pulling
a trigger on a trade. Now since we, as a community are prone to some sort of bias creeping in, my solution was to attempt to move my
roster around enough that the players became faceless. The less I attached myself to an individual, the easier it became to trade them
away at a profit.

This may require an example.

We all know and love Julio Jones and A.J. Green. These players have been fundamental cores of fantasy success. Let’s call ‘owner 1’
Steve, and I’ll play the part of the second owner. Steve owns A.J. Green and has been actively shopping him. His down year due to
injury has weighed on him, and now wants to move to someone he may feel is a safer option, and I, as the second owner own Julio
Jones. The current Average draft position has created a gap between the two that has opened an opportunity for me to pull a profit




P a g e | 19

without losing longevity, or point production. By me selling him Julio Jones for ‘A.J. Green-plus’, I have now added value to my
squad without really changing anything. Deeper looks into their situation – point production, health, team, coaching, and utilization all
point to very similar outcomes, so why value them differently at all? After careful deliberation, I choose to not to. What mattered to
me in the deal was the future expectation of points scored, and the how I believed the dynasty community would respond.

Often times as a volume trader I have noticed that outside sources and influences create opportunity. While I believe that fundamental
research can be applied to a “hot take”, I rarely find them helpful, and more often than not, eventually distance myself from the
authors. I simply do not care about the entertainment value of uselessness.

The more I tend to focus on the context of successes, the more they appear in my fantasy dealings. Emotions are hindrances, better left
to watching football as a fan, yet commonly show up in soft analysis. We not only become attached to a player or the jersey he donned
on Sundays, but to the fantasy theories that we continually invent, and subsequently reinvent.

The constant bombardments of articles on how to properly build a dynasty roster not only confuse us, but also pull us in a direction
where many believe that analysis no longer has the same positive effect. Upon this realization, I started to buy in a contrarian fashion
to all theories based on previous production or assumed longevity. The dynasty world has one key response that I have deemed
predictable; the total number of points put up by a position or player will create next year’s analysis, rendering the past works and
theories blurred, or in some cases, entirely obsolete. If that can flip an entire grouping of skill position players, the ability to pull profit
is massive.

So why trade in volume as opposed to the norm? For the sake of imagination, let’s say I hand you a dollar, and in return you hand me
another dollar and a dime. That seems like a decent profit, so why would you stop there? Take the dollar and dime and trade it once
again, for a dollar and a quarter, and continue on down that road. If you can predict market holes, (which I will further explore in
future articles), and expose them for profit, eventually you can afford to buy the true difference makers in fantasy, and have the
fantasy wallet insurance to absorb losses when they unavoidably come along.


The maximization of fantasy stock should be the goal of every roster. It allows us to break trends, buy the elite that many find
unnecessary, and create not only a good roster, but also one that can dominate at every available position. There is no need to stop,
only a need to continually evolve.












































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GOOD LUCK!






























































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