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Journal of Tourism Futures is an international peer-reviewed, open access journal that publishes research in the fields of tourism and tourism futures. JTF is published in association with NHL Stenden University of Applied Sciences.

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Published by HANIS AMIRA BINTI ISMAIL, 2024-01-20 03:23:51

Journal of Tourism Futures

Journal of Tourism Futures is an international peer-reviewed, open access journal that publishes research in the fields of tourism and tourism futures. JTF is published in association with NHL Stenden University of Applied Sciences.

Keywords: tourism industry,social phenomenon,economic sector,tourism futures

All that glitters is not gold: a study of tourists’ visit intention by watching deepfake destination videos Brijesh Sivathanu, Rajasshrie Pillai, Mahek Mahtta and Angappa Gunasekaran Abstract Purpose – This study aims to examine the tourists’ visit intention by watching deepfake destination videos, using Information Manipulation and Media Richness Theory. Design/methodology/approach – This study conducted a primary survey utilizing a structured questionnaire. In total, 1,360 tourists were surveyed, and quantitative data analysis was done using PLS-SEM. Findings – The results indicate that the factors that affect the tourists’ visit intention after watching deepfake videos include information manipulation tactics, trust and media richness. This study also found that perceived deception and cognitive load do not influence the tourists’ visit intention. Originality/value – The originality/salience of this study lies in the fact that this is possibly among the first to combine the Media Richness Theory and Information Manipulation for understanding tourists’ visit intention and post-viewing deepfake destination videos. Keywords Deepfake videos, Visit intention, Media richness, Information manipulation, Trust Paper type Research paper 1. Introduction The technological disruption happened due to advanced technologies, such as Artificial Intelligence (AI), Deep Learning (DL), Augmented Reality (AR) and Machine Learning (ML), have altered how information related to tourism is communicated to tourists (Kwok and Koh, 2020; Tavitiyaman et al., 2021). They have given rise to manipulatable and immersive experiences, such as extended reality (i.e. virtual, mixed and augmented), which involve users in cyber-physical communications (Bogicevic et al., 2019; Kwok and Koh, 2020; Pestek and Sarvan, 2020). “Deepfake technology” is a new jargon in the technology space (Kietzmann et al., 2020a; Luthera, 2020). “Deepfake” combines two distinct terms (i.e. deep learning þ fake). Simply put, it is a technology that enables substituting or placing an individual into a photo and/or video where he/ she, in reality, has never been (Adee, 2020; Somers, 2020). Technically speaking, it leverages algorithms from both AI and ML to integrate and swap existing/pre-existing videos/images/audio to develop fake alternative content (Kaietzmann et al., 2020; Patel, 2020; Mitra, 2020). Herein, it may be noted that traditional destination videos are generally manipulated to draw the tourist’s attention. However, the manipulation done herein is not done with the help of advanced technologies. Because deepfakes leverage advanced technologies (i.e. AI and ML), they present automated measures to develop fake content, which is computer-generated and arduous for people to detect (Levesque, 2019; Dan, 2020) further added that owing to its difficulty to detect, it becomes easier to manipulate, threatening individuals and organizations to establish authenticity. There has been a Brijesh Sivathanu is based at the College of Engineering Pune, Pune, India. Rajasshrie Pillai is based at the Department of Management, Pune Institute of Business Management, Pune, India. Mahek Mahtta is based at the Pune Institute of Business Management, Pune, India. Angappa Gunasekaran is based at the School of Business Administration, Penn State Harrisburg, Middletown, Pennsylvania, USA. Received 30 March 2022 Revised 24 July 2022 18 December 2022 6 June 2023 15 July 2023 Accepted 4 August 2023 © Brijesh Sivathanu, Rajasshrie Pillai, Mahek Mahtta and Angappa Gunasekaran. Published in Journal of Tourism Futures. Published by Emerald Publishing Limited. This article is published under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) licence. Anyone may reproduce, distribute, translate and create derivative works of this article (for both commercial and non-commercial purposes), subject to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this licence may be seen at http:// creativecommons.org/licences/ by/4.0/legalcode DOI 10.1108/JTF-03-2022-0102 VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪ , pp. 1-19, Emerald Publishing Limited, ISSN 2055-5911 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURES j PAGE 1


significant rise in the production of deepfake videos online, especially in the tourism industry. It is of great concern because of its possible covert effect on destination image and company branding, especially since people perceive the content as reliable and credible (Kwok and Koh, 2020; Lojo et al., 2020). Frequent misinformation (such as deepfakes) makes people doubt the truth behind the advertisements (Kaietzmann et al., 2020). While planning a tour, several people often refer to destination videos to check out the place, which helps their decision-making. Hence, marketers of tourist attractions, at times, do tend to tweak images/videos of some destinations in order to make them more “visually appealing.” Creators/ developers of deepfakes capitalize on this “marketing act,” attracting or dissuading travelers in the process (Leung et al., 2017). These images/videos are then put up on social media. Travelers, who are susceptible and thereby vulnerable, are inclined or dissuaded from visiting the destination. Echoing the same, Kwok and Koh (2020) stated that with a developed belief that may be based on deepfakes, the travelers’ intent to visit a destination per se gets significantly impacted (positively/ negatively), following which they make their travel plans without seeing the real facts of the destination. Therefore, it is essential to investigate the effect of deepfake videos on travelers’ intention to visit tourist destinations (Fedeli, 2021; Kwok and Koh, 2020). Unfortunately, some marketers deliberately choose to use these deepfakes, despite knowing and understanding their impact on the travelers’ psyche (Kaietzmann et al., 2020). Choosing a destination based on the deepfakes may shock or satisfy travelers and it is essential to understand the factors influencing the visit intention by watching deepfake destination videos. Hence, the primary research question (RQ) is formed: RQ1. How do deepfake videos influence tourists’ visit intention? To answer the same, we used the Information Manipulation Theory, Media Richness theory and “perceived trust” to examine and develop a model based on the antecedents of tourists’ visit intentions after watching deepfake videos. Then, the proposed model is empirically confirmed to answer the research question. Importantly, this is possibly among the first studies to look into the influence of deepfakes on travelers’ destination visit intention, using both Information Manipulation Theory and Media Richness Theory. In the process, we contribute to the literature on fake online advertisements and provide implications for marketers, managers, designers of deepfakes, advertising regulators and scholars in the hospitality and tourism sector. 2. Literature review 2.1 Deepfake videos in hospitality and tourism Online advertisements, as practiced today, have gotten into manipulating content instead of developing it from scratch and possibly modifying it with the help of digital tools. Campbell et al. (2021) suggested that “manipulation” occur through deep learning technologies and AI. Specifically, advertising manipulation comprises three stages: (a) Stage 1 (Analog 1.0) refers to “physical editing,” whereby camera, lenses, make-up and lights prevail. It is because the larger aim herein is to advertise through print, television and/or radio. (b) Stage 2 (Digital: 2.0) refers to computer-generated images modified by Photoshop software, aiming for print and stationary online platforms. (c) Stage 3 (Synthetic: 3.0) refers to Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) (Sohn et al., 2021), with the help of which deepfake videos are created and used for advertising online with additional help from AI and ML (Campbell et al., 2021). The spiteful use of deepfakes has developed more risks than advantages (Kwok and Koh, 2020). Although deepfakes make it easy to manipulate audio and video (Woolley, 2020), it is believed that deepfakes would change “advertising” holistically, owing to their ease of accessibility, plausibility and novelty. Furthermore, as audio-visual media in deepfakes resembles the real world, people tend to trust them, given that, as they have developed a realism heuristic (Kaietzmann et al., 2020). For example, Lithuania’s National Tourism Agency used discrete images to publicize the Baltic state in its online marketing campaigns (BBC, 2017). This example effectively highlights a case of PAGE 2 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪


manipulative marketing, which could lead to quick encouraging results in terms of marketing. However, it would have dire consequences in the longer term on the more significant tourism industry owing to fake news content (Fedeli, 2021). The extant work on deepfake discusses about its rise (Whittaker et al., 2021), issues and positives related to deepfakes (Kietzmann et al., 2020b). The extant research lacks to explore the influence of deepfake videos in tourism and hospitality. Hence, to explore the factors influencing the visit intention by watching deepfakes. This work used information manipulation theory 2 and media richness theory. 3. Theoretical basis 3.1 Information manipulation theory 2 (IMT2) The Information Manipulation Theory (IMT) is holistic in its approach; it views a message per se, within the ambits of the context, vis  a vis the way it has been stated (McCornack, 1992). It is based on some “components/maxims”; they include quantity, quality, relation and manner. Specifically, “quantity” refers to providing the appropriate amount of information clearly and accurately. Quality refers to information that is both accurate and factual. Relation refers to information when conversing specifically to a topic. Finally, “manner” refers to how a message is effectively put forth, mainly through subtler aspects (e.g. body language). A second part of the IMT, commonly referred to as IMT2 was incepted by McCornack in 1992, resulting from multiple theoretical works done in the past, with preceding issues being corrected (McCornack et al., 2014). Chiluwa and Samoilenko (2019) spoke about IMT2 as “a theory which emphasizes on creating a misleading message and the motives of the sender.” This propositional theory of “deceptive discourse production” further emphasizes how information is covertly manipulated to make deception to several extents (McCornack et al., 2014). The fundamental idea of IMT2 is based on deceptive dialogue formation, whereby 11 propositions are further grouped under 3 propositional sets. They include Cognitive Load (CL), Intentional States (IS) and Information Manipulation (IM). CL, for instance, encompasses the inter-relationship between discourse, load and context. On the other hand, IS focuses on deceptive intent; it illustrates the nature and sequential assignment of misleading volition regarding speech production. The intent to deceive may not be before content production, and it could occur when information or dialog-making effectively happens. Holistically speaking, the fundamental premises in IM identify the specific condition in which diverse information manipulation occurs or does not. IMT2 may be grounded in neuroscience, speech production, linguistics, AI and cognition (McCornack et al., 2014; Walczyk, 2014). Deepfakes offer doctored and manipulated information content using AI; the objective is to lure tourists into traveling destinations (Kaietzmann et al., 2020; Mitra, 2020; Patel, 2020). We aim to understand the behavioral intention of tourists/travelers toward visiting a destination triggered by watching these deepfake videos; therefore, we considered IMT2 for this study. 3.2 Media richness theory (MRT) The MRT has elaborated upon ways in which media platforms, along with communication in various forms, have a dynamic ability of richness in the information they offer, vis a vis the  multifaceted effect on the understanding of the receiver (Alamaki € et al., 2019; Bergin, 2013; Ishii et al., 2019; Tseng and Wei, 2020). The information levels conveyed by distinct communication mediums and the richness of information transferred over time effectively depend upon the medium’s potential to fetch feedback (Chen and Chang, 2018). Richer information encompasses more modes of communication, social visual cues such as gestures or immediate feedback and advanced features like video, audio and other elements that boost audiences to engage and interact with the information; hence, it creates more trust among tourists (Lu et al., 2014). VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪ j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 3


Various marketing channels’ capability of delivering high perceived media richness could establish a competitive advantage, primarily for the tourism and hospitality markets (Lipowski and Bondos, 2018). Thus, we see that by improving media richness capabilities, websites often look to promote advertisements to trigger consumers’ confidence and purchase intention. The rationale is that it assures advanced texts, graphics and interactive virtual experiences (Chen and Chang, 2018). Using AI and ML algorithms, deepfakes combine, superimpose, replace and merge images, videos and audio, thereby generating false alternatives (Kaietzmann et al., 2020; Mitra, 2020) to appeal to tourists to travel destinations. 3.3 Perceived trust (PTR) Travelers get information about their travel destinations from various sources, such as social media, destination web pages, videos posted on multiple platforms and wiki pages to understand the destination details, along with other information related to the destination (Lin et al., 2021; Singh and Srivastava, 2019). Travelers may or may not believe such information. With this consideration, trust is discussed as the consumers’ willingness to accept susceptibility based on positive prospects regarding the behavior or intentions of others in a situation characterized by risk and interdependence (Tandon et al., 2020; Pillai and Sivathanu, 2020; Goel et al., 2022). Extant research stated that tourists tend to trust numerous online information sources, while trust influences behavioral intention (Ben-Shaul and Reichel, 2018; Tandon et al., 2020). By watching deepfake destination videos, tourists may trust these deepfakes, influencing their behavioral intention to visit the destinations. Hence, PTR is considered in this research work. 4. Theoretical framework development We adopted the Information Manipulation Theory (IMT2) to explore tourists’ approach toward advertisement and intention to purchase (Cui et al., 2014; Peng et al., 2009, 2016). IMT2 offers three prepositions for generating the sender’s deceiving message and motivation: (a) an intentional state to send a misleading message, (b) cognitive load and (c) information manipulation. Notably, this theory is specific to AI, cognitive neuroscience, speech-making and linguistics to expound deceiving demonstration (Chiluwa and Samoilenko, 2019; McCornack et al., 2014). We used IMT2 to analyze and understand the tourists’ visit intention to a destination after watching deepfakes. Specifically, we considered key variables of IMT2, comprising (1) manipulation of information, (2) intentional state (perceived deception); and (3) cognitive load. We substituted the intention state with perceived deception as an intentional state indicates the misleading discourse development and perception (McCornack et al., 2014; Riquelme and Roman, 2014  ). Apart from IMT2, we also adopted perceived media richness (Tseng et al., 2017) from MRT and perceived trust (Ben-Shaul and Reichel, 2018; Boger et al., 2020; Su et al., 2020) as key variables. Notably, these variables are highly relevant and contextually pertinent to deepfake videos. Notably, as tourists do tend to get significantly influenced by these deepfakes, we also considered perceived trust in our theoretical model (Figure 1). 5. Hypotheses development 5.1 Perceived deception (PDE) PDE refers to the consumers’ notion that marketers exploit product-related information to affect consumers’ decision-making process. For instance, as discussed earlier, through deepfakes, they encourage/discourage tourists, either from procuring or dissuading them from availing a specific service/product with the help of deceptive information (Akhtar et al., 2019; Riquelme and Roman,  2014). However, one must acknowledge that these “manipulation tactics” sometimes do not serve the desired objective. In other words, they do not deceive a particular group of tourists, who are PAGE 4 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪


more apprehensive to the point of being skeptical. as tourists are unreliable and have susceptible behavior while purchasing online (Xie and Boush, 2011). Perceived deception toward the advertisement can develop a corrupt product image in the consumer’s attention (Lim et al., 2020). We considered perceived deception as the extent to which tourists feel that deepfakes generate a false image of a travel destination solely to entice them to visit. As elaborated earlier, these deepfakes use AI/ML and search images from Google to manipulate them and mislead tourists (Maras and Alexandrou, 2019). Based on this understanding, we posit: H1. Perceived deception negatively influences tourists’ intention to visit travel destinations. 5.2 Perceived cognitive load (CLD) Cognitive load (CLD) refers to the way consumers perceive the ease or difficulty of handing out the information provided to them (Schrader and Bastiaens, 2012). Specifically, consumers’ cognitive load increases when complex information is cluttered (Fan et al., 2020). Herein, it may be noted that CLD is of two types (i.e. intrinsic vs. extrinsic); the former refers to the normal load, driven by the complexity of information that one gathers, due to which it isn’t easy to control. However, the latter (i.e. extrinsic) relates to an individual’s experience of “information processing,” owing to the instructional design. It enables the advertisers to manipulate, control and reduce this extrinsic cognitive load by highlighting information on a destination and/or simplifying the websites. Notably, reduced cognitive load minimizes a person’s mental exertion and helps him/her to understand the information, which in turn, initiates a positive behavior-related modification (Fan et al., 2020; Schrader and Bastiaens, 2012). The experience can be improved by adopting Augmented Reality (AR), enhancing consumers’ visual and tactile information comprehension and auditory. AR makes the difficult task of imagining the destination easier by superimposing virtual 3D information into real-time and enabling browsing the online environment, which has a more positive attitude toward the product. The individuals process any information; they tend to face a cognitive load. However, when cognitive load is low, it makes cognitive fluency and people develop a positive attitude toward a product (Fan et al., 2020). Deepfakes, as discussed earlier, generate scenarios that do not exist in Figure 1 Proposed framework Source(s): Figure by author Perceived Deception (PDE) IMT 2 Perceived Cognitive Load (CLD) InformaƟon ManipulaƟon TacƟcs (INM) IntenƟon to Visit Tourist DesƟnaƟon by watching Deepfakes (IVD) Perceived Media Richness (PME) MRT Perceived Trust (PTR) H1(–) H2(1) H3(+) H4(+) H5(+) VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪ j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 5


reality, manipulating information for targeting gullible tourists. Notably, the information that is presented before the tourists are done in a way to reduce their cognitive load, so that they are easily influenced and decide to visit the destination (Fan et al., 2020; Kaietzmann et al., 2020; Srivastava, 2020; Westerlund, 2019). However, some tourists, owing to their skepticism, may get influenced and thereby may opt out of the destination; hence, we posit: H2. Perceived cognitive load negatively influences tourists’ intention to visit travel destinations. 5.3 Information manipulation tactics (INM) INM refers to the way marketers choose to manipulate information (McCornack et al., 2014); they could either add, delete and/or morph the content to suit the advertising requirement and/or promote the service or product (Peng et al., 2016). Manipulating information effectively violates the information’s relation, quality and quantity (McCornack et al., 2014). For instance, marketers could exclusively provide/highlight good reviews for products online while deleting or tampering with negative ones (Hu et al., 2011; Wu et al., 2020) though there is the possibility of fraud detection. Through their seminal research, (Peng et al., 2016) stated that any purchase of a product and/or service is generally stimulated with distinct offers, discounts, gifts and cash rebates. Deepfake videos can create different types of manipulation, such as identity swap, expression manipulation, entire non-existent face images and attribute manipulation (Maras and Alexandrou, 2019; Stover, 2018; Tolosana et al., 2020). Airbnb uses an AI tool developed by Google “TensorFlow”to enhance the guest experience by categorizing images to sense things in uploaded photos (Kirchengast, 2020; Nguyen et al., 2019). The risk associated with such an open-source program is that it might be applied to create deception and mislead the target audience about the information available (Chaouachi and Rached, 2012; Kaietzmann et al., 2020; Kirchengast, 2020; Maity et al., 2018;Nguyen et al., 2019). As the ploy of manipulating information in deepfakes makes them more attractive, it does positively affect the tourists to destination visit. Hence, we posit: H3. Information manipulation tactics positively influence the travelers’ intention to visit travel destinations. 5.4 Perceived media richness (PME) Media richness reflects the capability of communication channels to send messages that are rich in information (Tseng et al., 2017). It has four distinct features, encompassing tailored message for the receiver, amount of information channels for communication, multi-lingual communication based on users’ requirements and instantaneous feedback provided by the media to the user (Ogara et al., 2014; Tseng et al., 2017). Media richness is believed to influence users’ perceptions; thus, tourists perceive it in the context of online marketing networks otherwise (Lipowski and Bondos, 2018). Therein, the richer the media, the easier it is for the tourist to understand and remember the information (Maity et al., 2018). Perceived media richness shows the tourists’ intention to use a specific channel for decision-making (Lipowski and Bondos, 2018). Notably, as online channels are deemed as leaner media owing to their non-sensory features, it becomes tough to take decisions. Though, with unconventional video-voice-chat-based communication added to online channels, perceived media richness increases, regardless of the generation of the tourist (Lipowski and Bondos, 2018; Maity et al., 2018). The extant studies divulge that media richness influences consumer behaviour (Chen and Chang, 2018). Deepfakes are manipulated videos that are attractive in nature and offer information about the destination by creating truthful audio-visuals. Therefore, tourists looking for a destination may be induced to visit the destination after watching these deepfake destination videos. Thus, the below hypothesis is formed: H4. Perceived media richness positively influences tourists’ intention to visit the travel destinations. PAGE 6 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪


5.5 Perceived trust (PTR) The customers’ point of view regarding the information privacy, security, protection and quality provided by the information system has been perceived as perceived trust (Ponte et al., 2015). The tourists’ readiness to take risks also stems from trust (Ba and Pavlou, 2002). This study discusses the association between consumers’ trust in information on online media and their visit intention (Yoo et al., 2009; Yoo and Gretzel, 2011). PTR is believed to be a vital antecedent for a tourist’s intention to visit a travel destination (Ben-Shaul and Reichel, 2018; Boger et al., 2020; Su et al., 2020). Deepfake videos are made using AI and DL technology, which are morphed types of fake; however, it ensures a realistic view of the destination that lures travelers. Therefore, travelers may develop trust in the information provided by Deepfakes and form the intention to visit the travel destination. So, the hypothesis is proposed as: H5. Perceived trust positively influences tourists’ intention to visit travel destinations. 6. Research methodology In this section, we discuss the data collection and survey tool design. At first, we conducted a pilot study to finalize the research questionnaire. Our objective was to survey tourists in the first phase, and later, we also conducted a quantitative survey among the tourists. 6.1 Research survey instrument design We integrated MRT, IMT2 and PTR, given in the extant literature. We adopted the delineation of constructs from the operational definitions proposed in extant literature. Notably, we amended the following constructs as per our requirement for the study; they include PDE (Peng et al., 2016; Riquelme and Roman, 2014  ); INM (Peng et al., 2016); PME (Maity et al., 2018; Suh, 1999; Tseng and Wei, 2020); CLD (Fan et al., 2020; Paas et al., 1994; Schmeck et al., 2015); IVD (Doosti et al., 2016; El-Said, 2020; Zhao et al., 2015); and PTR (Jeng, 2019; Kim et al., 2011) (Table 1). Further, for measuring the constructs, we used a five-point Likert scale (1 5 “strongly disagree” and 5 5 “strongly agree”). The design of the instrument and sampling procedure is presented in Figure 2. 6.2 Sampling procedure 6.2.1 Phase I. The subject matter experts (SME) were from the travel industry; for instance, from the Tourism Ministry of India, the Indian Association of Tour Operators, along with senior executives and managers, and experts from various travel destinations. The SMEs also belonged to online platform agencies – goibibo.com, makemytrip.com, ixigo.com and yatra.com; we sent them the questionnaire developed to review. Importantly, before sending the questionnaire, we explained to all the SMEs the scope and objectives of the research. Post receiving their feedback, we modified the questionnaire while incorporating their recommendations. This ensured face validity of the questionnaire. Once that was done, we used the questionnaire for a pilot study. Further, we adopted a five-point Likert scale to measure the operational constructs. Then, we conducted a test for Cronbach’s alpha to pre-test (87 respondents) and pilot test (165 respondents). The data collection survey was done by contacting travelers at various travel destinations, bus terminals, railway stations and airports. The authors ensured that the respondents had no prior experience at the destinations as they had yet to visit the destinations. The videos related to the concept of deepfake videos, and then deepfake and traditional destination videos were shown to tourists on laptops and mobile phones. Also, the deepfake concept was explained to the respondents before filling up the questionnaire. The participants used several online platforms and some form of technology to plan and visit various tourist destinations. After attaining the appropriate result in the pilot study, the final data collection was completed. Table 1 depicts the operationalization of the constructs. VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪ j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 7


6.2.2 Phase II. Upon completion of the pilot study, we used the structured questionnaire to conduct the primary data collection process. It was done at various travel destinations, bus terminals, railway stations and airports by contacting travelers in the five states of India: Uttarakhand, Goa, Maharashtra, Himachal Pradesh and Karnataka, including the cities – Nainital, Mussorie, Dehradun, Mahabaleshwar, Lonavala, Panchgani, Pune, Kolhapur, Mumbai, Shimla, Dalhousie, Dharmshala, Manali, Panaji, Coorg, Hampi and Mysore. We used a convenient sampling method for the survey. As done in the pilot study, here too, the authors ensured that the respondents had no prior experience at the destinations as they had yet to visit them. We explained to the participants the idea of deepfake videos, prior to administering the questionnaire. First, we showed a video to the respondents, which explained the overall concept of deepfakes, and how it is used for advertising and marketing in various business sectors. It was necessary to show this Table 1 Measurement of constructs Main construct Items Indicator/item Perceived Deception (PDE) PDE1 Deepfake videos exaggerate the travel destination and its offerings PDE2 Deepfakes provide unclear destination details PDE3 Deepfakes try to mislead tourists to visit the travel destination PDE4 Deepfakes highlight destination features which are not important PDE5 Deepfakes misrepresent destination details to provoke the travelers to visit the destination Cognitive Load (CLD) CLD1 Deepfakes create difficulty to understand the information about the travel destination CLD2 Deepfake videos of travel destinations make it difficult for you to decide the visit to the destination Information Manipulation Tactics (INM) INM1 Deepfake videos are provided with the discounted link for visiting the travel destination (Incentive) INM2 Deepfakes have added extra features to the current destination to make it attractive (Adding) INM3 Deepfakes make the destination look better than the actual (Morphing) INM4 Deepfakes are presented by deleting the problems and issues with the destination (Deleting) INM5 Deepfakes delete the non-attractive part of the destination (Deleting) Perceived Media Richness (PME) PME1 Deepfake destination videos help me in making good decisions regarding my visit to the destination PME2 While deciding the travel destination visit, Deepfakes make it very easy to make my decision PME3 I can easily visualize the travel destination I plan to visit by watching deepfake destination videos PME4 Deepfake videos of travel destinations help me to understand the travel destination features and other information as per my requirement PME5 Deepfakes of destinations are available in various languages, which helps to understand the destination easily Perceived Trust (PTR) PTR1 Deepfakes provide accurate information about the destination which I want to visit PTR2 I believe in the information provided in Deepfake videos of the destination which I want to visit PTR3 Deepfakes direct me to a destination visit link that is safe to visit PTR5 I feel safe when I see deepfake videos and interact for destination visits Intention to visit travel destination (IVD) IVD1 Deepfakes are the primary source of information before deciding the travel destination visit IVD2 I feel like visiting the travel destination after watching the deepfake videos of the destination IVD3 I always see Deepfake destination videos before I book the travel destination Source(s): Table by author PAGE 8 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪


video so that the participants get a comprehensive picture of deepfakes are all about. Then, we showed them two other videos of travel destinations; one of them was a conventional destination video, while the other was a deepfake. Notably, we conducted this survey on multiple days and periods to reduce bias. Table 2 shows the details of the respondents’ survey. These respondents were educated, using some type of technology and destination-watching videos on online platforms for travel destination visits. Also, respondents had considerable income. Hence, these respondents were appropriate for this work. In total, 1,980 respondents were surveyed, wherein 1,650 questionnaires were filled up and 1,360 questionnaires were completed for final analysis with a response rate of 68.7%. 6.3 Non-response bias To explore the difference in the response between early respondent groups (830) and late respondent groups (530), we conducted a t-test (Tsou and Hsu, 2015), the result (p 5 0.21) of which, exhibited no response bias. Lastly, the appropriate responses found were 1,360. 6.4 Common method bias and endogeneity Post the Harman single factor test (Wang et al., 2018; Podsakoff et al., 2003), we noted a variance of 26.82%; this affirms that common method bias was not an issue. Furthermore, recursivity in the structural model could create an endogeneity issue (Dubey et al., 2018; Lai et al., 2018). In fact, the variance within an exogenous variable could be endogenous to the model specifically because cross-sectional data could possibly result in a misspecified model (Guide and Ketokivi, 2015). Figure 2 Methodological steps Source(s): Figure by author Development of Survey Instrument using established measurement scales aŌer thorough review of literature Review by Subject MaƩer Experts’ - feedback and suggesƟons incorporated in Survey instrument Pre-test of 87 respondents Pilot Study of 165 Respondents Phase I Phase II Final Survey administered to 1980 respondents Appropriate Responses of 1360 Respondents Preliminary Phase Table 2 Collinearity statistics (VIF) Construct Intention to visit travel destination (IVD) PDE 1.351 CLD 1.216 INM 1.167 PME 1.051 PTR 1.085 Source(s): Table by author VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪ j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 9


Therefore, we employed a Ramsey regression equation error test (Lai et al., 2018), through which we established that endogeneity for our framework was not an issue, affirming in the process, measures both reliability and validity. 7. Analysis of data and findings Of the total respondents, 43% were women, while 57% men. Their education details included 27% undergraduates, 38% graduates and 35% postgraduates. The respondents watched various kinds of information videos on online social media platforms for travel destination visits for less than 6 months (29%), while 6–12 months (33%) and 1 year and above (38%) (see Table 3). 7.1 Measurement model For analyzing our conceptual model, we used PLS-SEM and Smart PLS 2.0 (Ringle et al., 2005). Our rationale for using PLS-SEM was that it is believed to be relevant for non-normal data, as well as both large and small sample sizes (Hair et al., 2017). In the final model, we calculated the measurement properties for the latent constructs, as that reflects the fact of having multiple indicators. Table 4 shows the CR values, whereby we note high internal consistency and reliability (Nunnally, 1978). Further, convergent validity for all of our constructs is established, as the values of AVE are greater than 0.5 (Hair et al., 2017). Then, we used the Heterotrait–Monotrait ratio (HTMT) criterion for analyzing the discriminant validity of the constructs. Table 5 shows the HTMT values, which in turn, confirm “discriminant validity.” Notably, the highest HTMT value is shown as 0.58 and it is less than the threshold value of 0.85 (Henseler et al., 2015). Furthermore, we confirmed the measurement model while ensuring both its validity and reliability, along with the path analysis. The aim herein was to investigate the association between the constructs while adopting our structural model (see Figure 3). The path coefficients and t-values are presented in Table 6. 7.2 Structural model analysis Table 4 depicts that PDE (β 5 0.237, p 5 0.002) influences the IVD; therefore,H1 is confirmed; this finding concurs with extant literature (Peng et al., 2016; Walczyk, 2014). Tourists are becoming aware of deceptive online information and videos (Fedeli, 2021), which in turn, affect tourist visits. CLD (β 5 0.119, p 5 0.12) negatively affects IVD; hence, H2 is rejected. This supports the study on augmented reality in online retailing (Fan et al., 2020). Deepfakes are indeed alluring, effortless to watch and seem realistic. CLD is insignificant, as tourists indulge in watching them and do not face much mental effort in processing the contents to decide on a destination visit. INM (β 5 0.218, Table 3 Demographic profile (N 5 1360) Demographic Characteristics Respondents (1360) Percentage (%) Gender Female 585 43 Male 775 57 Education Undergraduate 367 27 Graduate 517 38 Post Graduate 476 35 Using various kinds of online platforms and videos to get information about travel destinations before booking it Less than 6 months 395 29 6–12 months 449 33 1 year and above 516 38 Source(s): Table by author PAGE 10 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪


p 5 0.02) influences IVD, which in turn confirms H3. Information manipulation tactics are used to influence travelers; additionally, it helps marketers to entice tourists. PME (β 5 0.325, p 5 0.001) influences IVD, which depicts that the media richness of deepfakes does affect the tourists’ visit intention while affirming H4. As noted earlier, deepfakes are augmented with audio, video and various images to ensure that they are information-rich. PTR (β 5 0.286, p 5 0.002) influences IVD, which shows that tourists trust deepfakes when deciding to travel destination; therefore, H5 is confirmed. 8. Discussion This work examined the factors of tourists’ visit intention to travel to destinations by watching deepfake videos. Deepfakes are easily available on various online platforms, such as travel websites and social media platforms. They are created with advanced technologies, such as AI, ML and DL due to which they appear to be both realistic and attractive. In deepfakes, the attractive Table 4 Results outer model measurements Main construct Items Factor loading AVE CR α Perceived Deception (PDE) PDE1 0.826 0.712 0.892 0.874 PDE2 0.839 PDE3 0.844 PDE4 0.869 PDE5 0.817 Cognitive Load (CLD) CLD1 0.861 0.736 0.897 0.826 CLD2 0.879 Information Manipulation Tactics (INM) INM1 0.877 0.726 0.889 0.866 INM2 0.895 INM3 0.882 INM4 0.893 INM5 0.845 Perceived Media Richness (PME) PME1 0.859 0.754 0.901 0.853 PME2 0.894 PME3 0.881 PME4 0.853 PME5 0.896 Perceived Trust (PTR) PTR1 0.859 0.762 0.911 0.841 PTR2 0.869 PTR3 0.841 PTR5 0.835 Intention to visit travel destination (IVD) IVD1 0.844 0.749 0.891 0.836 IVD2 0.894 IVD3 0.862 Note(s): 1.Average variance extracted (AVE)5(summation of the factor loadings)/{(summation of the square of the factor loadings)þ(summation of the error variance)} 2.CR5(Square of the summation of the factor loadings)/{(Square of the summation of the factor loadings)þ(square of the summation of the error variance)} Source(s): Table by author Table 5 Discriminant validity (HTMT) Construct PDE CLD INM PME PTR IVD PDE CLD 0.522 INM 0.432 0.461 PME 0.347 0.403 0.478 PTR 0.307 0.383 0.298 0.581 IVD 0.208 0.213 0.189 0.264 0.421 Source(s): Table by author VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪ j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 11


areas of destinations are highlighted. Based on the understanding gained so far, it may be affirmed that tourists’ perceived deception does negatively influence their intention to visit a travel destination (Peng et al., 2016; Walczyk, 2014). These deepfakes are easy to access anytime and do not require much effort to direct tourists’ to travel destination websites. Information about the destination is attractive, crisp and clear; tourists do have to strain themselves mentally to watch and process information from these videos. However, there are a tourists, who tend to become skeptical about the alluring videos. Therefore, it may be affirmed that cognitive load does negatively influence the tourists’ visit intention (Fan et al., 2020; Schrader and Bastiaens, 2012). Table 6 Testing of hypothesis Hypothesis Path Path coefficient t statistics H1 PDE → IVD β 5 0.237*** 2.658 H2 CLD → IVD β 5 0.119 ns 1.019 H3 INM → IVD β 5 0.218** 2.190 H4 PME → IVD β 5 0.325*** 3.157 H5 PTR → IVD β 5 0.286** 2.794 Note(s): a. t-value two-tailed test:***t-value 2.58 (sig.level 5 1%), **1.96 (sig.level 5 5%) and *t-value 1.65 (sig.level 5 10%), Hair et al. (2011) Source(s): Table by author Figure 3 Proposed Theoretical model Source(s): Figure by author IntenƟon to Visit Tourist DesƟnaƟon (IVD) by watching deepfakes Perceived Trust (PTR) H1 (β = –0.237***) H2 (β = –0.119,ns) H3 (β = 0.218**) H4 (β = 0.325***) H5 (β = 0.286***) Cognitive Load (CLD) Perceived Deception (PDE) InformaƟon ManipulaƟon TacƟcs(INM) Information Manipulation Theory 2 Perceived Media Richness (PME) Media Richness Theory Note(s): Direct effect, *p < 0.10; **p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01 PAGE 12 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪


The information manipulation tactics used by managers for developing deepfakes are: adding eye-catching content, deleting issues of the destination, morphing original content and providing incentives for travel destination visits after watching these videos. Also, marketers use advanced AI technology to suitably manipulate deepfakes to captivate tourists. These videos are developed with appealing audio-visual effects and attract consumers to visit the destination. Therefore, information manipulation tactics positively affect the visit intention of tourists toward travel destinations (Kim and Lennon, 2010; Peng et al., 2016). The deepfakes are obviously fake and appear realistic by using deep learning technology to integrate, superimpose, replace and merge the existing audio, video and images. Deepfakes are thereby known to be media-rich, which entice tourists to visit a destination (Maity et al., 2018; Ogara et al., 2014; Tseng et al., 2017). 9. Theoretical implications The significance of conceptualizing the impact of ’fake news’ on tourism has been highlighted in recent literature (Fedeli, 2021). However, prior studies on fake news in tourism have been anchored on theories extending from the deception theory (Yoo and Gretzel, 2009) to the source credibility theory (Ayeh et al., 2013). On the other hand, contemporary destination management takes inspiration from theories like problematizing place promotion (Morgan, 2004). We, in this study, extended these debates while calling for more attention to the deepfakes, vis a vis its  consequences on tourism management, both from the perspective of practice and theory (Juuti et al., 2018; Kwok and Koh, 2020). Through our proposed theoretical model, this study is possibly among the first to examine the impact of deepfakes on tourists’ intention to visit a destination (Kwok and Koh, 2020). As deepfakes emerge as a promotional and advertising tool, we tried to fill up a significant gap in the literature by finding factors that affect the tourists’ intention to visit a destination once they finish watching deepfakes. While IMT2 is deep-rooted in linguistics, speech production, cognitive, neuroscience and artificial intelligence (McCornack et al., 2014), we worked toward developing a unique model that amalgamates MRT, IMT2 and PTR, with the sole objective of being able to predict the tourists’ visit intention after watching deepfakes (Daft et al., 1987; Lipowski and Bondos, 2018; McCornack et al., 2014). In the process, we believe that our study opens up new vistas, whereby IMT2 could be employed for further predicting the tourists’ adoption behavior. Additionally, one may also consider using any of the following technologies (e.g. AI, ML, DL, robots and chatbots). This study also contributes to the literature on the media richness theory, as well as advertising in tourism, and in the process, we do bridge another important gap in the literature, specifically by analyzing the tourists’ visit intention after watching deepfakes. While our proposed model divulges the antecedents of tourists’ visit intention after watching deepfakes (e.g. PDE, CLD, INM, PME and PTR), we also observed that CLD does not influence, but PDE does negatively influence the tourists’ intention to visit a destination after watching deepfakes. Importantly, as our model has been empirically tested and validated, researchers in the future may want to use it for investigating deepfakes, while analyzing their impact on advertising and promotion. 10. Practical implications Our study also has several key implications for managers, as regards deepfakes, vis  a vis their impact on tourists’ visit intention. Also, we did find tourists who are aware that deepfakes are indeed deceptive, wherein PDE has a negative effect on them. Managers must add more realistic information on travel destinations instead of developing deepfakes. We also highlighted significant variables (e.g. information manipulation tactics), which could help managers draw more visitors to VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪ j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 13


travel destinations. Managers may consider using strategies to add more crucial information and/or pictures while introducing a dynamic and real-time system of feedback sothat tourists post watching these deepfakes could pose queries. Moreover, given that in deepfakes, the outcome essentially is a transformed type of input, the computer-generated content tends to be less coherent, with a partial notion of irrational descriptions due to algorithmic biases. Therefore, tourism company managers need to pay more attention to both the completeness and coherence of content. Furthermore, since deepfakes are less resource-intensive than human-created fake content, this may lead to circumstances where tourism-related websites are inundated with low-priced computer-generated information. And it seems credible and convincing and influences tourists’ decision-making through the so-called majority impression paradigm (Lerman et al., 2016). Hence, managers need to be alert to evaluate the content carefully. At their end, marketers could use advanced technologies to ensure that the videos are of high definition with video and audio of good quality. Managers need to ensure candid information through deepfakes or else tourists will lose their trust in deepfakes and stop watching them. Deepfake is a powerful tool for marketers to ensure the media richness of the videos for advertising, place promotion and destination branding. We explain the consequences of computer-generated fake information for tourism management and provide critical insights for tourism scholars by presenting how deepfakes influence tourists’ visit intentions. This research divulges insights for developers and designers of the deepfakes and provides directions for ensuring the seamless amalgamation of video, images and audio to impact the behavior of tourists. The model provided guidelines for travel destinations’ advertisers and marketers for developing the deepfakes and utilizing them to influence the destination visit intention of tourists. It aids tourism sector-related government authorities in comprehending what are the several tactics utilized by marketers for deepfakes creation. The audit of deepfakes can be conducted by these government officials so that tourists are not misinformed by the marketers with fake destination information. This work contributes to framing a multitude of strategies for finding and understanding deceiving content to alleviate the impact of deepfakes on tourists’ behavior, as deepfakes will be utilized widely for marketing and advertising in the future. 11. Conclusion In summary, this work discusses the factors influencing tourists’ visit intention by watching deepfakes. It is revealed that PDE and CLD negatively impact the intention to visit the travel destination after watching deepfakes. Also, INM, PME and PTR positively influence the visit intention of travelers’. In this study, the authors discuss tourist behavior regarding destination visit intention after watching deepfakes. The model proposed caters to the antecedents of the tourists’ visit intention after watching the deepfakes. The proposed model is tested statistically and validated as it appropriately explains 65.2% of tourists’ visit intention by watching deepfakes. The predictors of the visit intention are INM, PME and PTR, which positively influence PDE has a negative effect. In contrast, CLD is insignificant on visit intention after watching deepfake videos. 12. Limitations and future research This study is cross-sectional; further, we limit this research by exploring deepfakes for the visit intention of travelers. In the future, experimental-design (consisting of control group and treatment group) and longitudinal-based studies can be done to examine the deepfake videos’ effect on booking intention, actual destination visit and post-travel experience. This work emphasizes exploring the role of MRT and IMT on visit intention; hence future investigation can be conducted by examining the mediation role of trust on the tourists’ visit intention, as perceived trust is not measured as a mediator. The deepfakes are here to stay and marketers are going to experiment with this AI-based technology as it has tremendous future potential. Deepfakes offer a huge scope PAGE 14 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪


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Becoming immortal: future wellness and medical tourism markets Daniel William Mackenzie Wright and Santa Zascerinska Abstract Purpose – Is humanity heading to immortal living? If so, what areas of society are playing an active role in achieving this? In order to understand this, the study explores the relationship between immortality and the wellness and medical tourism industry to seek potential relationships between them and ultimately, asks difficult questions about the growth of these tourism sectors and the potential need for greater regulation of them. Design/methodology/approach – Taking a pragmatic philosophical approach and through the examination of refined information from secondary sources and published material and reports, the study presents original theoretical knowledge and a model exploring tourism and human immortality. Findings – This paper argues that continued growth in the wellness and medical markets today could lead to a world where transhumanists and cyborgs are present in our world, even taking over from Homo sapiens. The study presents a model highlighting the potential role of wellness and medical tourism markets, illustrating the potential for future consumer services that could further fuel the search for immortality. Thus, how such markets and consumer desires are (in)directly supporting humanities desire for (non-human) immortal existence. Originality/value – Today, individuals are driven by wellness practices and medical and cosmetic desires and are willing to travel the globe in search of companies who are either capable of carrying out the desired procedures or seeking prices more affordable to them. This research offers novel insights into these complex relationships and maps the affiliation between wellness and medical practices and the concept of immortality. Keywords Tourism, Futures, Medical, Wellness, Immortality, Humans Paper type Research paper 1. Introduction Since the prehistoric era, humans have struggled to free themselves from mortality. So, they engaged in pursuing the immortality of the gods GRethexis (2018) Foresight and future studies offer researchers an opportunity to explore the future by examining past and current trends. Indeed,“we can learn a great deal about what may happen in the future by looking systematically at what is happening now and what has taken place in the past” (Yeoman, 2008, p. 5). It is our responsibility to identify current trends and explore how these could influence our development and evolution into the future. Tourism plays a significant economic, environmental and social role across world, and its impacts (positive and negative) are often under examination and rightly so. Pre-COVID-19 tourism, generally, was increasing under pressure for growing negative impacts (overtourism, cultural impacts and environmental impacts), and going forward, new challenges will confront the industry. Therefore, studies, adopting a futures approach should continue to shine a light on how current tourism practices could impact on the wider world. Today, society (and the tourism industry) is seeing increased growth (supply) and participation (demand) in the wellness and medical sectors, areas that were thriving globally pre-COVID-19 and are likely to continue doing so, but at what future cost? According to Harari (2015, p. 24) throughout the 21 century, humans are going to make a serious attempt at becoming immortal. History shows that humans have modified the world around them, for better or worse; we Daniel William Mackenzie Wright is based at the Division of Tourism, Hospitality and Events, University of Central Lancashire, Preston, UK. Santa Zascerinska is based at the University of Central Lancashire, Preston, UK. Received 14 May 2021 Revised 17 February 2022 29 August 2022 Accepted 20 September 2022 © Daniel William Mackenzie Wright and Santa Zascerinska. Published in Journal of Tourism Futures. Published by Emerald Publishing Limited. This article is published under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) licence. Anyone may reproduce, distribute, translate and create derivative works of this article (for both commercial and non-commercial purposes), subject to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this licence may be seen at http:// creativecommons.org/licences/ by/4.0/legalcode PAGE 168 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURES j VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023, pp. 168-195, Emerald Publishing Limited, ISSN 2055-5911 DOI 10.1108/JTF-05-2021-0119


are constantly changing our environments, the natural world, our workspaces, our homes and our own physical appearance. Through scientific developments, we have the capacity to modify our bodies, internally and externally. It could be positioned that society is already in a post-human era as transhumanism is already an active development. Today and more so in the future, we will have at our hands the capacity to influence and even change our evolutionally progress. Developments in technology will further allow us to change our physical appearance; whilst it is a difficult contemplation for many, it is (becoming even more so) a reality. Expanding the human lifespan has long been an active field of scientific research. Humans have aimed to live longer healthier lives, but how far will we go? Unfortunately, some of these more complex questions will not be answered here, but what will be explored here are complex topics surrounding humanities’ future and the potential role of the wellness and medical tourism markets in shaping and or supporting our desires for longevity and potentially immortality. Thus, this paper considers the future role of wellness and medical tourism markets and how they could (directly and indirectly) play a role in changing what it is to be human, taking society into a post-/trans-human era. For many readers, the idea that humans could live forever is somewhat challenging. Nevertheless, humans have long engaged with visuals and written narratives of immortality. Today, changes and advancements in technology are moving us beyond the once science-fictional (sci-fi) realms of immortality to a time when immortal existence is being considered a genuine possibility. To do so, society needs to believe in a new social story, a story of real potential for immortal existence and that death is no longer our inevitable end. If society does become more accepting of this new story (immortality), then, alongside technological advancements, we have the potential to move to the next stage of human life. This paper draws on evidence that highlights how society is beginning to believe in a new social story and how new technologies are allowing humans to evolve in new ways. Consequently, how the tourism industry and tourist are actively participating in travel associated with practices that could lead to a post-human era and even immortal existence. Tourism and the movement of people throughout human history have played a key role in who we are, how we operate and how we manipulate our physical environment to grow and survive. Health, wellness and medical activities are key components to individual human existence. Accordingly, for some tourists, our leisure activities and travel destinations take into consideration the potential health benefits. Well-being and medical potential can be a motivating component and a push factor for travel. The medical tourism industry has been growing rapidly in recent years, and governments are recognizing its potential as they seek new sectors for sustainable growth (Kim and Hyun, 2022). Whilst presently, physical immortality might not be reachable, many authors are now identifying potential future scientific practices that could lead humanity down a different path. Today, we live in a technological and scientific world that would have been a fictional idea to our ancestors. So, as people continue to travel, seeking the elixir of life (Ward, 2022), then the role of the travel industry must be considered. Importantly, this paper therefore explores the role and potential relationship of wellness and medical tourism markets today and growing trends within them and asks the crucial question: what role do they have in supporting the human potential in achieving immortal existence? This paper shines a light on how the (wellness and medical) tourism sectors could be involved in (re)shaping not only society but who we are as a species. It does so by presenting a future wellness and medical tourism market redistribution model incorporating the concept of immortality. This paper argues that continued growth in the wellness and medical markets today offers tourists a place in which to seek out medical practices of longevity. Consequently, the industry is actively involved in leading humanity to a world where transhumanists and cyborgs are present. At what cost? Potentially, a post-Homo sapiens era where immortality is achievable. 2. Human engagement with immortality Death is our current inevitability, but the imagined stories, the narratives allowing our imagination to conceivably think otherwise and allowing us to envisage immortality, are well documented in written and visual fiction. Our human interest in immortality is wide and varied, and for many, the narratives and ideas we have are based on those presented in the fictional world. Table 1 offers VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 169


some examples where immortality is presented in both visual and written form. The immortal means have been presented in three ways: biological, technological and supernatural, while the first two being more relevant to the ideas that are explored later in this paper. Here focusing on the idea on attaining immortality on Earth via the enhancement of biological and technological means. Importantly, the depictions in the table (but not limited to the examples provided here) have allowed mass audiences to engage with the idea of immortality, offering viewers’ vivid narratives where death is not the end. Death is a powerful force that has been motivating human behaviour forever. Table 1 Stories of human immortality Title and year Immortal means Description The Immortals (1962) Biological James E. Gunn’s The Immortals (1962) is less about the lives and mental state of the eponymous humans “blessed” with immortality (a fascinating topic in itself) and more about the ramifications of their existence on the rest of society not “blessed” with such genetic structures The Reincarnated Giant (2005) Biological In the short story, immortality is attainable by replacing aged body parts one at a time The Man from Earth (2007) Biological An impromptu goodbye party for Professor John Oldman becomes a mysterious interrogation after the retiring scholar reveals to his colleagues he has a longer and stranger past than they can imagine (IMDB, 1990) Holy Fire (1996) by Bruce Sterling Technological In an era when life expectancies stretch 100 years or more and adhering to healthy habits is the only way to earn better medical treatments, ancient “post-humans” dominate society with their ubiquitous wealth and power Repo Men (2010) Technological Set in the near future when artificial organs can be bought on credit, it revolves around a man who struggles to make the payments on a heart he has purchased. He must therefore go on the run before said ticker is repossessed Accelerando (2005) by Charles Stross Technological The singularity. It is the era of the post-human. Artificial intelligences have surpassed the limits of human intellect. Biotechnological beings have rendered people all but extinct. Molecular nanotechnology runs rampant, replicating and reprogramming at will. Contact with extraterrestrial life grows more imminent with each new day The Picture of Dorian Gray (1890) by Oscar Wilde Supernatural A young, handsome man Dorian Gray, posed whilst his portrait was painted. He wished for nothing but to trade places with his portrait so that it ages instead of him. His wish is granted, but the price for it haunts him more than he could ever anticipate St. Leon (1799) by William Godwin Supernatural Set during the Protestant Reformation, St Leon tells the harrowing tale of an exiled French aristocrat who is given the secrets of the philosopher’s stone and the elixir of life Pandora and the Flying Dutchman (1951) Albert Lewin Supernatural In a little Spanish seaport named Esperanza, during the 30s, appears Hendrick van der Zee, the mysterious captain of a yacht (he is the only one aboard). Pandora is a beautiful woman (who men kill and die for). She has never really fallen in love with any man, but she feels very attracted to Hendrick [...] Hendrick is the Flying Dutchman, a 17th century sailor cursed by God to wander over the seas until the Doomsday [...] unless a woman is ready to die for him PAGE 170 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023


However, beyond the perceived fictional side of immortality, society shows active interest in prolonging human life. According to Hayflick (1977), the average human lifespan is about 100 years, and the maximum lifespan is about 122 years (Clark, 1999). As noted by Swedene (2009), humans are collectively approaching the upper limits of the human lifespan. Statistically, an individual born in 2000 has a greater chance of living longer than someone born in 1970; likewise, they have a greater chance of living longer than someone born in 1940. Barring some sort of pandemic disease or natural/human catastrophe, there exists a correlation between public health, private habits and our individual life expectancy. Thus, as public health and our private habits improve, our life expectancy increases. However, Swedene (2009, p. 76) suggests that society should not expect life to go beyond the limits of our longevity. “Lifespan is in the domain of the possible and life expectancy is in the domain of the probable, within the confines of the possible”. But are we able to change the “confines of the possible” through technological advancements? I do not want to achieve immortality through my work; I want to achieve immortality through not dying (Woody Allen) According to Cave (2012, p. 2), living things look to preserve themselves into the future, whereas humans seek to preserve themselves forever. It is this will for immortality that could be recognized as the foundation of human achievement as “it is the wellspring of religion, the muse of philosophy, the architect of our cities and the impulse behind the arts. It is embedded in our very nature, and its result is what we know as civilization”. The idea of being immortal has excited human minds for centuries, yet how this immortality was sought to be achieved differs. Throughout time, scientists, futurists, philosophers and religious followers have theorized and considered the potential of immortality, be it spiritual (soul) and or physical (human body), as noted the latter being the focus here. However, in religious texts (Christianity, Hinduism, Buddhism, Islam, Judaism, Jainism, Sikhism and Zoroastrianism), the immortal world has often existed in a belief in the afterlife. Still, different perspectives are often taken on the everlastingness of the body and the soul within these religions, and different philosophers throughout time have attempted to add their own opinions to the debate. For Plato, immortality was fundamentally spiritual as he attempted to prove immortality by maintaining that the soul could not be destroyed. As noted by Jaeger (1959, p. 135), “the Immortality of Man was one of the fundamental creeds of the philosophical religion of Platonism that was in part adopted by the Christian Church and that thus became one of the foundations of the Christian civilization of the Eastern and Western world”. Whilst Aristotle conceived of reason as eternal, he did not defend personal immortality, believing the soul could not exist in a disembodied state. The philosopher Blaise Pascal (French mathematician) claimed, “belief in the God of Christianity, and accordingly in the immortality of the soul, is justified on practical grounds by the fact that one who believes has everything to gain if he is right and nothing to lose if he is wrong, while one who does not believe has everything to lose if he is wrong and nothing to gain if he is right” (Encyclopedia Britannica, 2019). The historical debates do often lend themselves to religious beliefs in the afterlife and the nonphysical world and the unscientific existence of a human soul. In the late 19th century, the concept of immortality began to fade as a philosophical preoccupation due to the secularization of philosophy under the growing influence of science (Encyclopedia Britannica, 2019). In, Staying Alive: The Varieties of Immortality, Swedene (2009) explores the desire to live forever. Swedene suggests that throughout history, the notion of living forever manifests itself from a variety of forms and forums. Societies, cultures and individuals have approached the notion of immortality via a range of metrics (a measurement of longevity). These range from personalized legacy, individual fame, lasting love and parenthood to the search for spiritual immortality and longevity in the afterlife (heaven), whilst others aim for earthly immortality –the extension of human life on Earth. Swedene (2009) draws on Woody Allen’s quote above and suggests that the desire for immortality through different forms exists and suggests that Allen’s quote would still have meaning if the word “work” was changed with children, love or fame, but, importantly, none of these would ensure the immortality of our own personalities. The importance of this quote is that earthly immortality is the aspiration of one’s own life continuing, both in body and mind. Swedene (2009) suggests that VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 171


earthly immortality will require not only biological existence via the use of medical gear such as ventilators, but the personality of the individual must be intact. Swedene continues, by recognizing, that being kept alive, but brain dead is an aspiration for earthly immortality. “The immortal person living on Earth shall be understood as one who enjoys indefinitely continued life in which his personality remains, for the most part, linked to his life already lived and to his anticipated future life without significant ontological transformation” (Swedene, 2009, p. 75). The idea of immortality is considered by Harari (2015) in a publication entitled Homo Deus (Human Gods). Harari (2015) notes that throughout the history, our religions and ideologies did not sanctify life, instead humans sanctified something beyond our earthly existence; thus, we are tolerant of death. Many religions embrace death as death is a fundamental aspect to many religious texts. For a while, “religion solved the problem of death” (Becker, 1997, p. 203). But, as Harari notes, “modern science and modern culture have an entirely different take on life and death. They do not think of death as a metaphysical mystery, and they certainly do not view death as the source of life’s meaning. Rather, for modern people death is a technical problem that we can and should solve” (2015, p. 25). Harari, recognizes that to date, modern science has not extended our natural life span (even by a single year), instead medicine has allowed us to enjoy the full measure of our body capabilities by overcoming disease, illness and threatening injuries. However, scientists will continue to explore the ability to extend human life, and every failed attempt will only drive new research and encourage people in their efforts. In our current social world, the scientific establishment and the capitalist economy are motivated by new discoveries and often financial profit. Significantly, it is suggested, that there is nothing greater than the scientific challenge than outsmarting death or a more promising consumer market than eternal youth (Harari, 2015). In line with this paper, the question being raised here is what role is the tourism industry playing? 3. The story so far: a focus on wellness and medical travel Evidently, it is not easy to locate the origins of wellness and medical tourism, but the aim of this section is to recognize some of its earlier ancestral roots. The wellness concept holds different interpretations (Cohen and Bodecker, 2008; Smith and Kelly, 2006), and its origins for some are placed with the use of natural hot and mineral springs (Erfurt-Cooper and Cooper, 2009). However, historical evidence shows how traditional Chinese medicine (3,000–2,000 BC) influenced by Taoism and Buddhism applies holistic perspectives to achieve health and wellbeing and does so by cultivating harmony is one’s life through practices such as acupuncture, herbal medicine, qi ging and tai chi, which continue to be popular in modern wellness practices (Global Wellness Institute, 2022). From a European perspective, wellness is often traced to the Greek and Roman cultures (Hall, 2003). The Greeks and Romans travelled to spas and cult centres around the Mediterranean. Ancient Greek physician Hippocrates could be recognized as one of the first physicians to focus on preventing sickness, instead of focusing on the treatment of disease, recognising disease as a product of diet, lifestyle and environmental factors (Global Wellness Institute, 2022). In the 16th and 17th centuries, spa towns such as St. Moritz (Switzerland) and Bath (United Kingdom) were popular destinations for the upperclass Europeans (Medical Tourism, 2018). In the Americas and the Asia Pacific region, the practice is likely to be much older (Lung, 2005; Schafer, 1956). The use of thermal springs can be dated back thousands of years to the Native North and South Americans, the Indus Valley, China and Japan and the Polynesian peoples in the Asian Pacific area and New Zealand (Erfurt-Cooper and Cooper, 2009). More recently, the wellness concept has expanded further. As the wellness concept grew during the 19th and 21st centuries, its focus was not on only the prevention of illness but on greater health promotion, education and encouraging a more holistic approachto nutrition and achieving mental and spiritual balance (Erfurt-Cooper and Cooper, 2009). As noted by Erfurt-Cooper and Cooper (2009), wellness facilities and programmes became worldwide tourist attractions during the 20th century, and this trend shows little sign of slowing down. All-encompassing and reliable data are also difficult to locate. Nevertheless, some reports aim to offer some insight into the markets. According to the Global Wellness Institute (2018) report, the global wellness economy was worth $4.5 tn market in 2018, whilst the industry grew by 6.4% PAGE 172 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023


annually from 2015 to 2017, from a $3.7 to $4.2 tn market. This was nearly twice as fast as global economic growth (3.6% annually, based on International Monetary Fund [IMF] data). World travellers made 830 million international and domestic wellness trips in 2017, representing 17% of all tourism expenditures. International wellness tourists on average spent $1,528 per trip, 53% more than the typical international tourist. Domestic wellness tourists spent $609 per trip, 17% more than the average domestic tourist. The key sectors of the wellness market comprise personal care, beauty and anti-ageing ($1,083 bn); healthy eating, nutrition and weight loss ($702 bn); wellness tourism ($639 bn); fitness and mind-body ($595 bn); preventative and personalized medicine and public health ($575 bn); traditional and complementary medicine ($360 bn); wellness lifestyle real estate ($134 bn); spa economy ($119 bn); thermal/mineral springs ($56 bn) and workplace wellness ($48 bn). The wellness tourism industry in 2017 was a $639 bn market (Global Wellness Institute, 2018). As noted by Allied Market Research (2022), the COVID-19 pandemic has seen massive disruption across the tourism and leisure sectors, influencing new consumer behaviours, stifling entire industries and inspiring growth in others, including pockets of the health sector. Further suggesting that the COVID-19 pandemic has driven the growth of the wellness tourism market as there has been a rise in telemedicine, at-home fitness and digital therapy. The global wellness tourism market size in 2020 was valued at $801.6 bn and is projected to reach $1,592.6 bn by 2030 (Allied Market Research, 2022). Global Wellness Summit (2019–2020) suggests that the idea of wellness was once a more discrete idea (associated more with fitness and spa industries). Today however, everything is converging around the wellness concept, fusing itself with all industries, from music, fashion, events, travel or real estate. According to Hill (2017), there is a current trend to move beyond the elite “ghettos” of wellness. Here suggesting there will be “a growing need for wellness to reach beyond the rich elite and will intensify governments and wellness businesses to bring more healthy services to more people. Businesses will start to launch charitable initiatives, more affordable products and services will emerge, and wellness tourism will shift from high-end resorts within walls to destinations where more authentic experiences can be found” (Hill, 2017). As for medical tourism, it is often considered as a recent phenomenon. However, people have been travelling short and long distances in search of better health for thousands of years. Archaeological evidence shows that ancient Mesopotamians around the third millennium B.C. travelled to the temple of a healing God or Goddess at Tell Brak, Syria searching for a cure to eye disorders. A key phase in the birth of what is now the medical/cosmetic (plastic) surgery industry was a century ago when wounded soldiers were treated with the latest developments in plastic surgery. During the First World War there was a surge in the number of drastic facial injuries and Surgeon Harold Gillies in 1917 developed a novel method of facial reconstructive surgery for wounded soldiers. Gillies treated 2,000 soldiers with his plastic surgery techniques (Wallop, 2015). Gillies’ desire, not only to restore the wounded men back to a normal appearance but his focus on functionality, was also seen as revolutionary. This was the first-time patients were able to request that doctors build a jaw or nose of their choosing in what was seen as a “strange new art” (Millard, 2016). Whilst Gillies’ treatments were for wounded or disfigured soldiers, today, plastic surgery is common practice as increasingly patients seek out methods in which to beautify their physical appearance. Plastic surgery is used as a treatment to retain a youthful physical longevity in human appearance. It does not allow for immortal existence, but it can provide a sense of anti-ageing or even de-ageing. As noted by Wang et al. (2020), millennials (or individuals born between 1981 and 1996), are becoming an important group of patients seeking elective aesthetic interventions. The authors suggest that this group’s unique attribute is down to their widespread exposure to social media and today’s concept of the digital influencer culture. This has created a deep fixation on image consciousness, and consequently, this generation is increasingly driven by the idea of individual perfection, and cosmetic treatments are seen as a method of achieving this. Today, more people are likely to “undergo minimally invasive procedures to achieve ‘prejuvenation’ a term coined to define the prevention of aging through the process of rejuvenation – that is, treatment used to delay the signs of aging” (Wong, 2021, p. 1). Throughout the 20th century, the medical tourism industry expanded as the demand for treatments grew; subsequently, the ability to supply the market with a range of practices also evolved. VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 173


Medical tourism has often been driven because what healthcare patients were seeking was not available to them locally. Evidently, a distinction could be made between pre-planned medical travel and intervention. Intervention focusing on people needed more urgent medical support whereas pre-planned medical treatments focus on people seeking out changes that otherwise would not necessarily be required in the immediacy to support and or retain life. The global medical tourism market is often segmented depending on the type of treatment and regional practices/ focus. Gill and Sumant (2019) suggest that the market consists of dental, cosmetic, cardiovascular, orthopeadic, neurological, cancer, fertility and other treatments. As noted by Horowitz et al. (2007), medical tourism can expect to see growth throughout the 21st century. The growth in medical tourism in Western countries will be driven by an imbalance between the supply of health care and the capacity to provide it. It is reported that the global medical tourism market in 2017 was valued at approximately US$ 15.5 bn. The industry is expected to generate revenue of around US$ 28.0 bn by the end of 2024, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 8.8% between 2018 and 2024 (Gill and Sumant, 2019). According to Grand View Research (2019), the global medical tourism market size was valued at US$ 36.9 bn in 2018, and the global medical tourism market size is expected to reach US$ 179.6 bn by 2026. The report also suggests that Thailand is the most popular country for cosmetic procedures, whilst India is most preferred for cardiovascular and orthopeadic procedures. Bumrungrad International Hospital and Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd. are the leading treatment destinations for medical tourism in Thailand and India, respectively. Brazil and Costa Rica, on the other hand, are preferred for dental procedures. In 2018, Thailand dominated the market in terms of revenue due to the significant difference in treatment cost whilst maintaining a good standard of care compared to developed countries. In 2017, Thailand saw around 2.4 million people visit in search of medical care. Some of the fastest growing medical tourism destinations in the market include Singapore, Colombia, Taiwan and Spain. Medical tourism is increasingly becoming an important revenue generator for these countries, who are boasting advanced healthcare infrastructure and skilled manpower to cater to international patients (Grand View Research, 2019). North America is said to be leading the global cosmetic surgery market with a share of about 45% (Wise Guy Reports, 2018). The report noted that technological developments, increase in the usage of social media and growing disposable incomes are some of the factors driving the market during the forecast period (Grand View Research, 2017). As for regional categorization, the authors (Grand View Research, 2017) suggest that the medical tourism market is segmented as follows: North America (USA, Canada and Mexico), Europe (the UK, Germany, France, Italy, Spain and rest of Europe), Asia–Pacific (India, China, Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, South Korea, Taiwan and rest of Asia–Pacific) and Latin America, the Middle East and Africa (LAMEA) (Brazil, Venezuela, Costa Rica, UAE, South Africa and rest of LAMEA). There is a range of factors driving the growth of the cosmetic surgery and procedure market, such as a global rise in ageing population, the rapid growth of the aesthetic industry, the growth of medical tourism in developing markets is seen as an opportunity for increased income, the preference for minimally invasive and non-invasive procedures over invasive procedures and the surge in disposable income (Inkwood Research, 2017). The growth in medical tourism is also fuelled by potential patients being able to locate their own options by researching and booking over the Internet or gaining access/support through medical travel agencies (Crouch and Louviere, 2001). As noted by de la Hoz-Correa et al. (2018), greater promotions offering a wide range of one-stop medical services have made travelling for treatment a much more convenient and attractive prospect for potential medical tourists. It was observed that the volume of both surgical and nonsurgical cosmetic procedures has increased in the past few years. This can be attributed to increasing disposable income, increasing safety of surgical procedures, growing faith of patients in such surgeries and growing medical tourism (Grand View Research, 2017). This section has provided some historical insights into the origins, growth and development of wellness and medical tourism. However, as noted, the industries are complicated and difficult to group and categorize. Additionally, some industry figures have been provided to offer insight into the size and value of the sectors associated with them (wellness and medical). PAGE 174 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023


Nevertheless, comparable, figures, data and projections are not easy and arguably not recommended due to the uncoordinated nature of what they (wellness, medical and all other associated with them) represent on an international scale and likewise the contradicting regulations that surround the practices on a global scale. However, the importance and value of them of the industry is clearly evident, nonetheless, as its the growing and varied nature from supply and demand perspectives. 4. Wellness and medical tourism: academic considerations It should be noted that there is no simple answer or definition available when exploring the wellness and medical tourism literature. Instead, there are a range of positions, terms and categories depending on which author one considers. Therefore, this section provides a brief overview of how these areas of the tourism industry are interpreted in the literature and consequently, how this research applies the concepts to its own study. Fetscherin and Stephano (2016) identify the somewhat loosely and poorly categorized understanding of various terms such as health tourism, medical tourism and wellness tourism as the boundaries are not always clear. Smith and Puczko (2009) suggest that “health tourism” is composed of “wellness tourism” and “medical tourism”. Furthermore, that “medical tourism” is the term to be applied when considering cases of medical, surgical or dental interventions, whilst all others are categorized as “wellness tourism” (Connell, 2006). According to the World Tourism Organization and European Travel Commission (2018), wellness tourism can be defined as “A type of tourism activity which aims to improve and balance all of the main domains of human life including physical, mental, emotional, occupational, intellectual, and spiritual. The primary motivation for the wellness tourist is to engage in preventive, proactive, lifestyle enhancing activities such as fitness, healthy eating, relaxation, pampering and healing treatments”. Medical tourism according to the World Tourism Organization and European Travel Commission (2018) is “A type of tourism activity which involves the use of evidence-based medical healing resources and services (both invasive and non-invasive). This may include diagnosis, treatment, cure, prevention and rehabilitation”. Kumar (2009) suggests that “medical tourism” entails a cost effective (often private) medical care in collaboration with the tourism industry, where patients seek and undergo surgical and other forms of specialized treatment. Various authors (Cormany and Baloglu, 2011; Connell, 2013) see “medical tourism” as a niche form of tourism born out of a rapid rise in domestic and international tourists seeking medical surgery and therapies. Gill and Sumant (2019) define the “medical tourism” industry as “travel across international borders with the purpose of availing medical treatment of some form, which may or may not be available in the travelers’ home country. This treatment may include a wide array of medical services; however, the most frequently availed services include cancer treatment, orthopedic treatment, neurological disease treatment, elective surgery, fertility treatment, and others”. According to Fisher and Sood (2014), medical tourism can also be referred to as international medical migration, patient migration and medical travel. Li and Cui (2016) suggest that the term “medical tourism” invokes an image of patients flying around the globe to undergo surgery, such as a heart transplant or a tummy tuck due to the inaccessible access to medical treatment in their own country (due to long waiting times or excruciating costs). Focusing on medical tourists, Boyd et al. (2011) identify them as individuals/ patients travelling to another country to seek healthcare and the term arose due to many Americans seeking cheaper elective surgical, dental or cosmetic procedures while vacationing abroad. Gill and Sumant (2019) suggest medical tourists are likely to travel to another destination when they can achieve savings of more than 30% of the cost to that of their home country. Significantly, patients have long travelled in search of better care, and “medical tourists seek modern healthcare at affordable prices in countries at various levels of economic development” (Horowitz and Rosensweig, 2007, p. 24). Here, the following forms of travel are also of interest, euthanasia, suicide tourism and or assisted dying. According to Higginbotham (2011) as a form of medical treatment in theory, assisted suicide would qualify as a niche segment of medical tourism and a subcomponent of international tourism. However, assisted-suicide tourism was not included in the conceptual framework of medical tourism proposed by Tikkanen (2005) and Tourism VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 175


Research and Marketing (2006). The framework includes four main segments: illness (i.e. medical check-ups), reproduction (i.e. fertility treatment), enhancement (i.e. cosmetic surgery) and wellness (i.e. acupuncture). The general concept of death is clearly not included as a form of medical tourism per this conceptualization. As for this research, the focus is more on seeking earthly immortality or seeking to prolong life, not to end it. The motives of supernatural immortality could be of interest in this section and could be an area of further research. Thus, potentially considering the motives of suicide tourists and if their desires are based on some form of supernatural immortality. Nevertheless, this is not the focus in this research. In line with the above, this research focuses on wellness and medical. In doing so, it locates wellness tourism at the one end of the market and medical tourism at the other end. As noted by Global Spa Summit (2011), medical and wellness tourism are growing and gathering increasing attention around the globe as governments, industry and academic researchers attempt to define, organize and promote the sectors. Thus, a model for understanding wellness and medical tourism was presented by the Global Spa Summit (2011). In the report, they aimed to synthesize key trends, developments and challenges emerging in the medical and wellness tourism markets. The model they presented can be seen in Figure 1, the wellness tourism and medical tourism market model (a focus was positioning the spa industry into the wellness and medical markets). The aim was to present a clear distinction between medical and wellness tourism as the markets are often confused. The model offers a useful overview of the current wellness and medical tourism market, and later in this study, it is adapted further to support a new model presented by this research (see Figure 2). Figure 1 The wellness tourism and medical tourism market model PAGE 176 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023


5. Methodology Bartunek et al. (2006) suggest that authors should aim to produce research that encourages debate, and that research should engage readers beyond the original targeted audience and outside of the academic sphere. Future research is becoming an increasingly popular method for authors. Future research is often seen as multi-disciplinary as the methodological approach often draws on data from a range of sciences (Lee, 2012). This is due to the complex and challenging nature of researching the future where authors are required to effectively integrate complex knowledge, ideas and studies from different social backgrounds. The philosophical approach of pragmatism is often viewed as the philosophical partner to the mixed-method approach to research, one which recognizes the strengths and weaknesses of both qualitative and quantitative methods (Maxcy, 2003). Likewise, a pragmatic approach also recognizes the benefits of the interpretivist or constructive research approaches (often aligned with qualitative research) and the more positivistic approaches (often associated with quantitative research). It can be suggested that a pragmatic approach rejects the philosophical idea of formalism or the notion that one scientific method or framework holds more indisputable knowledge over another. When researchers attempt to explore the future, their findings and ideas are often based on a systematic forecasting of the future, especially by the study of present day trends in human affairs and by examining social developments (The Oxford English Dictionary, 2020). The extrapolation method, meaning the extension in time of an observed trend (Thompson, 1979), is an approach often applied in futures research as it allows the author(s) to explore past and present trends. Likewise, Leigh et al. (2013, p. 3) identify how “authors strive to predict through the use of drivers and understanding current trends”. Similar to previous research in the tourism futures field (Wright, 2016, 2018, 2019; Yeoman and Mars, 2012; Yeoman, 2012), the method of inquiry applied in this study takes a desk-based approach. Research is based on the examination of refined information and models from secondary sources and or published material/reports. This paper examines both qualitative and quantitative information in building its discussions and drawing conclusions from them. Taking a pragmatic research approach provided the researchers with a framework that embraces different views, both constructivist and positivist. The pragmatic philosophical approach embraces multi-disciplinary studies and ensures a more holistic consideration to social conditions Figure 2 The search for immortality: Future wellness and medical tourism market redistribution model VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 177


is embraced. The study aims to explore the relationship between the tourism industry and humanities relationship immortality. As a theoretical paper, the researchers apply what could be described as a convenient approach to data collection and analysis. In as much, the sources examined are selected due to the direct relevance they have to the topic under examination. 6. Analysis and discussion Presently, the paper has introduced the reader to the focus and purpose of this study, the role of tourism alongside the human desire for immortal living. Likewise, it has identified the areas of the tourism industry likely to play an active role, the wellness and tourism markets. From here on, the analysis and discussion section will look to extrapolate past and present social structures discussed above to present a tourism future perspective whilst also calling for wider social consideration and contemplation around travel practices and what humans want to strive for in the future. The following, this considers how areas of society are currently developing, and could be driving forces leading society and humanity into an immortal future. The structures extrapolated initially focus on changes in the wider social and technological environment and consequently, how these could potentially be aligned with the tourism industry in the future. 6.1 Social media, celebrities and the medical and cosmetic movement If you think that religious fanatics with burning eyes and flowing beards are ruthless, just wait and see what elderly retail moguls and ageing Hollywood stars will do when they think the elixir of life is within their reach (Harari, 2015, pp. 33–34). It should be noted that medical procedures are often driven out of necessity for individuals, seeking support for illness and bodily matters. Nevertheless, for many people, the medical resources are not available in their own countries; thus, they are required to travel to other places; consequently, these people can be classified as medical tourists. However, not all medical procedures are necessary (in the sense of life defining), but more focused on personal cosmetic enhancement. Likewise, if cosmetic treatments are not available in one’s own location, travelling to other destinations is required, and resulting, these people can be classified as cosmetic tourists. Today, society is seeing a growth in the desire and demand for cosmetic enhancement, much to the changing attitudes across cultures. Maise et al. (2018) in their research identified various motivations for cosmetic enhancement which include mental and or emotional well-being, where people wanted to feel happier, improve quality of life, treat themselves and feel rewarded or as celebration. Another motive included, social wellbeing, here people wanted to look good when encountering other people, to feel less selfconscious around others and to look good at social events or make a good first impression. Physical health motives were also common, with a desire to prevent a worsening condition/ symptom(s) and the desire to protect their health in the future. Many participants cited success at work as a motive, here wanting to look good professionally in a specific field of work. Cost and convenience were also recognized as a key motivator, where people were driven to make aspect of their live easier, such as time and money spent on problems associated with makeup, hair and or cover ups, reducing the need of alternative methods (carrying make up around or looking for specific clothing) to solve/manage a problem (Maise et al., 2018). The role of the media (traditional and social) is also significant. Previous researchers (Brown et al., 2007; Crerand et al., 2006; Swami et al., 2009) have exposed the relationship between cosmetic surgery and lower self-ratings of physical attractiveness and negative body image. It is suggested that the media not only negatively portray body image, but provide greater exposure of cosmetic surgery, which also encourages greater involvement. A survey by Furnham and Levitas (2012) carried out on 204 British participants provides further evidence of this. Participants were asked to complete a questionnaire that assessed their attitude toward cosmetic surgery, whilst it also measured their self-esteem, life satisfaction, self-rated physical attractiveness, religiosity and PAGE 178 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023


media consumption.“Two factors emerged from a factor analysis of their attitudes toward surgery: likelihood to undergo, and benefits of undergoing, cosmetic surgery. Females with low selfesteem, low life satisfaction, low self-rated attractiveness and little religious beliefs who were heavy television watchers reported a greater likelihood of undergoing cosmetic surgery” (Furnham and Levitas, 2012, p. 47). Of course, this is one example, and cosmetic surgery is not limited to females. In fact, society today is even blurring the lines between genders, and surgical procedures play a significant part in an individual’s transitional journey. Sex and or gender reassignment surgery, also known as gender dysphoria, is a surgical procedure(s) by which a transgender person’s physical appearance and function of their original (or existing) sexual characteristics are changed to resemble those the individual associated to their identified gender (van de Grift et al., 2018). Furthermore, it is suggested that the growth in current trends (in medical and cosmetic surgery) is attributed to the increasing demand from a younger generation who are becoming more conscious about their own health, including the desire for body enhancements, resulting in 81% of patients travelling abroad under the age of 50 (Karuppan and Karuppan, 2010). According to the International Society of Aesthetic Plastic Surgery (ISAPS, 2018), duringthe 80 and 90s, the celebrity culture pushed the plastic surgery industry. Then came the 2000s, where TV shows such as the Kardashians paved the way for a cultural shift towards television as a key driver as a new generation of celebrities emerged. Heyes (2007) notes that the surge in TV shows, websites and advertisements that feature cosmetic surgery has changed public perception of what we believe to be “ideal” beauty standards. This has raised what we believe to be standard expectations of beauty, new standards of beauty that are not obtainable by natural means. Today, social media is driving the plastic surgery business forward and is likely to continue into the foreseeable future (ISAPS, 2018). The filters and angles we use on Instagram and Snapchat are changing our perceptions of ourselves (Brucculieri, 2019b). Increased popularity of cosmetic surgery has also been attributed to several other factors, including a heightened importance in physical appearance in contemporary societies and lower cost and access to medical procedures. Additionally, increased public awareness and exposure to cosmetic surgery has been further emphasized by an increase in media fascination with and the reporting of celebrities who have had procedures (Wen, 2009; Edmonds, 2007; Sarwer et al., 2007; Sarwer and Magee, 2006). It is also suggested that greater media exposure led to higher levels of people willing to undergo cosmetic surgery (Swami et al., 2008). Dr. Stafford Broumand, a plastic surgeon (a board-certified plastic surgeon at 740 Park Plastic Surgery in New York), noted that people are searching for more targeted cosmetic procedures because of social media (Brucculieri, 2019a). Likewise, high-profile plastic surgeons have made careers by effectively using social media as a marketing platform to share photos and videos of surgical procedures and the final results of them (ISAPS, 2018). An interesting consequence of the age of the selfie is a concept termed “Snapchat Dysmorphia”, referring to a trend in which people seek cosmetic procedures to replicate their filtered faces without the filters (Brucculieri, 2019b). According to Dr. Matthew Schulman, his patients bring filtered selfies to plastic surgeons to demonstrate the look they aim to achieve. Dr. Michelle Yagoda (a facial plastic surgeon in New York City) agreed, suggesting, more and more people are turning to social media for beauty inspiration. However, Yagoda proposed, if people are regularly seeing filtered or edited photos of themselves and others, then this will become the standard of what people will expect to see in real life. Renee Engeln (professor of psychology at Northwestern University) went as far to suggest, “we’re at a new level when we actually lose touch with our own face or look surprised when we look in the mirror” (Brucculieri, 2019b). The importance of this once again is the impact of such media exposure and how the social stigmas are shifting. As trends continue and the market demand for cosmetic and plastic surgery grows, our perceptions towards them begin to change. Consequently, the narrative is changing, and society is not only buying into this change but is responsible for it. However, whilst the narrative changes, society still needs actual physical places to carry out medical and surgical procedures. The medical and cosmetic tourism industries (supply) are increasingly providing physical places where people (some of whom can be classified as tourists) are able visit and arrange procedures that lead to VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 179


changes in their physical appearance. The role of tourism will be considered shortly; before then, a more poignant question: what is currently evolving and developing around us, are arguably the early stages in which society is normalizing the ideas and attitudes towards changing our physical appearance, but what does this eventually lead to? 6.2 Becoming immortal: post-/trans-humanism and cyborgs The human-technology blend has been well documented. The idea of the bionic man has been considered is many fields. With developments in technology, the “prosthetic limb” has progressed exponentially in recent decades because of new materials, and more practical and comfortable solutions have been devised. The increasing availability of 3D printing has also allowed for significant advancement in prosthetics to spread across the developing world. Significantly, there have also been promising steps in refining biological communication, thus supporting the relationship between artificial limbs and our biological signals (Towers-Clark, 2018). The fusion or the blurring of lines between robots and humans is well documented and continues to draw much attention across the academic literature (see Sugiyama and Vincent, 2013), and many terms are often used. The post-/trans-humanism concepts are known as an international philosophical movement, which supports the transformation of the human condition (Ansell-Pearson, 1997; Sorgner and Nietzsche, 2009; Hellsten, 2012; Campa, 2019). The ideology of post- and or transhumanism is based on the belief or theory that the human race, Homo sapiens, can evolve beyond its current physical and mental natural limitations. It does so through the development of sophisticated technologies that enhance the human intellect and physiology (Bostrom, 2005). Scientists predict that computers will develop artificial intelligence that can speak, interact, listen and remember. Significantly, this growth in computer capability will mean computers will grow progressively more human; likewise, humans will become more integrated with robots (Crew, 2018). Mark O’Connell provides his summary regarding the purpose of the transhumanist movement in his book To Be a Machine. The author suggests, “It is their belief that we can and should eradicate ageing as a cause of death; that we can and should use technology to augment our bodies and our minds; that we can and should merge with machines, remaking ourselves, finally, in the image of our own higher ideals” (see Mckie, 2018). Dr Pearson an engineer and lecturer on the future of our daily lives reported that he believes “anyone alive today who survives until 2050 may never have to face death” although only the rich and famous will experience it, whereas for the rest of us, immortality will become feasible in 2060. He also believes that the future will see human consciousness’s being uploaded on to online servers, and people will have the ability to use android bodies to inhabit the real world. A video on the BBC (2019) entitled, Transhumanism: How far would you go for a body upgrade? explores the journey people have been on to upgrade their body and the implants they have placed in their body to support their everyday activities. The documentary highlighted how people are seeking augmented implant parlours. The documentary interviews one individual who discusses their everyday life and the annoyances of carrying a card, keys and a mobile phone. Going on to state how transhumanism is a process to placing such everyday items into our bodies, they suggest that the next step in technology involves greater interaction with our own biology (Steven Ryall on BBC, 2019). In the BBC interview, Winter Mraz (an engineer) has installed a radiofrequency identification (RFID) chip into her left hand, which operates as her door key and in her right-hand a near-field communication (NFC) chip implanted, which is her business card. Mraz also has in the middle of her right finger, a magnet that lets her sense electromagnetic (EM) fields, a contraceptive implant, a 3D printed kneecap (by the NHS) and two LED implants. Mraz was driven to transhumanism because of a terrible car accident that required surgery to recover serious injuries, due to multiple fractures to her back, ankles and knees (BBC, 2019). Significantly, the report notes how people within the transhumanism community are taking a more “do it yourself (DIY)” approach with the implants. The report interviews Lepht Anonym (who refers to herself either as a biohacker or a grinder or a practical transhumanist), who says a person of this type, is someone who takes transhumanism into their own hands. As noted by Anonym, this is done by PAGE 180 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023


getting sterile tools, you then cut a hole with a scalpel or a needle, you then insert the device into the hole you have created somewhere on your body (such as your hand), insert the chip and then you might need some stitches, but more often than not, you do not. Anonym notes that there is a balance between the risks in what she does, but she is interested in the experiments and carrying out the implants and the data that she can attain from doing them (BBC, 2019). These transhumanists are pushing the boundaries of technology, with bodily implants that seek to improve one’s day to day living, medical safeguarding and more importantly, developing and growing the transhumanistic ideology. However, these are some DIY examples, and more sophisticated practices are available. Clearly, there are medical and ethical debates and importantly consequences that come with such ideologies and practices. Online websites sell the products to interested individuals who can perform the procedures from home. The BBC (2019) suggests that the Scottish government want to regulate non-medical procedures to protect vulnerable people and to ensure the correct procedures are in place for the movement. I do not think implants are inevitable, I do think they’ll get better, longer lasting, look cooler, be prettier, have more functionalities, have all this type of stuff and it’s going to be one more option people have. I love having my keys (implanted) in my hand so that way I do not need to carry key about with me. My partner, who could get the exact same chip I have wants nothing to do with it and that’s fine, just different choices. I think we’ll just have more choices (Winter Mraz, BBC, 2019). Another concept of interest is the idea of cyborgs, also well documented and shares a similar ideological movement to transhumanism. Towers-Clark (2018) suggests that cyborgs are here, and we had better get used to it. Further noting that advances in medical technology can mitigate conditions once considered incurable (such as brain disorders) and new developments in technology could even allow us to “read minds”.“As part of the growing ‘transhumanist’ movement, people have also implanted sensors into their bodies in order to evolve their art form or to push the limits of human experience. As new technologies such as artificial intelligence and 3D printing bring ever more possibilities, are we about to lost the boundary between human and machine?”(Towers-Clark, 2018). According to Elon Musk, humans will need to become cyborgs to stay relevant. As artificial intelligence becomes increasingly sophisticated, the result is likely to become mass unemployment, as fewer jobs will be available for humans, as robots take control of the workforce environment. Consequently, if humans wish to remain relevant in a technologically advanced society, they will need to augment their capabilities by merging biological intelligence and machine intelligence (Solon, 2017). Technology is taking us into a new human realm, one of brain–computer (or brain machine) interfaces, which reduce sluggish communication, such as typing and talking to direct lag-free interactions between brains and external devices (Solon, 2017). The theory behind this is based on the notion that with appropriate understanding of the neural activity in the human brain, it will become a possibility to create “neuroprosthetics”. The result would be the capability to communicate complex ideas telepathically and provide us with additional cognitive (extra memory) or sensory (night vision) abilities, all of which Musk notes he is currently working on (a company called Neuralink). Musk suggests he is developing an injectable mesh-like “neural lace” which would be placed on the brain and provide digital computing capabilities (Solon, 2017). Clearly, such technology raises ethical questions: should we enhance our brains in this manner? As noted by Towers-Clark (2018), if the transhumanist movement is correct, which technology can support us and take sapiens to the next level, then should we ignore this as research projects like Neuralink or epidural stimulation “will enable us to overcome fundamental human limitations, such as aging, paralysis or the power of our brains” (Towers-Clark, 2018). In an article on the World Economic Forum’s website, author Liu (2020) suggests that we are entering the era of the “Internet of Bodies” where companies will be able to collect our physical data via a range of devices that people can wear, which can be implanted or even swallowed. The World Economic Forum (2020) seems to be pushing for a transhumanist and cyborg society, with much attention and focus provided on the subject. In a panelled discussion at Davos (January 24, 2020) “When Humans Become Cyborgs”, the presenter (moderator, a young global leader) opens with the comment “I always wanted to be a cyborg and I have been waiting for the day to become one”. The panelled discussion goes on to explore brain–computer interface and how new technologies VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 181


are blurring the lines between man and machine. Schwab (2016) has frequently raised the point that as humanity moves into the fourth industrial revolution, what it means to be human will be challenged. Schwab (2016) states “the revolutions occurring in biotechnology and AI, which are redefining what it means to be human by pushing back the current thresholds of life span, health, cognition, and capabilities, will compel us to redefine our moral and ethical boundaries”. So, our future could likely be post-human, as this section has provided an insight into, via the concepts of robots, post/transhumanism and cyborgs. It has evidenced examples of how society and various institutions are approaching the idea of humans transcending their species of origin. Evidently, people’s motivations are wide and varied (beyond those considered here); as humans, we have social-cultural drivers such as curiosity, fashion trends/trendsetting and seeking simplicity in our lives. Technology has and increasingly plays a significant role in not just supporting us in these areas but also controlling us. As humans we are becoming increasingly dependent on it (for work, leisure and pleasure). Likewise, people are also forced into behaving differently to meet the needs of current social systems, and technology is often forced upon us so that we can access and interact with our society (be it people, organizations and even the natural environment). Having highlighted that not only is there a desire amongst some within society to move humans beyond our current being, to something new, people are already beginning to transcend our current species. As noted by Ward (2022), every year millions of people cross borders to undertake medical treatments. Cheap travel and lax laws have made it easier for medical tourists to travel world searching for the elixir of life. In line with this, it is necessary to consider the technological developments that are and could become part of the wellness and medical markets of the future and ultimately, potentially driving us to a post-human era and closer to becoming immortal. 6.3 Research and development in medical and wellness practices Humanity continues to seek longevity, be it in physical or non-physical forms. Our mental wellness is likely to see increased significance in this century as humanity continues to battle external issues. According to Harari (2015), scientists are developing innovative new treatments which operate in fundamentally different methods to previous medicine, noting examples where research labs are home to nano-robots. Such sci-tech in the future would see nano-robots navigating through the human bloodstream, identifying illnesses and kill pathogens and cancerous cells. The fight for beauty and youth will also likely continue. The golden threads from face lifts, the botox-filled flesh and the transplanted hair follicles inevitably follow their bearers into their finite destiny. One of the known progressive methods of sustaining the health and longevity of bodily functions is organ transplantation (Luo, 2019). With foundations of tissue engineering at the doorstop (Lavernia et al., 2019), the hope to sustain and prolong one’s lifespan through organ transplantation seems viable. Perhaps, the modified and enhanced organs would have the capability to bestow a certain extent of “medical immortality” on the patient. Moreover, considering the premise of utilizing tissue engineered hearts, livers and pancreas by 2050 as a “norm”, the future looks promising, albeit only for the few (Yeoman, 2012, p. 104). The medical and surgical markets are constantly seeing emerging developments and advancements in technology. Developments include the methods in which patients connect with surgeons and clinics (moving more online), and the (increased) speed in which patients are recovering from surgery (Perez, 2018).Harari (2015, p. 50) suggests that“The upgrading of humans into gods may follow any of three paths: biological engineering, cyborg engineering and the engineering of non-organic being”. Tables 2 and 3 present examples of current and future technological wellness and medical practices and experiences that could become available in future markets. Whilst there is no specific categorization of the examples provided in the two tables, the aim is to offer the reader an insight into practices that consider a range of changes to the human mind and body. It must be stressed that the medical and wellness examples presented here in Tables 2 and 3 are not all conclusive to research and development currently taking place on a global scale. These are some examples that have been located by the authors (at the time of writing) to present a picture of some of the practices that are being explored. Consequently, these examples are used in the PAGE 182 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023


theoretical model now presented in this research. Due to the fast-paced nature that technology is currently witnessing, society is likely to be presented with new surgical practices and concepts around medical and surgical enhancement/procedures. Thus, the examples are time relative to this research. Table 2 Current and future medical practices Procedure Description Preoperative planning Doctors can now use technology to create personalized plastic surgery solutions, like using a patient’s CT scans and a surgical simulation application to practice a surgery before performing it on the patient. This preoperative planning can help shorten the length of time that surgeries take. In addition, some technologies can alter photos of a patient to show them likely results of a procedure. This can give them a better idea of what they will look like after the surgery, which could lead to patients being happier with their results since they will not be as surprised by a drastic procedure (Perez, 2018) Laser skin resurfacing These days, patients want to be back on their feet and out in the real world as quickly as possible. Laser skin resurfacing can improve the look and feel of skin with a much quicker recovery time and other traditional surgeries although it can also be used alongside other procedures for the optimum improvement (Perez, 2018) Endoscopic facelift A traditional facelift can leave noticeable scars and carries the risk of causing nerve damage that could lead to numbness in part of the face. With an endoscopic facelift, very small incisions are made along the scalp and temples and an endoscope (basically a tube with a light and a camera at the end) is used to perform the facelift. Along with less scarring and fewer risks, surgeons can focus on specific areas of the face and provide improved results compared to a traditional facelift (Perez, 2018) Biologic products for tissue reconstruction Previously, many procedures required removing tissue from one area of the body to use in another area, resulting in additional scarring and potentially more procedures. Nowadays, engineered products can create a scaffold for tissue regeneration and replacement (Perez, 2018) Medical tattoos Flexible, electronic medical tattoos and stick-on sensors can take an electrocardiogram, measure respiratory rate, check blood sugar and transmit results seamlessly via Bluetooth. It is mobile vital sign tracking, but at a level once found only in an intensive care unit (Kraft, 2019) Implant devices Implantable devices may include a radio-frequency ID chip under the skin that holds a patient’s medical records or a subcutaneous sensor that could continuously monitor blood chemistry. Ingestible devices in capsules will deploy once swallowed to perform tasks in the gastrointestinal system, from delivering treatment to isolating foreign objects (Kraft, 2019) Artificial implants and prostheses Artificial substitutes for body parts and materials inserted into tissue for functional, cosmetic or therapeutic purposes. Prostheses can be functional as in the case of artificial arms and legs or cosmetic as in the case of an artificial eye. Implants, all surgically inserted or grafted into the body, tend to be used therapeutically–see NCBI (2020) for full list Biochemical happiness Each year, new drugs are born in research labs of universities, pharmaceutical companies and criminal organizations that allow for biochemical drugs to manipulate happiness. In research labs, experts are creating sophisticated was of manipulating human biochemistry, such as sending direct electrical stimuli to appropriate spots in the brain (Harari, 2015) Medical 3D printing The biotechnology industry is working on printing living cells. Anyone will be able to print any kind of drugs that contain patented molecules at home. Bionic ears and simpler organs will be printed at the patient’s bedside. There are already examples of 3D printing used in medicine. Through the e-NABLING the future project, a global network of passionate volunteers enable volunteers, doctors or anyone on the field to make a difference by literally “giving a helping hand” to those in need by sharing 3D Printing designs, video tutorials and other information about building prosthetic hands. Success stories come from all over the world: there are now children and adults with super-hero style or more traditionally shaped prosthetic hands in Chile, Ghana, Indonesia and many more countries (The Medical Futurist, 2016) Nano-robot treatment Scientists are developing revolutionary new treatments that work in radically new ways to previous medicine. Research labs are already home to nano-robots that one day may navigate the bloodstream, identify illnesses and kill pathogens and cancerous cells (Bostrom, 2014) Biological engineering For four billion years, our bodies natural selection has focused on tweaking and tinkering with our bodies. But with developments in bioengineering, society might not wait for natural selection to support our survival. Bioengineers will have the ability to rewrite our genetic code, rewrite our brain circuits, alter the biochemical balance and even grow entirely new limbs. Consequently, biochemists could create new godlings, who might be different from us Sapiens (Harari, 2015) Epidural stimulation Neural lace technology consists of a nano-mesh of electrodes that encompass and eventually integrate with the brain, allowing us to upload and download digital information directly. Our attachment to mobile devices means that we are already cyborgs, “it is just that the data rate is slow” due to our clumsy finger-based output. Epidural stimulation technology would increase the “bandwidth” of this data flow, allowing us to interact directly with our digital selves and even “upload into a new unit” should our biological body die (Towers-Clark, 2018) VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 183


7. The relationship between medical and wellness tourism and immortality: a futures perspective The wellness and medical tourism markets, whilst still niche, are expected to see continued growth going forward. The past decade has seen tourism authorities progressively viewing medical tourism as a significant industry, offering the potential to diversify their existing tourism markets, improve their own economies and healthcare systems, offer employment opportunities and generate further tax revenues (Suess et al., 2018; Ward, 2022). Pre-COVID-19, Yeoman (2012) suggested that by 2022, healthcare will be the world’s largest industry, followed by tourism in second place. As identified by Gill and Sumant (2019), the affordability and accessibility of reliable and safe healthcare services along with assistance from tourism departments and local governments are driving factors fuelling the growth of the global medical tourism market. This is likely to expand as medical tourism hubs become more common places due to developments in technology. According to Fortune Business Insights (2022), medical tourism continues to gain immense traction globally and more so across developed regions. In their report, they draw on research from the Medical Tourism Association (MTA) who note that around 14 million people travel to other countries for medical care. It is suggested that availability of lower-cost treatment in different countries for various conditions will support the growth of the medical tourism market. Likewise, the wellness tourism market is seeing growth, and COVID-19 has seen a growth in the number of tourists seeking wellness travel experiences. According to the Global Wellness Institute (2021), the wellness tourism market will grow by 20.9% annually through to 2025, reaching an impressive $1,1276 bn market size by the end of that year. This research now presents its own developed model for the future wellness and medical tourism industries. The model incorporates the previous four areas used by the Global Spa Summit (2011) in their own model (see Figure 1). Importantly, in line with discussions in this paper, the future model aligns the importance ofthe immortality concept, one which is potentially showing signs of becoming a reality, as evidenced in the discussions above. The model and its examples aim to provide some insight into future wellness and medical tourism markets. From the model, it is suggested that the wellness markets will only take humans so far, in as much, to provide people with the ability to live out a long and healthy life. The wellness markets will unlikely lead to humans become immortal. However, and significantly, the model highlights how the growth in medical markets and procedures could support the potential of achieving (post-human) immortal existence. The future market model maps the potential for current and new emerging wellness and medical tourism practices and their potential relationship between mortal existence, increased lifespan and eventually, post-human immortality. The examples of current and potential future markets in wellness and medical tourism used in this instance are taken for Tables 2 and 3 above. However, the value of the model should be in the application of the framework and not the actual examples of wellness and medical procedures (re)distributed on the model (as these are time limited and not all conclusive). These should be taken solely as examples that have been used to provide insight into the types of practices being discussed at the time of writing. Significantly, as time progresses, research and development will likely lead to new technologies (and practices) that could have life enhancing capabilities, thus leading to a re-shifting in the balance and value of medical and wellness market activities alongside the need of any given society and its human status. Hence, the model can be used and applied in future research when considering wellness and medical tourism markets and their impact and potential role in driving society towards a post-human era. Importantly, the model and the medical markets presented aim to shine a light on the direction the technology and the industry could be heading in. To this point, this paper raises a more profound philosophical question, one that goes beyond the tourism industry. The role of government and regulators would be an initial starting point. However, this paper is shining a light on the role of the tourism industry and raises the following question. What role does the tourism industry want to play in supporting these potential future markets? Tourism and the sectors considered here operate independently and co-operatively with government; tourism is rarely an isolated bubble, detached from society. But the industry, destinations and tourist can take an individual stance. Our future PAGE 184 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023


Table 3 Current and future wellness practices/interventions Practice Description Silent zones As digital noise and connectivity reaches an all-time high, the Global Wellness Institute predicts that we will see a sharper focus on silence, mindfulness and nature from new “silent spa” models to silent zones at restaurants, gyms, airports and works spaces (Hill, 2017) Circadian health Focus Shifts from Sleep to True Circadian Health. We have never been so sleepobsessed. We pony up for sleep-tracking Oura rings, the latest, smartest mattresses, and meditative sleep headbands; crawl into nap pods; and travel far to bed down at sleep retreats. We gobble sleep tonics, CBD and even “sleep ice cream.” We’ve been hit by a storm of generic sleep products, driving a $432 billion “sleep economy,” and we’re still not sleeping. Why? Because most sleep solutions, and our modern lives, defy the basic facts of circadian biology. We predict a major shift in wellness: less focus on solutions targeting sleep/fatigue and a new focus on circadian health optimization, not only so we can sleep but to boost the brain/body systems controlled by the circadian clock (Global Wellness Summit, 2019–2020; Tore, 2020 € ) Wellness architecture As architecture begins to move away from its preoccupation with surface aesthetics, thanks to new standards and technologies, architects are beginning to design buildings based on their possible effects on human health. According to the Global Wellness Institute, this new “wellness architecture” will be one of the biggest (and most impactful) future wellness trends, with strategies ranging from the inclusion of more plant life in offices to the creation of entire homes built around the inhabitant’s personal well-being (Hill, 2017) Wellness music Humans are hardwired for music; no other stimulus positively activates so many brain regions; and stringent studies show its dramatic impact on mood, anxiety and pain. The mainstream music industry is pivoting to “wellness music.” There is an explosion of well-being playlists (stress-reducing, sleep-focused, etc.) at the big streaming sites such as Spotify. There is big, new audiences for ambient and now actually cool “New New Age” music. A fascinating development: the rise of “generative” music, with apps that pull your biological, psychological and situational data to create a tailor-made-for-you, always-changing soundscape—to improve your mental health any time you want to tune in (Global Wellness Summit, 2019–2020; Tore, 2020 € ) Religious wellness If going to church once meant dolling up in a dress to sit in a pew, today it might look more like wearing leggings for a HIIT-infused sermon. More and more, faith is incorporating the latest wellness trends, signifying a shift away from viewing bodywork as vanity. There are now boutique fitness studios solely devoted to worship or which cater to religious constraints. We see Ramadan bootcamps, Jewish Sabbath service hikes, Christian wellness retreats, Catholic Pilates classes and Muslim fitness YouTube channels (Global Wellness Summit, 2019– 2020; Tore, 2020 € ) Energy medicine Scientific researchers are discovering that the human body is indeed a complex biofield of electromagnetic frequencies and light waves that serve as control central for our physical and mental functioning and that we are also immersed in other complex environmental electromagnetic fields that change human cells. If medicine ignored the “energy body” for a century, new discoveries are shaking up entrenched thinking in biology. The future is the medical AND wellness worlds innovating new tools and technologies to optimize human energy fields to prevent illness and boost health. Frequency therapies are crucial here: electromagnetic, light and sound interventions (Global Wellness Summit, 2019–2020; Tore, 2020 € ) Art and creativity centres Taking inspiration from the phenomenon that is adult-colouring, the Global Wellness Institute predicts that the practice of art and creativity will become even more central to the future of wellness. We will start to see more classes and programming that encourages people to embrace their creative side, whether that be dancing, drawing, writing or learning (Hill, 2017) (continued) VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 185


should not be pre-determined and addressing issues such as the ones concerned here should be done before retrospective action or consideration becomes the narrative. Maybe a more fundament and philosophical question that needs addressing is do we want to evolve beyond Homo sapiens into post-human immortal cyborgs? If not, then should we be regulating the markets in the lower (medical) half of the model? Do we want to just maximize our current lifespan and live long healthy lives? If so, promoting wellness markets (in the higher section of the model) should be prioritized. Or maybe, the future of society is a place where transhumanists/cyborgs and Homo sapiens live together, something we are arguably currently moving towards. Again, a philosophical question that arguably deserves wider public scrutiny: In which case, we are likely to see wellness and medical markets grow, not limited to the examples considered here, but new wellness and medical markets that will develop as we move further into the 21st century? 7.1 Wellness and medical tourism: shaping the future of Homo sapiens We are – if not yet Terminators – at least a little more integrated with our machines (Wittes and Chong, 2014). Table 3 Continued Practice Description Cannabidiol (CBD) Consumers are becoming increasingly conscious of the multitude of benefits these holistic remedies offer –from preventative health measures to alleviating chronic symptoms. CBD has taken centre stage on the global wellness scene and propelled the market at an unprecedented rate. CBD is one of the most hyped up, invested in and scrutinized wellness trends to emerge in the 21st century. Not to be confused with medicinal marijuana – which is a completely different type of complexity – CBD is one of the most well-known naturallyoccurring cannabinoids or anti-inflammatory flavonoids of hemp, a member of the cannabis family of plants (Rider, 2019) Sauna reinvented According to the Global Wellness Institute, the disconnect between Northern, Central and Eastern Europe, where sauna-going is a way of life, and the rest of the world, is beginning to disappear. Set for a dramatic transformation, the rituals and facilities associated with sauna culture will become far more creative and social as the rest of the world catches up with the benefits of the age-old practice. Paving the way, experiences like the “Hot Box Sauna”, located in Scotland which boasts panoramic views as well as a bar and live music (Hill, 2017) Wellness sabbatical Kamalaya in Thailand just unveiled a well-being sabbatical program, which (with a minimum 21-day stay) goes far deeper than a mere “recharge,” and where the comprehensive daily healing experiences (including personal mentoring) are flexibly designed around guests’ work schedules. Vana in India just unveiled its 30-day wellness sabbatical, where great technology and workspaces mean having that conference call after an appointment with a Tibetan Healing doctor. At Mexico’s Rancho La Puerta, execs are checking into casitas with private pools and offices to interweave a few hours of work each day with immersion in their 365-degree wellness offerings. We predict more top wellness resorts, typically designed around 1–2 week stays, will expand to 21-day, flexible work þ wellness programs. (Global Wellness Summit, 2019–2020; Tore, 2020 € ) Mental wellness and technology Mental wellness and technology: rethinking the relationship. A broad category includes mental illness and neurological disorders but also new categories spanning anxiety, stress and despair. Mental health tech will move into the mainstream as cultural norms continue to shift. Industry analysts predict the next year will see a big spike in the adoption of telehealth, both in the mental healthcare space as well as primary care. Consumers’ embrace of convenient treatment as well as interest in self-care will transform how employers, universities and local governments offer subsidized mental wellness care. Nearly 10,000 mental health apps currently crowd the market, ranging from behavioural health coaching to meditation content (Global Wellness Summit, 2019–2020; Tore, 2020 € ) PAGE 186 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023


As society moves into the 21st century, we are going to witness new practices and relationships between the patient and client. As noted by Perez (2018), society no longer operates on phone books and client referrals to develop and sustain business. Today’s online environment has become a double act, part science, part art. Today, social media marketing is powerful as patients share their experiences on digital platforms. Businesses in the future might look to “offer incentives to clients who mention your plastic surgery practice when they show off their new look on their social media” (Perez, 2018). Humans have often used technology to support their bodies, through devices such as wooden legs, hearing aids, spectacles and false teeth. However, the transhumanist and cyborg concepts are moving us into a new reality. These ideological outlooks consider the use of augmented implants that enhance our senses, allowing us to detect infrared or ultraviolet radiation, boost our cognitive processes by connecting ourselves to memory chips. Such advancements are already becoming available for more medical purposes, being adopted by younger individuals looking to boost their lifestyle needs, and this is something that is even being advised if humans are to remain relevant. Historically, humans have sought and discussed the immortality of the soul in the spirit (other) world, and this will continue to be, but more aligned to our mental wellness. With developments in new technologies and our ever-growing advancements in science, the preservation and extension of the material body and its connection with technology is becoming significantly real. This will lead to a shift in the human perspective, in human consciousness, as our once imagined realities begin to change, as we begin to believe in different stories, stories where death is not the end, but stories of immortality. McNamee and Edwards (2006) recognize how transhumanist advocates call for the value and opportunity it could offer, planning for a new future for human beings and our Homo sapiens species. Arguing that transhumanism presents a new evolutionary path that limits the chance for random mutations and illness. Thus, leading towards more tailored humans, were the ideal“human blueprint” is already created. Only time will tell precisely which “ideal blueprint” will end up being developed. What are the consequences of this movement, as humans and machines merge, what does this mean forHomo sapiens? Supporters of transhumanism claim that recruitment or deployment of such technologies can create individuals who are not only intelligent, but immortal. However, these individuals would no longer be part of the Homo sapiens species. These individuals would be ambiguous, part human and part machine (McNamee and Edwards, 2006, p. 514). As we continue to embrace technology, will we evolve from “Homo sapiens” to “Homo Technologicus” or even “Homo Deus” (Mckie, 2018; Harari, 2015). Whilst a challenging idea, Harari (2015, p. 53) notes, “once technology enables us to re-engineer human minds, Homo sapiens will disappear, human history will come to an end and a completely new kind of process will begin, which people like you and me cannot comprehend”. Currently, as evidenced in this research, tourism is (in)directly playing a significant role in supporting the evolution of the human being from Homo sapiens to something different, a more technologically enhanced being. Global Spa Summit (2011, p. iii) stress that in their model (see Figure 1) of market sectors, all four “typologies” of medical and wellness tourism offerings are significant and potentially lucrative markets. Importantly, they suggest that industry stakeholders should carefully “consider the varying opportunities and tourists needs/interests across the four quadrants when developing and marketing a menu of offerings for medical tourists and/or wellness tourists”. Thus, if immortality or transhumanist ideologies are our evolutionary path, as humans (could) become cyborgs, what responsibility today does the wellness and medical tourism sectors play in supporting, fuelling, promoting and encouraging such practices? As evidenced in the future wellness and medical tourism market redistribution model, the future could see new types of market opportunities, ones that could directly support the evolution of the Homo sapiens into something new. As recognized above, medical and wellness tourism form part of the travel industry and are likely to see continued growth in the coming years. People travel to international destinations to carry our procedures that form part of these industries/sectors. If these sectors in the future develop in a manner in which tourists travel for “life extending procedures”, away from VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 187


their place of residence, then the medical and wellness markets are (in)directly involved with the (re)shaping of the human species. Thus, governments and regulators must shine a greater light on the movements and practices within these sectors, today and as we move into the 21st century. Importantly, the wider tourism community must research and further our understanding of how new markets in the wellness and medical tourism sectors will impact on who we are as a species and what species we may help evolve. So, what story of the future do we want to share? 8. Changing the collective story: from death to immortality If the genius of invention were to reveal tomorrow the secret of immortality, of eternal beauty and youth, for which all humanity is aching, the same inexorable agents which prevent a mass from changing suddenly its velocity would likewise resist the force of the new knowledge until time gradually modifies human thought Nikola Tesla (see Valderrama, 2016, p. 8). Valderrama (2016) suggests that Tesla is stressing the idea of eternal youth and beauty. To Tesla, the search for immortality has the potential of becoming a reality as long as people believe in the idea. Further suggesting, death is what humans believe to be their natural state of end in life’s journey. This paper opened with the idea of fictional narratives offering us visions of the future and that of immortality. The “inexorable agents” are the processes in society that prevent change, but through new knowledge, society and what humans believe to be real can change. The questions are what knowledge will be key in changing our collective consciousness towards the overpowering idea that death is the end? Aubrey de Grey drew on the notion of mentality change and championed a new medical research that highlighted the potential of people living much longer lives (as discussed by Morley Safer). Safer (1931–2016) asks the question, how long would you like to live, what if you could live 400–500 years or more, all in good health. Whilst recognising it as arguably a utopian and a nightmare scenario, such visions are discussed. Today, we live longer healthier lives than our grandparents, but due to disease and old age, 100 remains to be our outer limit. However, this is said to be old-fashioned thinking, and in the next 20–30 years, humans will begin to recondition ourselves towards the first steps of immortality (Safer, 1931–2016). Harari (2011, p. 35) notes, “Over the years, people have woven an incredible complex network of stories [...].” Furthermore, “The kinds of things that people create through this network of stories are known in academic circles as ‘fictions’, ‘social constructs’ or ‘imagined realities’” (see Berger and Luckmann, (1967) for more on social constructs). Importantly, “An imagined reality is something that everyone believes in, and as long as this communal belief persists, the imagined reality exerts force in the world.” So, individuals at birth are educated into imagined realities; they are constantly reminded of the principles of the imagined order. But death is not an imagined reality, death is real. But what if people begin to change their beliefs in death and begin to believe that death is not the end. What if the fictional ideas of immortality become reality? If society is programmed to think that death can be defeated, then the stories begin to change. Science fiction and popular culture (novel and visual) play a significant role here as they produce imagined stories of immortality, paving the way for society to see alternative future realities. Consequently, this begins to change our mindsets, our stories and if we change our stories, we might end up changing our reality, and this has begun. People being born today are being born into a world that is showcasing the early signs of a post-human world. According to Giddens (2014), what is taking place is a world were reality is outdistancing science fiction. According to Renee Engeln, “You are never going to meet this culture’s beauty standard. If we all started meeting the standard, the standard would just be changed” (Brucculieri, 2019b). Harari (2015, p. 33) stresses that “as long as people assumed that death is inevitable, they trained themselves from an early age to suppress the desire to live for ever, or harnessed it in favour of substitute goals. People want to live for ever, so they compose an ‘immortal’ symphony, they strive for ‘eternal glory’ in some way, or even sacrifice their lives so that their soles will ‘enjoy everlasting PAGE 188 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023


bliss in paradise’. A large part of our artistic creativity, our political commitment and our religious piety is fuelled by the fear of death”. As this paper has showcased, humans have created the imagined stories of immortality in visual and written guises. However, are we now on (if we have not already leap beyond) the brink of those imagined stories becoming a reality. As explored here, the movement of people (medical and wellness tourists) to global destinations will play a role in shaping the future of human, our species. Evidently, the tourism industry will not be solely responsible for such potential manipulation of our species evolution. However, the fabric of our species future, one that is no longerHomo sapiens could be woven by the movement of tourists today seeking medical treatments that prolong life. This is no small issue and requires greater scrutiny and examination within the tourism sector and beyond. After all, as noted by Harari (2015), humans are reaching a place where they are capable of being Gods. This level of human power, control and enabling should not be considered lightly, as our species and what it means to be human is either seeing a controlled modification by those with the power to do so, or could be seen to be under attack. 9. Conclusion Tourism has a responsibility to continuously examine and scrutinize its current development strategies and its wider social and cultural roles and responsibilities. Technology is increasingly becoming the future’s elixir of life. With developments in technology, what once seemed fictional ideas of immortality (shared by our ancestors) are now becoming a reality; the immortal story is changing from the fictional to real. We live in a time where technology, travel and social changes are so frequent that society often fails or even lacks the capacity to consider how current practises will ultimately lead humanity into the future. In the past, medicine and surgery allowed doctors and surgeons to carry out procedures to support victims of war and disease. Today, technology and medicine are increasingly being used in the medical (tourism) sector so consumers can attain the ideal version of themselves. The idea of physically beautifying oneself is driven by growing promotional content on social media, promoted in movies and novels and by celebrities and social influencers. These groups of people and the narratives they portray have not only encouraged people to seek alternative versions of themselves but have actually changed our social understanding of what we can achieve and who we can become. Another key feature in all of this is the travel industry. This research highlighted the important historical growth, meaning and current practice of wellness and medical tourism. Today, individuals are driven by wellness practices and medical and cosmetic desires and are willing to travel the globe in search of companies who are either capable of carrying out the desired procedures or seeking prices more affordable to them. However, this research offers novel insights and maps the relationship between wellness and medical practices and the concept of immortality. The research presents a wellness and medical tourism market redistribution model, illustrating the potential for future consumer services that could further fuel a post-human and immortal era. This paper set out to explore what potential role and impact the wellness and medical tourism markets will have on the future of humanity and more so,Homo sapiens. According to this research, tourism and the global travel industry is creating (and will continue to create) greater opportunities for people to participate in wellness and medical tourism practices. It concludes that these sectors of the travel industry are playing and will continue to play a significant (in)direct role in shaping the evolution of Homo sapiens because they are providing places in which consumers can access medical procedures and, eventually, ones that could lead to immortality. We often look back into the past to seek what trends have led us to where we are today and who was responsible for our current predicaments, good or bad. If future generations look back on the current expanding wellness and medical industry, what do we want them to see? Who is taking responsibility to consider how the current growth in the industry will end up? Do we want future generations to look back and say that the travel industry encouraged people globally to access medical provisions that eventually led to transhumanists and cyborgs? We should be asking these difficult questions now, before it is too late. Now is the time to consider what responsibility the tourism industry has in managing the growth of wellness and medical markets, where should the VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 189


marketing and promotional emphasis be placed in these industries? Should greater restrictions and regulations be put in place so to manage the distribution and growth of the industry? Should wellness travel take greater priority over medical travel, offering consumers healthier lives, but few opportunities to become transhumanist/cyborgs? Society today is increasingly being covered by globalist ideas, agendas and corporations. COVID-19 has shown how globalists feel that a standard approach is needed to deal with transborder issues and challenges. In tourism, organizations such as the World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) and World Travel Council champion themselves as leaders in the industry, supporting nations and companies globally, so they hold a valuable responsibility in the development and promotion of wellness and medical tourism, so what future do they envisage? This research opens up new areas of investigation, such as the continued mapping of practices and tourism offerings within the wellness and medical markets globally. Countries should consider their wellness and medical practices and fit them alongside the model presented here, ideally asking the question: what future(s) do they want to encourage for society and our species? If earthly physical immortality or at least longevity is what we seek, then should we return to the practices of our ancestors, focusing on more holistic and spiritual methods, rather than relying on medicine, or is there a need to better understand the balance between the different methods? Travel and tourism have played a key role throughout time, moving people across the globe, distributing knowledge, ideas and resources, all of which have shaped the way we live, work and play. As humans evolve, possibly beyondHomo sapiens, this paper asserts that current wellness and more so medical travel are likely to play a central role. As tourists will continue to travel to destinations which will provide services that meet our ranging motivations around wellness and medical practices, offering the opportunities for personal beautification, to engage our curiosity, to provide life-saving treatments or maybe our quest for immortality, a once fictional image becoming a reality. Just because we can, it does not mean we should! References Allied Market Research (2022), “Wellness tourism market by service type (transport, lodging, food and beverage, shopping, activities and excursion, and others), location (domestic and international), travelers type (primary and secondary): global opportunity analysis and industry forecast, 2021-2030”, available at: https:// www.alliedmarketresearch.com/wellness-tourism-market#:∼:text5The%20global%20wellness%20tourism %20market,highest%20share%20in%20the%20market (accessed 15 February 2022). Ansell-Pearson, K. (1997), Viroid Life. Perspectives on Nietzsche and the Transhuman Condition, Routledge, London and New York. Bartunek, J.M., Rynes, S.L. and Ireland, R.D. (2006), “What makes management research interesting, and why does it matter? Academy of management editors’ forum”, Academy of Management Journal, Vol. 46 No. 1, pp. 9-15. BBC (2019), “Transhumanism: how far would you go for a body upgrade?”, available at: https://www.bbc. co.uk/news/av/uk-scotland-49908957/transhumanism-how-far-would-you-go-for-a-body-upgrade (accessed 21 October 2019). Becker, E. (1997), The Denial of Death, Free Press, New York. Berger, P.L. and Luckmann, T. (1967), The Social Construction of Reality, Anchor Books, New York. Bostrom, N. (2005), “A history of transhumanist thought”, Journal of Evolution and Technology, Vol. 14 No. 1, pp. 1-25. Bostrom, N. (2014), Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies, Oxford University Press, Oxford. Boyd, J.B., McGrath, M.H. and Maa, J. (2011), “Emerging trends in the outsourcing of and surgical care”, The Archives of Surgery, Vol. 146, pp. 107-112. Brown, A., Furnham, A., Glanville, L. and Swami, V. (2007), “Factors that affect the likelihood of undergoing cosmetic surgery”, Aesthetic Surgery Journal, Vol. 27, pp. 501-508. Brucculieri, J. (2019a), “Plastic surgeons reveal the ways social media influences patients”, available at: https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/plastic-surgery-social-media_l_5cdc1b9fe4b0437438c4fbea? guccounter51&guce_referrer5aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig5AQAAAMqL72 PAGE 190 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. 9 NO. 2 2023


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Cultural tourist and user experience with artificial intelligence: a holistic perspective from the Industry 5.0 approach Alicia Orea-Giner, Ana Munoz-Maz ~ on, Teresa Villac e-Molinero and Laura Fuentes-Moraleda Abstract Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to analyse the future of the implementation of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies in services experience provided by cultural institutions (e.g. museums, exhibition halls and cultural centres) from experts’, cultural tourists’ and users’ point of view under the Industry 5.0 approach. Design/methodology/approach – The research was conducted using a qualitative approach, which was based on the analysis of the contents obtained from two roundtable discussions with experts and cultural tourists and users. A thematic analysis using NVivo was done to the data obtained. Findings – From a futuristic Industry 5.0 approach, AI is considered to be more than a tool – it as an integral part of the entire experience. AI aids in connecting cultural institutions with users and is beneficial since it allows the institutions to get to know the users better and provide a more integrated and immersive experience. Furthermore, AI is critical in establishing a community and nurturing it daily. Originality/value – The most important contribution of this research is the theoretical model focused on the user experience and AI application in services experiences of museums and cultural institutions from an Industry 5.0 approach. This model includes the visitors’ and managers’ points of view through the following dimensions: the pre-experience, experience and post-experience. This model is focused on human–AI coworking (HAIC) in museums and cultural institutions. Keywords Artificial intelligence, Industry 5.0, User service experiences, Cultural institutions, Cultural tourist, User experience, Managers Paper type Research paper 1. Introduction The use of artificial intelligence (AI) applications in the service sector has been linked to what is known as Industry 4.0. However, future conditions contemplate the establishment and development of Industry 5.0. Industry 5.0 is not a simple chronological continuation or alternative to Industry 4.0 paradigm (Carayannis and Morawska-Jancelewicz, 2022). Considered as the next industrial revolution, Industry 5.0 takes advantage of the creativity of human beings in collaboration with efficient, intelligent and precise machines to obtain efficient resources and solutions adapted to the user (Maddikunta et al., 2021). According to Maddikunta et al. (2021), Industry 5.0 adds value through innovative additive manufacturing, predictive maintenance, hyper customisation and cyber-physical, cognitive systems. It facilitates robots and skilled individuals to work together to produce customised services. The services sector has gradually adopted Industry 4.0 tools, as well as technologies such as robots, AI and service automation (Ruel and Njoku, 2020; Samala et al., 2020). However, services sector requires taking a step further towards Industry 5.0 tools (Calero-Sanz et al., 2022). Cultural institutions (e.g. museums, exhibition halls and cultural centres) fulfil a relevant role in many different Alicia Orea-Giner is based at the Faculty of Economics and Business, Rey Juan Carlos University, Madrid, Spain and EIREST, Universite Paris 1 Pantheon-Sorbonne, Paris, France. Ana Munoz-Maz ~ on, Teresa Villace-Molinero and Laura Fuentes-Moraleda are all based at the Faculty of Economics and Business, Rey Juan Carlos University, Madrid, Spain. Received 6 April 2022 Revised 22 June 2022 28 September 2022 Accepted 17 November 2022 © Alicia Orea-Giner, Ana Munoz- ~ Mazon, Teresa Villac e-Molinero and Laura Fuentes-Moraleda. Published in Journal of Tourism Futures. Published by Emerald Publishing Limited. This article is published under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) licence. Anyone may reproduce, distribute, translate and create derivative works of this article (for both commercial and non-commercial purposes), subject to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this licence may be seen at http:// creativecommons.org/licences/ by/4.0/legalcode Funding: The authors acknowledge the funding support by OpenInnova Research Group. DOI 10.1108/JTF-04-2022-0115 VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪ , pp. 1-18, Emerald Publishing Limited, ISSN 2055-5911 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURES j PAGE 1


fields (e.g. education, exhibition, protection, conservation, tourism and research). These institutions are embracing Information and Communications Technology (ICT) to co-create and provide services that respond better to customer preferences in the experience society (Hanafiah and Zulkifly, 2019; Marasco et al., 2018) and to attract tourists as well as young users (Bonacini and Giaccone, 2021; Hausmann and Schuhbauer, 2021). However, cultural institutions need to thoroughly analyse all their data sources and implement AI to improve their decision-making processes in the future, focused on Industry 5.0 (Huang and Jia, 2022). The literature review reveals that no study has investigated visitors’ and managers’ perceptions of AI applications in museums and cultural organisations from the 5.0 perspective. Recent research approaches AI implementation in cultural organisations (museums) from the users’ perspectives and a quantitative prism (Webster and Ivanov, 2022; Fuentes-Moraleda et al., 2021). Industry 5.0 is a new concept, and there is little literature around it. It has been gaining attention recently among the research community. Nevertheless, research under the 5.0 paradigm mainly focuses on the manufacturing landscape, considering Industry 5.0 around introducing a human-robot co-working environment and creating a smart society (Akundi et al., 2022). In addition, although robots and other AItechnologies have been used in museums and cultural institutions for more than a decade (Polishuk et al., 2011), the potential of these technologies to create collaborative experiences remains unexplored. They can generate collaborative experiences – not mere interactions – which would facilitate the customisation of the technology’s functionality and its adaptation to specific needs. Besides, AI plays a strategic role in influencing users’ experience in art galleries and museums (Singh and Atta, 2021). To fill these gaps, and due to the topic’s relevance, this study aims to analyse the future implementation of AI technologies in services experience provided by cultural institutions from experts’, cultural tourists’ and users’ points of view under the Industry 5.0 approach. The research focuses on Spain for several reasons. Spain is one of the most visited tourist destinations worldwide. Official statistics from Culture Ministry (2021) indicates that 10% of the total trips made by residents in 2020 for leisure, recreation or vacations were initiated mainly for cultural reasons. International tourists’ trips reached 21.2% with cultural motivations. Altogether, the culture mobilised more than 8 million trips in 2020, with an associated expenditure of more than 5,000 million euros, figures close to 50% of the year pre-pandemic (2019). These data show that cultural institutions welcome tourism money, but they typically hesitate to present themselves as tourist attractions or pander to tourist tastes (Richards, 2019). Additionally, besides their economic impact, cultural institutions also influence the image of destinations in ways that can affect tourism and local inhabitants (Cristobal-Fransi et al., 2021). This paper provides a holistic analysis of the application of AI in enhancing the service experience from both the users’ and experts’ perspectives. To this end, a qualitative approach has been used for a deeper understanding of the experience of the cultural tourist as a user of cultural institutions. This is because it allows us to analyse much more than the experience of the visitor, who accesses the institution but does not receive a direct emotional link to it. The visitor does not visit cultural institutions as a passer-by (Falk and Dierking, 2016). However, the user identifies with the cultural institution and wants to be part of it by being involved in the whole process. It is also essential to involve managers and staff of cultural institutions in this process (Ferreiro-Rosende et al., 2022). 2. Theoretical framework 2.1 Cultural tourism and the role of experience-based technological innovation in cultural institutions Previous research has shown that AI may assist tourism businesses increase their efficiency, output and profitability (Yu et al., 2020; Samara et al., 2020). Culture has served as a tool for preserving identity as well as a method of social and economic growth under the canopy of resources provided by cities (Richards, 2018). Cultural tourists present an interest to engage in activities that satisfy their interest in art, architecture and history, with a special interest in satisfying PAGE 2 j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪


their quest for self-realisation and self-discovery (Niemczyk, 2014). Consequently, cultural tourists are interested in one of the most important aspects of AI application on tourism that is offering a personalised, convenient and rich experience (Gasteiger et al., 2021). As stated by previous studies (Armbrecht, 2014; Orea-Giner et al., 2021a), museums have economic, social and environmental implications in addition to encouraging cultural tourists. Although there are great cultural institutions and museums of international importance that may be considered innovative organisations, museums and exhibition halls, as cultural institutions, are usually considered non-innovative (Camarero et al., 2015; Capriotti, 2010; Garcıa-Muina~ et al., 2019). One of the main reasons for this is their size: most museums and exhibition halls in large cities are small or medium-sized (Capriotti, 2010); another reason is their public ownership (Hughes and Luksetich, 2004; Kirchner et al., 2007). Due to a push from the tourism sector, cultural tourism is generating changes in the adoption of AI tools considering that these technologies offer the ability to increase access to cultural institutions while also disseminating information about them (Solima and Izzo, 2018). Museums and cultural institutions have implemented chatbots or computer programmes designed to simulate conversation with human users (Clarizia et al., 2018). However, most of these chatbots do not provide a human-like conversation. They do not provide the complete knowledge requested by visitors (Varitimiadis et al., 2021) during all phases of the visit. Varitimiadis et al. (2021) classifies chatbots into: informative chatbots (infobots), chatbots with predefined conversation paths, gamification and reward chatbots, conversational chatbots and (5) advanced conversational chatbots, where users can freely ask almost anything without following any rules or routes predefined. In the past three decades, virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR) have primarily been evolving entertainment (Majd and Safabakhsh, 2017). While VR and AR share similar technologies, such as various tracking sensors and displays, they represent two different approaches to blending the physical and virtual world realities (Scavarelli et al., 2021). Museums and cultural institutions use VR/AR technologies to naturally engage with visitors in public while also fulfilling the mandates of imparting cultural heritage knowledge (Scavarelli et al., 2021). Social robots have been deployed in museums and cultural institutions settings. Social robots are categorised as robots with social capabilities that can interact and assist humans naturally (Gasteiger et al., 2021). According to Gasteriger et al. (2021) results, positive perceptions of the museum robots are evident, highlighting that museums could be an appropriate setting for further development and implementation of a social robot. Using these robots has several advantages, such as the availability of a robot (Belanche et al., 2019), the potential advantage of alleviating language barriers as opposed to the limited language skills of the staff (Ivanov et al., 2018a,b) or the possibility of co-creating service experiences together (Kuo et al., 2017). More often, it is observed that these robots operate side by side with human personnel. The combined presence of human staff and service robots further indicates that service robots are gradually playing a more decisive role in customer–enterprise interactions and are becoming an integral part of the service delivery system (Park, 2020). From the Industry 5.0 approach, it is essential to consider the users’ emotions and sentiments when interacting with robots to avoid negative experiences (Orea-Giner et al., 2022). Because of the importance of analysing visitors’ experiences through big data, machine learning is applied for visitation pattern prediction and experience evaluation (Calero-Sanz et al., 2022). The application of AI to analyse and visualise these data brings an opportunity for museums and cultural institutions to understand their audiences better and create personalised and engaging experiences (French and Villaespesa, 2019). The use of technology in cultural tourism enables the tracking and analysis of tourist expectations and satisfaction levels, as well as the development of new and alternative financing sources (Di Pietro et al., 2018). The combination of AI technologies can facilitate a new form of interaction called human–AI coworking (HAIC). In HAIC, field VOL. ▪▪▪ NO. ▪▪▪ j JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURESj PAGE 3


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