Bollinger Bands and Moving Ave - Mr. K (30)

Bollinger　Bands　and　Moving　Average　"Buy　/　Return"　Trade　/　Win　
Rate　81.5%,　+　140.4pips　Win

Outline　of　verified　trading　method
What　is　"Bollinger　Bands"?
What　is　a　"buy　/　return"　trade?

Features　of　Bollinger　Bands　and　Moving　Average　"Buy　/　Return"　

Trade
Advantages　and　disadvantages　of　"buying　/　returning"　trading　of　
Bollinger　Bands　and　moving　averages

merit

Demerit
Entry　timing　for　Bollinger　Bands　and　moving　average　"buy　/　return"　

trades
Procedure　#　1. Check　the　direction　of　the　trend
Procedure　#　2. Confirm　that　you　touch　±　2σ
Procedure　#　3. Wait　for　the　market　to　reverse　before　entering

Exit　timing　of　Bollinger　Bands　and　moving　average　"buy　/　return"　

trade
Profit　timing　part　1. Touch　±　3σ
Profit　timing　#　2. The　prevailing　rate　reverses　above　±　1σ
Loss　cut　point　#　1. Touch　±　3σ
Loss　cut　point　#　2. Place　a　stop　order

Trade　verification　of　Bollinger　Bands　and　moving　average　"buy　/　
return"　trades
[Bollinger　Bands　and　Moving　Average　"Buy　/　Return"　Trade]　MT4　/　
MT5　Template

October　1,　2018
October　1,　2018-October　2,　2018
October　2,　2018-October　3,　2018
October　3,　2018-October　4,　2018
October　3,　2018-October　4,　2018
October　4,　2018-October　5,　2018
October　5,　2018
inspection　result
Verification　result　consideration
Good　points　of　trading　method
Bad　points　of　trading　method
Points　that　can　be　improved

Summary

Bollinger　Bands　and　Moving　
Average　"Buy　/　Return"　Trade　/　
Win　Rate　81.5%,　+　140.4pips　Win

In　the　overseas　Forex　trading　method　verification　blog,　how　
much　win　rate　will　you　get　by　actually　testing　the　trading　
method　and　trading　technique　that　"have　a　high　possibility　of　
earning"　with　overseas　Forex　that　can　perform　high　leverage　
trading　for　a　week? How　much　pips　can　you　earn? It　is　an　
overseas　Forex　blog　that　actually　trades　and　verifies. Please　refer　
if　you　have　a　trading　method　with　a　high　winning　percentage.

Outline　of　verified　trading　method

This　time,　it　is　a　trade　that　uses　the　techniques　of　"Bollinger　
Bands"　and　"Buy　/　Return".

What　is　"Bollinger　Bands"?

A　technical　index　that　measures　the　fluctuation　range　(volatility)　
of　the　market　from　price　data　for　a　certain　period,　predicts　the　
fluctuation　range　of　the　price　using　the　"standard　deviation"　
using　statistics,　and　displays　it　on　the　chart.
Say.
The　Bollinger　Bands　are　formed　by　incorporating　the　price　
volatility　and　standard　deviation　into　the　moving　average. By　
graphing　the　standard　deviation,　it　is　possible　to　predict　future　
exchange　rate　changes　from　statistical　probability　theory.

With　standard　deviation
Percentage　of　plus　or　minus　1σ:　68.26%
Percentage　of　plus　or　minus　2σ:　95.44%
Percentage　of　plus　or　minus　3σ:　99.73%

It　will　be.

The　reference　center　line　is　the　moving　average　line,　which　is　
called　the　"middle　line"　or　"center　line".

Bollinger　Bands　is　a　technical　analysis　that　utilizes　statistics　
and　can　be　predicted　as　follows.

The　basic　idea　is

The　prevailing　rate　is　higher　than　+　2σ　on　the　uptrend
→　Rare　event　that　occurs　only　4.56%
→　The　rate　after　this　is　likely　to　return　to　between　+　2σ
→　It is　likely to　win　in　the　“sell”　entry
The　prevailing　rate　is　below　-2σ　on　the　downtrend
→　Rare　event　that　occurs　only　4.56%
→　The　rate　after　this　is　likely　to　return　to　between　-2σ
→　Highly　likely　to　win　in　the　"buy"　entry
It　will　be　something　like　that.

teacher
Among　the　Bollinger　bands,　this　"±　2σ"　is　often　used.
MT4　settings
Select　the　indicator　"Bollinger　Bands"

Period　"20"
Standard　deviation　"1"　"2"　"3"
Style:　green

teacher
It　is　recommended　to　change　the　color　slightly　or　change　the　
line　thickness　for　each　standard　deviation,　as　it　will　be　easier　
to　judge. Especially　for　"±　2σ",　it　is　recommended　to　change　
the　color　and　thickness.

What　is　a　"buy　/　return"　trade?
What　is　bargain　buying?

A　method　of　entering　by　"buying"　when　the　market　is　
temporarily　down　when　the　market　forms　an　uptrend

What　is　a　return　sale?

A　method　of　entering　by　"sell"　when　the　market　is　temporarily　

rising　when　the　market　forms　a　downtrend　and　"returns"
In　Forex　trading,　the　trading　method　adopted　by　many　investors　
is　that　when　a　big　trend　moves　in　the　opposite　direction　for　a　
moment,　it　is　assumed　that　it　will　return　to　the　original　trend　
with　a　position,　so　"the　winning　rate　is　high".　It　is　a　
popular　"solid"　trading　method.

This　time

In　"Bollinger　Bands"
The　prevailing　rate　is　above　+
2σ　on　the　uptrend →　The　rate　after　this　is　likely　to　return　to　
between　+ 2σ　The　prevailing　rate　is　below　-2σ　on　the　
downtrend　→　After　this　The　rate　is　likely　to　return　between　-2σ
With　the　idea

By　"buying　and　selling　back"
Even　if　the　prevailing　rate　temporarily
declines　when　an　uptrend　is　formed, there　is　a　high　possibility　
that　it　will　return　immediately .　When　a　downtrend　is　formed,　
even　if　the　prevailing　rate　rises　temporarily,　it　will soon　
return. Likely　to　return　to
It　is a　trading　method that adopts　both ideas .

Both　are　solid　trading　methods　with　careful　attention,　so　
a　"high　win　rate"　is　expected.

Features　of　Bollinger　Bands　and　Moving　
Average　"Buy　/　Return"　Trade

This　trading　method　is

We　start　by　knowing　the　direction　of　the　trend　from　the　slope　
of　the　moving　average.

MT4　settings

Select　"Moving　Average"　for　the　indicator

Period　"200"
Type　"Simple"
Style:　orange　red
Since　it　is　a　moving　average　(SMA)　of　200　candlesticks,　it　
has　only　a　gentle　slope　...

Diagonally　upward　to　the　right　→　Uptrend
Diagonally　lower　right　→　Downtrend
Almost　horizontal　→　Range　market
Can　be　judged.

"Buying　/　returning"　is　a　trading　method　that　cannot　be　fought　
in　the　range　market,　so　we　will　not　trade　in　the　range　market.

Moving　average　is　diagonally　upward　to　the　right　=　
Uptrend
If　you　can　judge

Wait　for　the　prevailing　rate　to　fall　below　-2σ.

"Buy"　entry　when　the　prevailing　rate　falls　below　-2σ,　reverses　
and　rises

Moving　average　line　is　diagonally　downward　to　the　
right　→　Downtrend

If　you　can　judge

Wait　for　the　prevailing　rate　to　fall　below　+　2σ.

"Sell"　entry　at　the　timing　when　the　actual　rate　divides　+　2σ　
above　and　reverses　and　rises
I　have　a　position　in　the　form　of.

If　you　take　this　entry　timing

1. 95.44%　chance　of　returning　to　within　±　2σ　of　Bollinger　
Bands

2. Certainty　of　proactive　trading　of　bargain　buying　and　return　
selling

You　can　trade　with　both.

Advantages　and　disadvantages　of　"buying　/　
returning"　trading　of　Bollinger　Bands　and　
moving　averages

merit

High　win　rate
Many　trading　opportunities
Because　it　is　in　order,　it　will　be　"small　loss　and　large　
profit"
Clear　trade　timing

Demerit

Small　profit　margin
In　some　cases,　you　exit　before　the　profit　margin　grows.

Entry　timing　for　Bollinger　Bands　and　moving　
average　"buy　/　return"　trades

Procedure　#　1. Check　the　direction　of　the　
trend

The　trend　confirmation　by　this　trading　method　is　done　at　
200SMA　(moving　average　line).

200SMA　(moving　average)　is　diagonally　upward　to　the　right　
→　Uptrend
200SMA　(moving　average)　is　diagonally　lower　right　→　
downtrend
200SMA　(moving　average)　is　almost　horizontal　→　Range　
market　→　Trade　off

Procedure　#　2. Confirm　that　you　touch　±　2σ

Uptrend

When　the　actual　rate　touches　-2σ,　prepare　for　entry
Downtrend

When　the　actual　rate　touches　+　2σ,　prepare　for　entry

Procedure　#　3. Wait　for　the　market　to　
reverse　before　entering

Uptrend

When　the　actual　rate　touches　-2σ,　prepare　for　entry
"Buy"　entry　when　the　prevailing　rate　reverses　upwards　(when　
it　starts　to　rise)
Downtrend

When　the　actual　rate　touches　+　2σ,　prepare　for　entry
"Sell"　entry　when　the　prevailing　rate　reverses　downwards　
(when　it　begins　to　fall)

Exit　timing　of　Bollinger　Bands　and　moving　
average　"buy　/　return"　trade

Profit　timing　part　1. Touch　±　3σ



The　probability　of　touching　±　3σ　is only 0.027% .

It　is　no　exaggeration　to　say　that　this　is　the　line　that　can　
secure　the　most　profits.

for　that　reason

"Buy"　position　→　Touch　+　3σ　→　"Profit"
"Sell"　position　→　Touch　-3σ　→　"Profit"
And　confirm　the　profit.

Profit　timing　#　2. The　prevailing　rate　
reverses　above　±　1σ



The　shape　that　touches　±　3σ　above　is　the　best　shape,　but　the　
probability　is　only　0.027%,　so　it　does　not　occur　easily.

Therefore,　even　in　the　middle　of　the　process,　if　you　can　see　
the　trend　reversing,　you　will　make　a　profit.

"Buy"　position　→　If　the　prevailing　rate　begins　to　fall　above　+　
1σ　→　"Profit"
"Sell"　position　→　If　the　prevailing　rate　begins　to　fall　
below　-1σ　→　"Profit"

Loss　cut　point　#　1. Touch　±　3σ

The　point　of　loss　cut　is

Failure　of　"Buy　/　Return"

However,　this　means　that　if　you　think　that　you　will　return　to　
the　original　trend　direction,　the　trend　will　just　reverse.

Even　for　loss　cut,　±　3σ　on　the　opposite　side　is　used.

"Buy"　position　→　Touch　-3σ　→　"Loss　cut"

"Sell"　position　→　Touch　+　3σ　→　"Loss　cut"

Loss　cut　point　#　2. Place　a　stop　order

Rarely

The　trend　reverses　in　parallel　with　the　Bollinger　band　without　
touching　the　loss　cut　condition　±　3σ.
Things　can　happen.

At　this　time,　there　is　a　possibility　that　the　loss　will　increase.

teacher
It's　a　good　idea　to　place　enough　stop　orders　at　the　time　of　
entry.
I　think　you　should　have　a　grace　period　of　20　pips.

Trade　verification　of　Bollinger　Bands　and　
moving　average　"buy　/　return"　trades
MT4　/　chart　/　technical　analysis　settings

5　minutes
US　dollar　/　yen
Bollinger　Bands:　20MA,　"±　1σ"　"±　2σ"　"±　3σ"　display
Moving　average:　200SMA　(simple　moving　average)

308　download

[Bollinger　Bands　and　Moving　
Average　"Buy　/　Return"　Trade]　
MT4　/　MT5　Template

Download　filetemplate_bollinger_sma.zip　–　2　KB

Trade　rules

After　the　uptrend　occurs,　if　the　prevailing　rate　
touches　"-2σ",　"buy"　entry
After　the　downtrend　occurs,　if　the　actual　rate　touches　"+　
2σ",　"Sell"　entry
Touch　"+　3σ"　in　the　"Buy"　position　to　"Profit"
If　you　touch　"-3σ"　in　the　"Sell"　position,　"Profit"
If　the　prevailing　rate　begins　to　fall　above　"+　1σ"　in　
the　"buy"　position,　then　"profit"

Verification　period

October　1,　2018-October　5,　2018

October　1,　2018

Position　direction　"Buy"
Entry:　113.872
Exit:　113.908
+3.6　pips　profit
Position　direction　"Buy"
Entry:　113.865
Exit:　113.917
+5.2　pips　profit
Position　direction　"Buy"
Entry:　113.882
Exit:　113.947
+6.5　pips　profit
Position　direction　"Buy"
Entry:　113.952
Exit:　114.014
+6.2　pips　profit

Position　direction　"Buy"
Entry:　113.94
Exit:　113.902
-3.8　pips　loss
Position　direction　"Buy"
Entry:　113.891
Exit:　113.962
+　7.1　pips　profit

October　1,　2018-October　2,　2018

Position　direction　"Buy"
Entry:　113.926
Exit:　113.97
+　4.4pips　profit
Position　direction　"Buy"
Entry:　113.955
Exit:　113.998
+　4.3pips　profit
Position　direction　"Buy"
Entry:　113.967
Exit:　113.913

-5.4　pips　loss
Position　direction　"Buy"
Entry:　113.904
Exit:　113.996
+9.2　pips　profit

October　2,　2018-October　3,　2018

Position　direction　"Sell"
Entry:　113.82
Exit:　113.686
+13.4　pips　profit
Position　Direction　"Sell"
Entry:　113.763
Exit:　113.773
-1.0　pips　loss
Position　Direction　"Sell"
Entry:　113.804
Exit:　113.773
+　3.1　pips　profit
Position　Direction　"Sell"

Entry:　113.877
Exit:　113.773
+10.4　pips　profit
Position　direction　"Sell"
Entry:　113.735
Exit:　113.705
+3.0　pips　profit
Position　Direction　"Sell"
Entry:　113.791
Exit:　113.705
+　8.6pips　profit
Position　Direction　"Sell"
Entry:　113.661
Exit:　113.602
+5.9　pips　profit

October　3,　2018-October　4,　2018

October　3,　2018-October　4,　2018

Position　Direction　"Buy"
Entry:　114.388
Exit:　114.289

-9.9pips　loss

Position　Direction　"Buy"
Entry:　114.305
Exit:　114.358

+5.3　pips　profit

Position　direction　"Buy"
Entry:　114.237
Exit:　114.353

+11.6　pips　profit

Position　Direction　"Buy"
Entry:　114.304
Exit:　114.375

+　7.1　pips　profit

October　4,　2018-October　5,　2018

Position　Direction　"Sell"
Entry:　113.802
Exit:　113.878

-7.6pips　loss

Position　direction　"Sell"
Entry:　113.911
Exit:　113.852

+5.9　pips　profit

Position　direction　"Sell"
Entry:　113.923
Exit:　113.851

+　7.2pips　profit

October　5,　2018

Position　direction　"Sell"
Entry:　113.92
Exit:　113.861

+5.9　pips　profit

Position　direction　"Sell"
Entry:　114.01
Exit:　113.769

+　24.1pips　profit

Position　direction　"Sell"
Entry:　113.777
Exit:　113.676

+10.1　pips　profit

inspection　result

Number　of　trades:　27
wins　and　losses:　22　wins　and　5　losses
Win　rate: 81.5% Profit　and
loss: +　140.4pips
One　trade　profit　and　loss:　+　5.2pips

Number　 Entry　 entry exit Profit　 Win　
of　times direction and　loss or　lose

First　 buy 113.872 113.908 +　 Win
time 3.6pips Win

Second　 buy 113.865 113.917 +　
time 5.2pips

Third　 buy 113.882 113.947 +　 Win
time
6.5pips

4th buy 113.952 114.014 +　 Win

6.2pips

5th　time buy 113.940 113.902 -3.8pips negative
6th　time buy
113.891 113.962 +　 Win

7.1pips

7th　time buy 113.926 113.970 +　 Win

4.4pips

8th　time buy 113.955 113.998 +　 Win

4.3pips

9th　time buy 113.967 113.913 -5.4pips negative

10th　 buy 113.904 113.996 +　 Win
time
9.2pips

11th　 Sell 113.820 113.686 +　 Win
time
13.4pips

12th　 Sell 113.763 113.773 -1.0pips negative
time

13th　 Sell 113.804 113.773 +　 Win
time
3.1pips

14th　 Sell 113.877 113.773 +　 Win
time
10.4pips

15th　 Sell 113.735 113.705 +　 Win
time
3.0pips

16th　 Sell 113.791 113.705 +　 Win
time
8.6pips

17th　 Sell 113.661 113.602 +　 Win
time
5.9pips

18th buy 114.388 114.289 -9.9pips negative
buy
19th　 buy 114.305 114.358 +　 Win
time buy
Sell 5.3pips
20th　 Sell
time Sell 114.237 114.353 +11.6　 Win
Sell pips
21st　 Sell
time 114.304 114.375 +　 Win

22nd　 7.1pips
time
113.802 113.878 -7.6pips negative
23rd　
time 113.911 113.852 +　 Win

24th　 5.9pips
time
113.923 113.851 +　 Win
25th　
time 7.2pips

26th 113.920 113.861 +　 Win

5.9pips

114.010 113.769 +　 Win

24.1pips

27th　 Sell 113.777 113.676 +　 Win
time
10.1pips

Verification　result　consideration

Good　points　of　trading　method
High　win　rate

Win　rate:　81.5%

It　has　a　high　winning　percentage　among　the　trading　methods　
we　are　verifying. It　can　be　said　that　the　winning　percentage　is　
sufficient.

Many　trading　opportunities

Having 27 trading　opportunities in　5　business　days means　that　you　
have　5-6　trading　opportunities　a　day. If　it　is　day　trading,　you　
can　think　of　it　as　a　sufficient　trading　opportunity.

Even　if　you　are　a　side　business　investor,　you　should　have　the　
opportunity　to　trade　once　or　twice　a　day.

Entry　timing　and　exit　timing　are　clear

Entry　and　exit　are　set　at　relatively　easy-to-understand　timings,　
so　even　beginners　can　trade　in　the　same　way.

Bad　points　of　trading　method
Small　profit　margin

Although　the　winning　percentage　is　high,　it　is　a　trading　method　
that　rides　on　a　small　trend,　so　the　width　of　one　win　is　not　
so　large.

Points　that　can　be　improved

Development　of　"profitability"　timing　to　
increase　"profit　margin"
What　I　noticed　while　doing　it

If　you　"profit"　according　to　the　rules,　even　in　the　situation　"I　
was　able　to　increase　profits　so　far",　you　will　be　profitable　
quite　short.

If　the　prevailing　rate　reverses　after　exceeding　"±　
1σ",　"profitability"
This　means　that　while　it　is　a　highly　reliable　profit　timing,　
there　is　also　a　large　amount　of　profit　that　is　being　missed　due　
to　excessive　care.

It　will　be　possible　to　further　increase　profits　by　
developing　"profitable"　timing　by　using　other　technical　analysis　
methods　together.

Summary

As　a　verification　result　of　the　"buy　/　return"　trade　of　Bollinger　
Bands　and　moving　averages

The　winning　percentage　is　quite　high

Many　trading　opportunities
Entry　timing　and　exit　timing　are　clear

teacher
Since　the　winning　rate　is　high　and　there　are　ample　trading　
opportunities,　it　can　be　said　that　even　beginners　are　likely　to　
make　a　profit　if　they　do　not　make　a　mistake. Since　it　is　a　
trading　method　that　has　been　carefully　considered,　there　is　no　
problem　even　if　you　increase　the　trading　volume　once　you　can　
keep　a　stable　winning　percentage. Recommended　as　a　stable　
trading　method.
Click　here　for　recommended　overseas　Forex　trading　methods