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Firms in International Trade (with an Application to Spain) Pol Antràs Puchal (Harvard University) Rubén Segura-Cayuela ... Insensibly one begins to twist facts to

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Published by , 2016-02-21 21:15:03

Firms in International Trade - Scholars at Harvard

Firms in International Trade (with an Application to Spain) Pol Antràs Puchal (Harvard University) Rubén Segura-Cayuela ... Insensibly one begins to twist facts to

Is This Sufficient to Explain the Puzzle?

 No!
 We are not saying anything quantitative at this point
 More importantly, what matters is relative

competitiveness
 What if large firms in other countries are seeing their

competitiveness rise by even more?
 For this we need firm-level data from other countries

 Homogenized dataset available in a few weeks
 Next: preliminary evidence from OECD and Amadeus

December 2010 SERIES Invited Lecture 51

Relative Competitiveness

December 2010 SERIES Invited Lecture 52

Change in Relative Competitiveness

Source: Amadeus SERIES Invited Lecture 53

December 2010

Recap

 We observe heterogeneous performance of Spanish
exporters

 Given thickness of right-tail, these changes in
relative competitiveness have potential to explain
aggregate export behavior

 But: why are price indices not capturing this?

 Weighting does not seem to appropriately take into
account for intraindustry heterogeneity

December 2010 SERIES Invited Lecture 54

Some Notes on Alternative
Explanations

55

A Relative Demand Shock?

Sources: WB, ECB, SERIES Invited Lecture 56
WTO, and MEH

December 2010

A Relative Demand Shock?

Sources: WB, ECB, SERIES Invited Lecture 57
WTO, and MEH

December 2010

A Markup Adjustment?

Sources: WB, ECB, SERIES Invited Lecture 58
WTO, and MEH

December 2010

A Markup Adjustment?

Sources: WB, ECB, SERIES Invited Lecture 59
WTO, and MEH

December 2010

A Markup Adjustment?

Source: ESEE SERIES Invited Lecture 60

December 2010

A Markup Adjustment?

Dependent variable: Growth of Sale Prices Coefficient t-statistic

Growth of Intermediate Input Prices 0.3168 39.81

Large Firms 0.1514 1.90

Source: ESEE SERIES Invited Lecture 61

December 2010

“Quality” Improvements?

Sources: WB, ECB, SERIES Invited Lecture 62
WTO, and MEH

December 2010

Is It Explained by Inward FDI?

Source: ESEE SERIES Invited Lecture 63

December 2010

Is It Explained by Inward FDI?

Source: ESEE SERIES Invited Lecture 64

December 2010














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